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5 Things To Look For Before You Enter Any Trade: A Price Action Trading Strategy Explained:
Here are five things to quantify before entering any trades. These areas should be based on the parameters of your own time frame and trading system.
1. Path Of Least Resistance
The first filter for any trade entry is the question: “Is the chart you're trading in an uptrend, a downtrend, a range, or highly volatile?”
“The answer to the question, what is the trend?” is the question, "What is your time frame?” - Richard Weissman
Uptrends are characterized by higher highs and higher lows; this is when long entry signals can occur, whether buying the dip or on a momentum signal.
Downtrends have lower highs and lower lows; this is when short signals can occur, whether shorting rallies or selling weakness.
Trading ranges have the same area of high price resistance and low price support, where selling resistance and buying support should be signaled.
Volatile charts will have very wide trading ranges, little respect for resistance or support, and can move sharply up or down in short periods.
2. Price Area Of Value Or Interest
The next question is: what is the nearest key price area with the highest probability of interest for buyers and sellers? This varies by chart type and technical context.
In an uptrend, the area of interest is buying the dip at the lower 50-day moving average.
An area of interest in a downtrend is selling rallies back into the higher 50-day moving average.
In a trading range, the area of interest could be buyers at the price support level.
In volatile ranges, the area of interest can be deep dips to the 30-RSI or strong rallies to the 70-RSI that can occur within a single day before reversing.
3. Entry Signal
An entry signal is the quantified reason you are going long or short on a chart, based on a backtested technical indicator, price action, or technical analysis. Your entry signal should always create a good risk/reward entry and a high probability of a winning trade.
4 Exit Strategy For Losing Trades
You should have an exit signal for losing trades. A stop-loss is set at a price level that should not be reached if the trade is going to work out in your favor as a winner.
A stop-loss should be determined before you take the entry, and your maximum loss should be quantified based on your position sizing if it is triggered. Keeping losses small is a major key to profitable trading over the long term. The stop-loss should ensure a good risk/reward ratio by limiting downside risk.
5. Exit Strategy For Winning Trades
At entry, you should have a profit target in mind based on technical levels and the historical chart pattern you are trading. The exit signal for a winning trade helps establish the reward part of the risk/reward ratio at entry.
A profit target is where you will lock in gains if your best-case scenario for a trade plays out. This is the price or technical level at which you will take your money off the table, as the future reward potential is not enough to justify remaining
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There's a pattern to every explosive move. Every 50%, 100%, 200% runner shows the same signs before it takes off.
The setup is always there. You just need to know what actually matters.
Here's what they all have in common:
1. They're almost always young trends
The biggest money is made at the beginning of a trend, not the end. You want to catch them fresh off a major base, when the move is just starting to breathe. By the time everyone notices it, you're already in.
2. They respect the moving averages
Watch how price treats the 10 and 20 EMA - it's everything. The real runners bounce off these levels like they're made of steel. When a stock holds its MAs session after session without violation, that's your tell that big money won't let it break.
3. Volume confirms everything
The tape tells you who's in control before price does. Massive green bars on the push, then volume dries up completely on any pullback. That’s how you know the big money is interested in the stock.
4. First or second consolidation after the base
This is where fortunes are made. The initial structure right after a big base breakout is your high probability setup zone. You're early, you're positioned, and if the position works in your favor, the risk reward equation becomes absurdly skewed.
5. Strong follow-through days
One big green bar means nothing - it could be a trap. But when you see three, four, five days of relentless buying with tight closes near the highs, that's a conviction you can trust. That's when you know it’s actually big money. Don’t ignore such signs.
#Trading
Here are 10 great technical trading rules that will help you build a systematic approach to trading:
1. Start with the weekly price chart to establish the long-term trend, then work down through the daily and hourly charts to trade in that trend's direction. The odds are better if you are trading in the direction of the long-term trend.
2. In Bull Markets, the best strategy is to buy the dips. In Bear Markets, the best strategy is to sell short into each rally. Always go with the path of least resistance.
3. Support and resistance levels can hold for long periods; the first few breakout attempts usually fail.
4. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the greater the odds that it will be broken. Old resistance can become new support, and old support can become new resistance.
5. Trend lines are the easiest way to measure trends by connecting higher highs or lower lows, and they must always go from left to right.
6. Chart patterns are visible representations of the price ranges that buyers and sellers are creating. Chart Patterns are connected trend lines that signal a possible breakout buy point if one of the lines is broken.
7. Moving averages quantify trends and generate signals for entry, exit, and trailing stop orders.
8. Moving averages are great tools for traders, but they are best used alongside an overbought/oversold oscillator like the RSI. This maximizes exit profitability on extensions from a moving average.
9. 52-week highs are bullish, and 52-week lows are bearish. All-time highs are more bullish, and all-time lows are more bearish. Bull Markets have no long-term resistance, and Bear Markets have no long-term support.
10. Above the 200-day is where bulls create uptrends. Bad things happen below the 200-day: downtrends, distribution, bear markets, crashes, and bankruptcies.