Something is happening. $TSLA
I have been “monitoring the situation” with Tesla closely for the last 10 years.
I have never seen so many new people talk about how FSD has changed their life/habits or how it has blown their mind in regarding how amazing the technology is today.
I believe we are finally reaching an inflection point where people outside the Tesla community are buying Teslas not just for the safety, performance, and amazing value, but mainly because of FSD.
Q2 earnings report will be telling. Q1 already showed significant adoption rate increases among Tesla owners. It’s about to get really interesting, especially when combined with Robotaxi, energy, and Optimus progress.
If you are a long-term investor, I think the best approach is to turn off the noise: this delay, that delay, and all kinds of short-term FUD.
Most of it does not matter at all.
Even quarterly results are somewhat short term. What really matters is whether the long-term thesis is still intact.
@Venu_7_ Grok replied to my request:
Recent TTM revenue is around $70-90 billion, not over $700 billion, making that part of the claim inaccurate or incomplete.
$MU undercut the 21-day EMA and the prior week's low on above average volume on Thursday. See if it can reclaim the 21-day EMA. A new base may form if it is unable to reclaim this moving average next week.
$DELL undercut the low of its Monster PEG as it closed just below the 21-day EMA. It has been consolidating for five weeks in a high, tight flag (469.47 standard pivot, pole length: 165.2% in 8 weeks, flag depth: -23.9%). See if it can reclaim the 21-day EMA, the 400 Century Mark and the low of its earnings gap.
2 of the 3 biggest memory makers in the world are telling us “this time is different” as we watch this industry shift from cyclical to secular which should come with a multiple rerating as these two companies plus Micron trade at an average NTM P/E multiple below 8x with 80-85% gross margins and 70-75% net income margins.
The biggest question/risk has been where memory prices go over the next few years but $MU management says the supply constraints will last until 2028 or longer and these companies are now locking in long term agreements with their biggest customers which provides visibility for shareholders.
It’s these LTAs that are likely giving the memory giants the confidence to start doing their own capex to expand capacity at rates we’ve never seen before.
I still think every investor needs to own at least 1 of these 3 companies… or keep it simple and just buy $DRAM which also gets you Sandisk, Seagate and Kioxia
This week:
• V14 Lite began rolling out to HW3 owners
• Production Cybercabs (no steering wheel/pedals) started public road testing in Austin
• Tesla reported its best-ever Q2 vehicle deliveries
• Model Y L launched in the U.S.
• Tesla Robotaxi service launched in Miami (Unsupervised)
Two years. Two triple-digit returns. Zero options.
2026 YTD: +113% (mid six-figure portfolio)
2025 YTD: +160%
No options. No earnings gambles. No lotto plays. Just discipline & only shares!
Just themes, conviction, technicals, and relentless research.
Most people might think outsized returns come from taking massive risks.
In reality, a lot of it comes from:
- concentrating on the right themes
- identifying leadership early
- managing emotions
- and holding winners longer than most people can psychologically handle.
Technicals and fundamentals are my bread and butter
How I’m navigating this market:
- focusing on AI infrastructure, semis, robotics, power/grid, and software
- buying Stage 1 to Stage 2 transitions
- CANSLIM framework
- prioritizing relative strength + earnings acceleration
- adding on constructive pullbacks, not fear
Frameworks that helped me most:
- Power Earnings Gaps (PEGs)
- CANSLIM + Stage Analysis
- IPO VWAP reclaim
- AVWAP + 21EMA trend management
- sector-wide leadership confirmation
Some of the names driving performance:
$NBIS $MRVL $MU $ARM $RKLB $TSLA $TXN $TSEM $ALM $ONDS $IONQ $FPS
On average, I hold around 12 to 15 stocks across 5 to 6 major themes.
At first glance the portfolio may look diversified, but in reality it’s fairly concentrated - my top 5 positions usually make up nearly 50% of the portfolio.
The remaining positions are more rotational in nature, where I actively move capital between themes and emerging leadership.
Average holding period:
- Top 5 conviction positions: roughly 3 to 6 years
- Remaining positions: typically 1 to 3 months
Biggest lessons from 2026 so far:
- leaders rarely give easy entries
- concentration matters when conviction is high
- volatility is the price of outsized returns
- emotional control is one of the biggest edges
- real wealth is built by holding winners longer
Most people spend too much time predicting macro.
I’d rather focus on:
- earnings
- supply chains
- accumulation
- volume
- leadership
- real-world demand
Still a long way to go this year.
But I genuinely feel the process keeps improving every cycle.
Grateful for everyone following the journey.
$DELL gapped up 22% after blowout Q4 earnings:
- Revenue $33.4B (+39% YoY) & EPS $3.89 beat
- Guided $50B AI server revenue by FY27
- Raised dividend 20% and announced $10B buyback
Technically, it’s been forming a 2 year base and just printed a Power Earnings Gap with 4x volume.
Likely emerging as a leader on the AI infrastructure side. One to watch.
$DELL closed just underneath the Low of its Monster PEG as it pulled back to test the 21-day EMA. It has been consolidating for four weeks in a high, tight flag (469.47 standard pivot, pole length: 165.2% in 8 weeks, flag depth: -23.9%).
Charts courtesy of @MarketLens_
Try MarketLens free for 7 days here:
https://t.co/xX5LhNJMPk
Use Promo Code: TML for 10% off on the first payment.
Funny how all the fake news and FUD drops at once. Orchestrated. Puts and shorts overplaying the music. Audience is tired of the same tune.
$MU gapping up Monday and reversing everything would be pure comedy. Their positions vaporized. Poetic justice in one candle.
6 Forward PE