Bloomberg: “Blackrock Inc. slashed the value of a private loan to zero just three months after assessing it at 100 cents on the dollar, marking the second sudden wipeout to recently hit its private-credit division.”
Maybe it’s a trend.
My latest favorite forward looking indicator in inflation is showing renewed disinflation in the next 6 months, with core cpi goods trending back down by mid-2026.
Yeah, I am surprised as well. But that is the data speaking.
The Fed can cut next year. And if this is true, markets pricing in too little rate cuts in 2026.
2/5
The last time CPI had a similar rise to now (right arrow) was 1965 to 1973 (left arrow). The red part followed.
Two things to note.
* 1965 to 1973 is 8 years. The similar rise today took 5 years.
* January 1973, the stock market was also at an all-time high.
Terminator 2 is James Cameron’s best film. It’s not Titanic, it’s not Avatar, and it’s not Aliens- although all amazing films. Oscars be damned, I’m not sure how Cameron could’ve made a better film. Every inch of this movie is perfect- I wouldn’t change a thing. Love to Big Jim.