Not what you tend to see at the peaks. Again, doesn’t mean lows are in yet but you don’t see put volume spike to records at peaks, especially on the first pullback after a major breakout rally
Just as reminder on the futures open tonight, the US, South Korea, Switzerland, and UK markets are closed tomorrow. US futures will operate on their same convoluted holiday schedule. The point is that futures markets will be super thin. Trade accordingly.
🔴The AI bubble is now larger than almost every market bubble in history:
The 'AI Big 10', comprising the Magnificent 7 plus Broadcom, AMD, and Micron, now accounts for a record 40% of total US stock market capitalization.
This matches the peak concentration of the Nifty Fifty bubble of the 1970s and the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble.
Including the upcoming mega IPOs of OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX, AI-related market concentration would surge to ~48%, surpassing every major bubble on record.
The only bubble in history with greater concentration was the Railroad bubble of the 1880s, which peaked at 63%.
Is the AI bubble near its end, or is there further room to run?
Forced demand destruction.
Latest measures taken in Bangladesh to manage fuel crisis:
Bank transaction hours reduced by 1 hour
Stock exchange trading reduced by 30 minutes
Shops and Malls closed early (by 2-4 hours)
By "potentially roiling global equities," I mean a sharp unwind of yen-funded carry trades. Investors borrowed cheap yen to buy higher-yielding foreign stocks (like US tech or emerging markets). If BOJ hikes push the yen stronger (toward 150 or below vs USD), they'd sell those assets en masse to repay yen loans—triggering broad selloffs, volatility spikes, and possible 5-10%+ drops in global indices, as seen in past yen reversals.
This administration is going to go into FULL plunge protection & rescue mode this week - expect plenty of desperate headlines.
The whole “we’ve already won the war” and “we’re 95% done” bullshit ain’t cutting it, especially when you’re sending boots to the ground..
$GOLD: 5100/137 is the first range to monitor for "SHARP" rejections or fake trap above and fail, followed by 5200/231 & 5300/325!!
Bears have a chance on February 4th & 6th, and if there is a delay, February 9th & 12th!!
Note: Nothing works perfectly, and risk management is important!!
#GOLD #SILVER #commodities
$ES $SPY $SPX Nothing notably different for me... still think January is mostly a nothing burger that ends up marginally (1-2% max?) higher... //Test year low also possibility still but bigger point as per my eoy roadmap is you BTFD .... (see pinned post for context)
Larry Williams' 2026 forecast, based on his cycle analysis, anticipates a significant market downturn through mid-year, creating a major buying opportunity for the S&P 500, followed by rallies and higher volatility later. Sources don't specify a 200 EMA retest or SPY at 495. Current SPY is ~694, with 200-day EMA around 630-660. A drop to 495 would be a ~29% decline—possible in a downdraft, though your view sees it as unlikely.
Policymakers implicitly require 10–15% annual S&P returns just to avoid blowing a hole in tax receipts, widening deficits, and destabilizing the system
Welcome to the S&P Standard - @kuppyskorner
$SPY and $QQQ are currently showing reversal candles at their gaps. QQQ is standard gap. SPY is a volume gap.
Discount for this range on SPY is $669.62.
Discount for this range on QQQ is $604.83.
There is still a lot of time left on these daily candles so for now this is just something to keep an eye on.