Trump and Iran WILL accept some form of ceasefire/delay tonight, and WILL end the war this month.
Here's why...
What most people don't realize, but the markets know very well: Trump has no choice but to end this war very soon
Simple reason: 'It's the economy stupid'
Trump is not 'insane', as some are saying. He went too far with his posts, but he did the same with Greenland, and with Canada, to name a few
The Trump posting right now is the same Trump that tried hard to end the war in Ukraine, 'ended' the Gaza war (in theory), and credits himself with ending many other wars
The Iran war is a tragic miscalculation: Was meant to be a Venezuela 2.0, but failed miserably
Since then, Trump has abandoned all his initial objectives: Regime change, regime modification, controlling the Strait
When he realized and accepted this new reality, Iran realized how much leverage they have by controlling the Strait of Hormuz, and they weren't gonna let that go unless they get concessions that make up for the massive destruction they faced
But here's the reality: Iran doesn't want to keep getting bombed, and Trump doesn't want to crash the global economy
Both parties want to end the war as soon as possible. They are currently going through a process in which each side realizes how much (or little) leverage they have, and what concession they need to make.
Pakistan's request for a 2-week ceasefire likely came at Trump's request, with Iran hinting they will accept it.
The ceasefire decision has already been made by both sides, and we will know about it shortly.
And in relation to the war, I expect the war to end this month.
Both Iran and Trump, no matter what you think of them, are rational actors
Oh, this is unbelievable. The edit history on this tweet shows that Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif originally copied and pasted everything he was sent, including:
"*Draft - Pakistan's PM Message on X*"
Now, obviously, Sharif's own staff don't call him "Pakistan's PM," they would just call him prime minister. The U.S. and Israel, of course, would call him "Pakistan's PM."
Would be funny if the fate of the world wasn't hanging in the balance.
@jemyzakaria يا اسطى النادى كان مروان سرى اشتراه … بس حصل مشاكل فبقوا بيقفلوا البوستات عشان محدش يدخل يشتم من المصريين … بس فيه لحق يدخل قبل ما يقفلوا البوست 😂
Tonight, the Far Right will attempt to intimidate and goad communities into violence - especially people of colour.
Their aim: to feed their hateful narratives and present themselves as victims.
Please don’t let them win the propaganda war.
#RiotsNotProtests#UKRiots
Be proud of your growth since that last point. Show yourself gratitude & praise. It’s easy to think about “changing” or “growing” or “learning” from something, but putting in the actual work is commendable. Self-awareness and consciousness takes courage. Be proud of yourself. 🤍