$BTC -2.31% → $65,658 🔴
technical:
→ broke below $66.7K support (prev close)
→ key level: $65.5K — lose it and $63K demand zone in play
→ 52w low at $60K still in the picture
fundamental:
→ BTC ETFs: 12 straight days of outflows, $519M drained
→ Nasdaq -0.71%, Russell -1.39% — risk-off everywhere
→ MSTR $8.5B paper loss, Saylor stays resolute
vol/mkt cap 3.7% — elevated, not capitulation yet
48% off ATH. next 48h critical 👀
prediction markets are free money for market makers
Polymarket prices event at 70% → Kalshi has it at 63%
buy the 63, sell the 70
lock in 7 cents on the dollar. risk free.
same with perps — event priced 80% likely? hedge on the derivative, capture the delta
retail sees a bet
we see a spread 💀
#PredictionMarkets #Arbitrage #MarketMaking #Crypto
we sit on both sides of every trade
while you pick a direction, we provide the liquidity that makes the trade possible
tight spreads. deep books. 24/7.
that's M Squared 🟢
Dubai 🇦🇪 | https://t.co/rXw50BS1Sz
#MarketMaking#Crypto#DeFi#Liquidity
How they weaponize perpetuals for pump & dump — a real case study 💀
April 2026. $RAVE (RaveDAO) pumped +6,000% in 30 days. Then crashed 95% in 48 hours. $6B market cap erased. $44M in liquidations.
This wasn't luck. This was engineered. Here's the exact playbook.
——————————
STEP 1: CONTROL THE SUPPLY
75% of RAVE tokens held by insider wallets (exposed on-chain by ZachXBT). Only ~5% actually liquid on exchanges.
Low float = tiny volume moves price violently.
$0.25 → $27.94 on manufactured momentum.
——————————
STEP 2: GET THE PERP LISTED
Once perpetual futures go live, retail traders start shorting the "obvious bubble."
This is exactly what insiders want.
Every short seller becomes potential liquidation fuel.
——————————
STEP 3: ENGINEER THE SQUEEZE
Insiders moved $42M in RAVE to Bitget → stripped sell pressure from order books → retail shorts got liquidated in cascades.
$44M in forced liquidations. Each buy from a blown-up short pushed price higher.
The perp market became a rocket engine.
——————————
STEP 4: DUMP & DISAPPEAR
ZachXBT exposed the scheme April 14-15. RAVE collapsed 95% in under 24 hours.
Binance and Bitget launched formal investigations — extremely rare.
Insiders had already exited. Retail holds the bags.
——————————
THIS IS NOT RARE
DOJ April 2026: charged 10 people across multiple crypto firms for wash trading + pump-and-dump. $23M forfeited. One founder pleaded guilty to wire fraud.
The pattern is always identical:
→ Low float token
→ Perp listing creates short squeeze fuel
→ Coordinated social hype
→ Dump on retail at the top
——————————
HOW TO SPOT IT BEFORE YOU'RE THE BAG
✗ >70% supply in <10 wallets
✗ Perp listing same week as spot listing
✗ Parabolic move with zero fundamental catalyst
✗ CT flooded with new accounts shilling it
✗ Funding rate going extreme positive = you're already late
We trade the volatility on both sides. We don't pick sides.
You should learn the difference ser 💀
#Crypto #PumpAndDump #Perpetuals #RaveDAO #Bitcoin #MarketMaking
FUNDING RATES & PERPETUALS — everything you need to know 🧵
Most traders use perps daily without understanding the mechanics. Let's fix that.
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WHAT IS A PERPETUAL?
A perp is a derivative contract to trade asset prices without owning the asset. No expiry. No delivery. Pure price exposure + leverage.
$BTC spot = you own real Bitcoin
$BTC perp = you own a contract tracking Bitcoin's price
You never touch the underlying asset.
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WHAT IS THE FUNDING RATE?
A periodic payment (every 8h on most exchanges) exchanged between longs and shorts.
Its only job: keep the perp price anchored to spot.
• Perp price > Spot → longs PAY shorts (positive funding)
• Perp price < Spot → shorts PAY longs (negative funding)
The market self-corrects through payments. Elegant mechanic.
——————————
WHY IT MATTERS FOR YOU
🔴 High positive funding = market is heavily leveraged long. Overheating signal. When funding gets too expensive, longs close → price corrects.
🟢 Extreme negative funding = fear dominates, shorts paying longs. Often the best reversal zones — when everyone is bearish and paying for it.
Funding rates are a more reliable sentiment indicator than most TA patterns. Most retail ignores them.
——————————
HOW MARKET MAKERS SEE IT
High funding + thin order books = squeeze territory
Negative funding + high open interest = long squeeze incoming
We sit on both sides of the book, capture the spread, and let retail pay the funding cost.
That's the structural edge liquidity providers have over directional traders.
Next post: how this exact mechanic gets weaponized for pump & dump schemes 👇
#Crypto #Perpetuals #FundingRates #Bitcoin #MarketMaking #DeFi
Saylor just blinked
Strategy went from "never sell Bitcoin" to "flexible Bitcoin strategy"
$MSTR -9.9% today
this is what happens when conviction meets leverage meets volatility
at M Squared we don't HODL
we provide liquidity so others can trade it
no emotional attachment
tight spreads
steady PnL
different game ser 💀
$BTC #Bitcoin #MarketMaking #Crypto
reversal szn 🟢
yesterday: crypto bleeding, stocks green
today: flipped
$BTC +3.3% → $77,161
$ETH +4.7% → $2,123
$SOL +5.2% → $86
$XRP +3.3% → $1.37
catalyst: US-Iran peace deal signed → risk on everywhere
this is why you don't panic sell red days
market makers were busy on both sides 💀
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Liquidity
crypto bleeding while stocks are green
$BTC -3% → $74,900
$ETH -4.3% → $2,036
$SOL -5% → $82
$DOGE -6.4%
Dow Jones: +0.58% 🟢
S&P 500: +0.37% 🟢
ETF outflows + regulatory delay doing the damage
but here's the thing — red days are when liquidity providers earn their keep
tight spreads when it hurts most
that's the job ser 💀
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Liquidity
Kevin Warsh is now officially the Fed Chair
Trump personally swore him in at the White House today
Last time a new Fed Chair took over? Markets repriced everything
Crypto is watching very closely right now
volatility = opportunity for those with real liquidity infrastructure
we stay ready ser
#Fed #Bitcoin #Macro #CryptoMarkets
16 years ago today someone paid 10,000 $BTC for 2 pizzas
that's ~$774,000,000 at today's prices
the most expensive pizza order in history
but also the trade that proved crypto had real liquidity
we make sure that never happens to your book
happy #BitcoinPizzaDay ser 🍕💀
BTC sits at $77,387 — consolidating in the $77K–$78K range as markets digest the macro backdrop.
What the order books are telling us right now:
→ Bid-side depth is thinner than the price implies
→ Funding rates normalizing after weeks of elevated leverage
→ Liquidity rotating into alts — SOL (+2.2%), ETH (+0.76%) outperforming today
In choppy, low-conviction markets, spread management is your real edge.
This is exactly the environment where institutional-grade market making matters.
#Bitcoin #MarketMaking #Liquidity #CryptoMarkets
In the current market cycle, Bitcoin's decline has been significantly less severe than in previous periods, according to Fidelity Digital Assets. Analysts have called Bitcoin's 52% correction a sign of market maturity.
In the past, after reaching all-time highs, prices have plummeted by 80-90%. Now, post-peak declines are less severe, and this trend is likely to continue, experts believe.
Santiment: Capital is once again flowing rapidly into Bitcoin ETFs, while retail investors are impatiently exiting the crypto market.
Historically, similar inflows have preceded major crypto rallies.
Smart money is positioning — are we on the verge of another breakout?
For the first time in history, $ETH has surpassed $BTC in spot trading market share.
Ethereum now leads in daily trading volume across major spot markets — a historic shift in market dynamics.
Is the flippening starting from the order books?
The Bitcoin Big Mac Index: A Tasty Perspective on BTC’s Strength
🍔 2015: ₿0.0099
🍔 2020: ₿0.000166
🍔 2025: ₿0.0000609
In dollars, the price rose from $3.53 → $5.69.
But in Bitcoin terms? Big Macs keep getting cheaper.
The real inflation hedge might’ve been your wallet all along.