Robert Podolski

Lifelong student of the market.
Helping investors navigate changing market phases while avoiding catastrophic drawdowns
Because survival comes before prosperity

[Robert Podolski @macman]

"How do I know whether a breakout is likely to work?"
Follow capital.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Capital moving to e different table in the casino. Much less at tech table. If it breaks down current small range I an GTFO,

[Robert Podolski @macman]

ROF!!!!!
Next day will tell if this is time to GTFO or add to it.
Participation is low at this point.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Time to trim!!!!!

ROC just flipped to DEFENSIVE.
C3: 0/3
C20: 8/20 (40%)
Breadth remains positive, but leadership has deteriorated sharply.
My framework isn't asking me to predict. It's asking me to respect the evidence.
Defense first. Opportunity later.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Who is moving the market? Should you follow them?
I hope you are not that guy on the ladder :)

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Follow capital.
Follow leadership.
Follow participation.
The trend usually takes care of itself.

Today. Some weakness in leaders participation but looking OK. Health socks waking up? Check their leaders to see :)

[Robert Podolski @macman]

So we have a bit of softness but participation of leaders is still intact. Wouldn't sell anything yet. If leaders want to go up I want to catch the ride :)

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Markets don't move in a straight line.
Simple approach:
•ROC →Seek growth
•ROV →Stay invested, but be selective
•ROF →Stay invested, but prioritize defense
I don't try to predict the future.
I identify the environment and adapt.
The key is knowing which game you're playing.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

ROC+ active.
C20: 80%
C3: 100%
SPMO making highs.
I don't predict. I follow capital.
When participation expands, breakouts work better.
The stock is the passenger.
Participation is the engine.
#Momentum #Trading

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Markets are not driven by one stock.
I've tracked leadership participation for several years.
My observation is that major advances often begin with expanding leadership before the indexes become obvious.
Has anyone else found participation more useful than price alone?

[Robert Podolski @macman]

Market status:
🟢 ROC
🟢 C20: 17/20
🟢 C3: 3/3
🟢 Momentum rising
When 17 of 20 leaders are participating and all 3 leadership groups are aligned, I give the trend the benefit of the doubt.
The market decides when I'm wrong.
#SPMO #Momentum #Trading

[Robert Podolski @macman]

@pauljlange They are coming for sure. So here is my plan.
The moment heiken ashi candle prints doji I am selling a third. If it crosses 10 ma on its way down another third. Once it hits 20 I am out.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

SPMO waking up as ROC conditions improve.
SMH and XLK back in GO mode.
Breadth improving.
Leadership expanding.
Stoch RSI curling up.
This is when momentum names tend to behave cleaner.
The river current matters.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

My biggest trading lesson:
Stop trading stocks.
Start tracking institutions.
Sector leadership.
Market breadth.
Participation.
When institutions are buying together, stocks become predictable.
When they aren't, charts become traps.
The stock is often the last thing I analyze.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

#NVDA+MSFT+AMZN+META+GOOGL+AVGO+TSM+AMD+LRCX+KLAC analysis on @TradingView: https://t.co/kGLk3OGRwI

Core 20 participation sector RS vs SPY whether leadership is broadening or narrowing The goal is simple: Don’t chase breakouts when the market is not supporting them.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

@stonkdadddy Ideal volume action too. Flat on low volume.

[Robert Podolski @macman]

@MisterLowRisk “Im still flat and will remain flat for as long as it takes...”

Amen!!!

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

Tribeca Trade Group Live Stream https://t.co/q7i6sACfj4

[Robert Podolski @macman]

@MissLowRisk Very beautiful color palette!!!!
Love it as much as your market comments😄😄😄😄

[Robert Podolski @macman]

@BigWaveChartist Absolutely correct observation. If you read analysys reports many times they are contradicting themselves. Which means nobody knows. Only price at the moment knows😄