I can't express how lucky I was to have spent my formative years with an internet that was shaped by >110 IQ nerds instead of third world content farms struggling over 5$ of ad revenue
The Jurassic Park film really dropped the ball regarding the core problem being raised by the book:
The biggest threat isn't the problem you're focusing on. It's the thing you never considered a possibility in the first place.
In the movie, you find out the dinosaurs are breeding on their own for a single scene and then it never becomes a plot point again. The only raptors they have to deal with are the three that escaped from the paddock when the electricity went out.
In the book, there are supposed to be 8 raptors. The system is designed to throw an alert if there are ever fewer than expected.
Nobody thought to add an alarm or interface for if there were more than expected, and by the time they figure it out there are over three dozen of the damn things running loose.
Think about how this can apply elsewhere. Not just industrial applications, but philosophically, economically, politically, or socially:
What looming catastrophe are you ignoring because you are so focused on its opposite?
What dangers and evils are you allowing to grow unchecked because you never considered them as a possibility?
South African Jewish Board of Deputies in the past 24 hours: The UK is antisemitic!
Gift of the Givers in the past 24 hours: It's flooding in the parts of the Cape. Here's what we're doing to help.
There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild.
He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed.
When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them.
Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate.
The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions.
Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement.
The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean.
That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.
Chemistry Youtube is weird because half of it is Americans pyromaniacs are like "Buy these two ingredients at the hardware store, they don't even ask for ID, then buy this basically ready made detonator at the gunstore... The whole thing should take half an hour including driving time and cost you $10 and reliably take out a hardened government building if you shape the charge with these mixed size baking bowls".
Whereas then you get to like genuine chemistry and hobbyists youtube in like Canada or the UK... And its like "So we need this to do [perfectly normal thing], but that's illegal because it can be used in explosives, so we need this instead as a precursor to make it ourselves, but that's illegal for the same reason, which usually we'd create it with this third precusor, but that's also illegal.... So today I'm going to be showing you how to use forced air electrolysis to generate pure nitric-acid, and how to derive raw ammonium from common bleach by using a series of centrifuges made from old ceiling fans, all without detonating your house or killing yourself with clorine gas.... just like the 1880s German Chemist Hans Von DiesHorriblyStein, who was posthumously awarded the then new Nobel-Prize. And this is the simplest way I've found to fertilize my greenhouse reliably enough to grow blueberries year-round."
@ssxbaa@SupaDupaChop Pareidolia is the phenomenon where people tend to see faces in random patterns, like clouds, rocks, bread, carpets, or... Prayer mats.