Lucas Martin Calderon

price how you see the world | founder & ceo @kash_bot | prediction markets

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

why did i become a prediction markets maxi ?

(opinionated take)

ai will endanger capitalism, as the output of elite education with raw intellect will become globally available and cheap

ai will endanger manual labor, as the human capital required for construction, mechanics, or even home chores will be priced at $1.50/hour with robots like tesla’s optimus

my take?
ai perfectly masters and replaces performance-oriented tasks (consulting, coding, manufacturing, trading, healthcare…), with entertainment and attention being the black sheep, or rather golden eggs here: “ai as the engine, and humans as the steering wheel” (@VitalikButerin )

a few years ago, prediction markets were sanctioned by the cftc, actioned through the fbi. today, every month polymarket and kalshi have billions worth of volume. tomorrow they will be bigger wrappers than the nasdaq and the collective “proof-of-stake” tool against a dangerously growing misinformation flywheel

without a shred of doubt, those companies that master attention, put humans in the steering wheel and go with the users already are, will undoubtedly win the game

DM if you are interested to be part of that new world

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@ahall_research knowing and not being able to do something about it …

the inevitability of smth big happening …

almost feels like the simulation we live in already has some sort of pre-defined fate

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@mert Debanked

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@Bigbright_27 YES

@kash_bot for news

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

a legit team with talented people

[Hive @HiveLiveHQ]

WE’RE RUNNING IT BACK

THE HIVE WORLD CUP

$10,000 in prizes. Free entry. Begins June 12

Your chance to prove yourself

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@suekhim Wasn’t @karpathy working on smth to avoid that?

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@nikitabier @levelsio Enough to hold a boar to Tokyo back and forth 😁

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@valeriyshevchuk lol fully agree

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

kash spaces takeaway: building the llm council (5/6)

after a year of research into multi-agentic flows, we’ve cracked the code on the "llm council": a five-agent personality stack that outperforms any single model.

by anonymising the interaction between open and closed source models, we strip away algorithmic bias to create the ultimate truth engine for prediction markets.

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@Baheet_ Means they are trying to learn what AI is in the first place 😂

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@ahall_research reminds me of the observer effect in quantum

does the agent's output change if it knows it's being tested? 🤔

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@miguelsantafe @0xSweep @kash_bot Can’t get cooler than that

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@elonmusk How much of it was using Grok for such specialised work?

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@shafu0x @Techweek_ Replied

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@cgnit0 A public infrastructure, neutral

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

touched me in more than one way david’s reasoning behind why “eth is money” thesis has played out

one i understand and respect, although i dont personally share

but… how can you remain bullish on eth when you lose hope it serves as money?

[David Hoffman @TrustlessState]

https://t.co/5EOn4y2pdx

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@BlippyChad Yup, the technology for long periods of time can be cyclic

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@BlondiePredicts Seems like a very hot day to work outside for long 😁

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@elonmusk @KettlebellDan I’m sure @bryan_johnson has a different idea of training there 😁

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@breeze2000r lol - saw that, and it works similar with a banana too

but i don’t think potatos and eth have the same fate, nor the same dynamics in finance

One thing we understand for thousands of years, another one people barely do

But there is a point there indeed…

[Lucas Martin Calderon @lmc_security]

@kash_bot lol