Ren

winning is a funny thing, it's one of those rare commodities on Earth that money can't buy until you followed me

[Ren @luckyren8]

Hey guys, just a quick note.

You should know that I research every pick for hours, which is why my units are often larger than most tipsters. I won't spend hours researching to place a 1u or 2u bet. My time and effort reflect the confidence I have in the picks I make available for your benefit. Of course, I am human and will make errors a lot of the time. However, the best we can do is research all potential outcomes and make the best judgment based on the facts and intuition.

I believe I am the best at doing that; if not, I would not have created this account. Thank you to everyone who has supported me. I will continue to post the best predictions for you.

Good luck with today’s card. Let’s aim for a sweep.

[Ren @luckyren8]

Hey everyone, I am going to take a short break from betting. My picks have not been hitting. I need some time to reflect and clear my head to find out exactly why that is. I'll be back with vengeance. Thanks for the support.

[Ren @luckyren8]

If this pick does not win, I am going to take a break from betting. All the best to whoever is tailing.

[Ren @luckyren8]

NFL/Tennis Pick

10U Chiefs ML/Djokovic ML

Up to this point of the season, the Jags haven't played a caliber of QB like Mahomes. You can argue that they beat the 49ers with Purdy, but the 49ers had four turnovers in that game and still almost beat the Jags. The Jaguars have been solid in their defense, one of the best in the league throughout the first four weeks. However, against Mahomes, in a game the Chiefs need to win, I don't see the Jags coming out on top. The Chiefs have been struggling to stop the run, while the Jags have been excelling in that aspect; however, I think the numbers are skewed for this matchup. The Chiefs have faced Saquon and Henry, whilst the Jags have no one of that caliber. Jags have also had a much easier schedule, this will be their toughest test, and I dont see them winning.

You can never go against Djokovic here. Most of the favourites have lost in the tournament, and Djokovic is the favourite to win in Shanghai. He struggled against Hanfmann in the last round, but Hanfmann had a great serve and sound strategy, which could put Djok in a predicament. Munar has none of those weapons; his only path to victory is to force Djok into long exchanges and hope he makes errors. But it's Djok. He is the best rallier in the game, and will not let Munar beat him in what is probably his best chance to win a masters 1000 since Alcaraz, Sinner, and Zverev are out of the picture.

[Ren @luckyren8]

NFL/Tennis Pick

10U Chiefs ML/Djokovic ML

Up to this point of the season, the Jags haven't played a caliber of QB like Mahomes. You can argue that they beat the 49ers with Purdy, but the 49ers had four turnovers in that game and still almost beat the Jags. The Jaguars have been solid in their defense, one of the best in the league throughout the first four weeks. However, against Mahomes, in a game the Chiefs need to win, I don't see the Jags coming out on top. The Chiefs have been struggling to stop the run, while the Jags have been excelling in that aspect; however, I think the numbers are skewed for this matchup. The Chiefs have faced Saquon and Henry, whilst the Jags have no one of that caliber. Jags have also had a much easier schedule, this will be their toughest test, and I dont see them winning.

You can never go against Djokovic here. Most of the favourites have lost in the tournament, and Djokovic is the favourite to win in Shanghai. He struggled against Hanfmann in the last round, but Hanfmann had a great serve and sound strategy, which could put Djok in a predicament. Munar has none of those weapons; his only path to victory is to force Djok into long exchanges and hope he makes errors. But it's Djok. He is the best rallier in the game, and will not let Munar beat him in what is probably his best chance to win a masters 1000 since Alcaraz, Sinner, and Zverev are out of the picture.

[Ren @luckyren8]

Tennis Pick

4U Norrie ML @ 2

[Ren @luckyren8]

Live Tennis Pick

6U Yuan ML/Moller ML @ 1.71

[Ren @luckyren8]

Weekly Recap Sept 30th-Oct 6th: -44u

Last week was treacherous. I was looking over all the picks I made for the week, and in Heinseight, some of those picks were awful. There were also more than usual last-minute chokes, which really put us in a hole, but no excuses, as if we won that way, I would be celebrating. This is the game, and I want to take full accountability for the dog shit picks. My apologies, truly. If you guys still stay for the ride, I will win it all back and some more. This is inevitable. It's just what I do. I will research more meticulously this week and put out some winners. Thanks for the support.

[Ren @luckyren8]

Football Pick

8U AC Milan 0 hc @ 1.97

[Ren @luckyren8]

NFL Picks

8U Saints ML @ 1.77
5U Panthers ML @ 2
4U Ravens +2.5 @ 1.89

The Saints have a healthy offensive line for the first time this season, and Alvin Kamara at RB will be their weapon of choice today. The Giants have the worst run defense in the NFL and also have some injury concerns on both ends of the field, which are quite concerning. Jaxon Dart played a fantastic game in their upset last week, but in a road environment against a team that wants to secure its first win of the season, I see this as a letdown spot for the Giants. The public is also on the Giants. Everything here points to a Saint's victory.

[Ren @luckyren8]

Live Football Pick

8U Barcelona ML/ City Double Chance @ 1.8

[Ren @luckyren8]

NFL Pick

4U Browns +3.5 @ 1.9
2U Browns ML @ 2.63

[Ren @luckyren8]

F1 Pick

5U Verstappen to win @ 2.12

[Ren @luckyren8]

Tennis/Football Pick

6U Machac ML/Newcastle ML @ 2
6U Noskova +1.5 sets @ 1.86

[Ren @luckyren8]

Yesterday's Recap: -13.3u

It's no secret that I have been going through a stinker. I am not going to make any excuses; my picks have just been shit this week. I am going to reflect and spend more time researching, because clearly I am not seeing things the way I know I should. Losing is out of character for me, and I fucking hate it. Anyways, I promised 100% transparency, so here's the recap.

10U Liverpool ML @ 1.75 ❌
8U Manchester United ML/Dvalishvili ML @ 1.8✅
6U Bayern ML/Madrid ML @ 1.91✅
6U Boise State 21.5 @ 1.78✅
6U Louisville u60.5 @ 1.83✅
6U Vanderbilt +12.5 @ 1.86❌
6U Hurricanes ML/TCU ML @ 1.84✅
6U Vanderford ML/Soriano ML @ 1.74❌
6U Liverpool -0.25 (1-0) @ 1.81❌
5U Dortmund ML @ 1.7 ❌
5U Dortmund/Leipzig u3.75 @ 1.84✅
5U Khalil Roundtree Jr ML @ 2.61 ❌
5U Tottenham 0 hc @ 1.85 ✅
5U Lazio ML @ 1.77 ❌
5U Zverev -1.5 shc @ 1.74 ✅
4U Zverev ML/Tabilo +1.5 sets @ 1.86❌
4U Anisimova ML @ 1.98✅
4U Joo Sang Yoo @ 2.11 ❌
3U Andre Muniz ML @ 3.38❌
3U Svrcina/Medvedev o20.5 ghc @ 1.89 ❌
2U Svrcina +1.5 shc @ 2.17❌

[Ren @luckyren8]

UFC Picks

5U Khalil Roundtree Jr ML @ 2.61
4U Joo Sang Yoo @ 2.11
3U Andre Muniz ML @ 3.38

There is so much value in the underdogs in these three matches that I feel obligated to take them. I would consider them undervalued. These are close to 50/50 fights, and all three picks have plausible paths to victory. Khalil's kicks will neutralize Jiri's unpredictable tendencies and keep the fight at a distance. Khalil showed his durability against Pereira, and I don't think Jiri can inflict the same damage without taking damage. Khalil hits like a truck. Joo is also a solid striker who has not lost a fight, whereas his opponent is a washed-out boxer who has power but rates his ground game more highly. Joo will know this, and from analysing his past fights outside the UFC, he has excellent takedown defense. This will eventually exhaust his opponent, leaving them vulnerable to the knockout. Andre Muniz is a point fighter who loves spamming these takedowns. If he can keep Shahbazyan on the ground, which I think he can, he will sail towards an easy decision victory. Shahbazyan has knockout power, but does not land a lot of strikes. Muniz is experienced, and with this much value, I feel compelled to take Muniz here.

[Ren @luckyren8]

NCAAF Pick

6U Hurricanes ML/TCU ML @ 1.84

Way too many upsets already. Surely not another one, right?

[Ren @luckyren8]

Really needed the sweep here, but of course Vanderbilt concedes a USELESS touchdown with 17 seconds left on 4th down. They literally got the call—no other explanation.

[Ren @luckyren8]

NCAAF Picks

6U Boise State u21.5 @ 1.78
6U Louisville u60.5 @ 1.83
6U Vanderbilt +12.5 @ 1.86

[Ren @luckyren8]

UFC Pick

6U Vanderford ML/Soriano ML @ 1.74

[Ren @luckyren8]

NCAAF Picks

6U Boise State u21.5 @ 1.78
6U Louisville u60.5 @ 1.83
6U Vanderbilt +12.5 @ 1.86

[Ren @luckyren8]

Liverpool losing in the 95th minute, when we were due for decent profit on the game just sums up our week. This is brutal.