Luke Miller

PhD Candidate in Economics at Georgetown University
On the 2025-2026 job market
Political Economist

[Luke Miller @luke_benjamin_]

Turnout isn't just motivation or mobilization. It is an equilibrium of both.

To evaluate reforms, we need tools that account for how voters and campaigns react to each other.

Paper: https://t.co/LWy1aW2qWd
Website:
https://t.co/MujVeZG6ul

🎓 I'm on the 2025-26 Job Market.(8/8)

[Luke Miller @luke_benjamin_]

How would a National Popular Vote or Campaign Spending Caps alter U.S. elections?

My JMP develops a structural model to evaluate these reforms by solving the strategic feedback loop between voters and campaigns. 🧵 (1/8)

#EconJobMarket

https://t.co/LWy1aW2qWd

[Luke Miller @luke_benjamin_]

Counterfactual 3: A National Popular Vote

Under an NPV, every vote adds to the national tally. This triggers a double boost in "safe" states:

Effort: Campaigns stop ignoring them.

Efficacy: Voters finally see their ballot as pivotal.

Result: +5 million votes nationally. (7/8)