Mallabar15

[Charles Janus @charles_janus]

Quelques petites choses à savoir avant de passer son ordre en bourse 📊👇

[𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐞𝐭 🧠𝕏 @Mindset_FR]

Donc, tant que vous vivez, continuez à apprendre à vivre.

[Emperor👑 @EmperorBTC]

Releasing the Entire Updated Book for Volume Profile Tutorial for Crypto Trading.

Read it. About 80 Pages of Solids trading Gem.

[Brian Feroldi @BrianFeroldi]

10 powerful visuals every investor should memorize:

1: Dollar-cost averaging makes market timing irrelevant.

[Cred @CryptoCred]

Funding Rates

The funding rate is the cost of holding an open position in a perpetual swap contract (perp).

It is usually calculated by the difference between the [price of the perpetual swap contract] and [price of a spot-based index].

If funding is positive, the perp price is trading at a premium (above) the index price. Open long positions pay funding, open short positions receive funding.

If funding is negative, the perp price is trading at a discount (below) the index price. Open short positions pay funding, open long positions receive funding.

Perps are different to standard futures contracts because there is no expiry or rollover mechanism.

This begs the question: how and why do perps generally trade in line with spot markets?

Answer: Funding.

This is a built-in arbitrage mechanism designed to incentivise traders to keep these instruments (specifically their prices) in line with one another.

For example: Perp trading meaningfully above the spot index price --> funding rate goes up.

Two things happen:

1. It becomes more expensive for long holders to keep their positions open (negative incentive).

2. Traders can buy spot, sell the perp, and collect the funding rate with minimal directional exposure (positive incentive).

The bigger the difference between the perp price and the spot price, the higher the funding rate.

Think of this as providing greater incentives to arb the difference the more out of line these instruments get from each other.

To be crystal clear, funding is primarily a product of the difference between [perp price] and [spot-based index price].

I'll also reiterate an important point from an earlier tweet: if funding is at baseline and/or there is no interesting divergence forming between price, funding, and time - you are unlikely to find an attractive setup.

All of these tools become complementary and contextually interesting when "something doesn't add up" or if they're at/near a relative extreme.

From a trading perspective, identifying divergences between funding and price can lead you closer to productive trade ideas:

1. Example: High positive funding but price is moving lower or stalling/not moving higher.
1.1. Reasonable inference: Perp longs are aggressive but are not being rewarded for it. This is potentially bearish (especially if other contextual clues present e.g. price into key resistance).

2. Example: High negative funding but price is moving higher or stalling/not moving lower.
2.1. Reasonable inference: Perp shorts are aggressive but are not being rewarded for it. This is potentially bullish (especially if other contextual clues present e.g. price into key support).

3. Example: Funding becoming more positive as price is moving lower.
3.1. Reasonable inference: Perp dip buyers are in 'disbelief' fading the move AND/OR spot traders are the aggressive sellers. This is potentially bearish (especially if other contextual clues present e.g. perp OI increasing, spot volumes and CVD leading, et cetera).

4. Example: Funding becoming more negative as price is moving higher.
4.1. Reasonable inference: Perp sellers are in 'disbelief' fading the move AND/OR spot traders are the aggressive buyers (especially if other contextual clues present e.g. perp OI increasing, spot volumes and CVD leading, et cetera).

These are just a few basic ones and you can build more setups especially if you incorporate OI + CVD where appropriate.

In essence, we're circling back to very important first principles here:

1. Who (if anyone) is being aggressive?
2. Is their aggression being rewarded?

As a final note, it's also important to understand not only what the funding rates are and their implications, but also how they came to be.

I can think of three particular examples where funding rates are misinterpreted most frequently.

1. Negative funding after an outsized move with liquidations.

As discussed, funding reflects the difference between the perp price and the index price.

Perps have higher leverage than the spot-based assets that typically make up the index. As a result, when there's a large amount of liquidations in the perp, those liquidations and messy unwinds exacerbate the size of the move.

Perps typically become more dislocated than spot at extremes, so naturally they end up trading at a discount to the index.

Accordingly, the negative funding after a wipeout does not necessarily mean that the market is short from the bottom now. It's just a reflection of perps getting hammered harder than spot because of the leverage that they offer.

2. "Spot premium".

Spot premium - where spot price of an asset is trading consistently higher than the perp or future price of an asset - can provide useful signals.

For example, during the 2021 bull run it was common to see spot exchanges like Coinbase consistently trading at a premium to perps and futures during the U.S. session.

One could reasonably see this as a reflection of risk appetite and more aggressive buyers in the spot market, which is generally a good sign.

However, this same argument was made many times on the way down from circa ~50k BTC - and it didn't quite work out.

Mechanistically, spot was leading the selling --> perps would follow --> perps get liquidated and move more aggressively than spot --> perps end up below spot --> "spot premium".

It's the same spot premium in form but completely different in substance and context.

If you will be relying on spot premium as an argument for spot demand, make sure that you have other arguments for there being demand in the market (not just the funding rate or basis).

3. Dodgy outlier altcoin (max) funding = squeeze imminent.

Particularly pertinent pattern in the second half of 2023.

It goes something like: huge price increase --> hugely negative funding --> speculators pile in the long side for continuation/short squeeze on account of the negative funding rate --> spot gets mega dumped instead and funding normalises.

For the outlier lower caps specifically, I'd be sceptical about looking into funding-oriented stuff too closely as it tends to be 'gamed' more often than not. The signals tend to be clearer on more liquid, higher cap assets.

More broadly, funding alone does not always make for a compelling argument for a squeeze.

You need to first build a prima facie credible case that the aggressors are the ones offside, ideally with some confluence via OI.

Even then, positive funding can normalise by perps closing/spot buying and negative funding can normalise by perps buying/spot selling - without any dramatic squeeze.

There are a lot of other interesting things about funding rates, but this is already quite long for an 'introductory' post.

Hope you enjoyed this one.

Thanks for reading and let me know if you want more.

[𝟑 𝐞̀𝐦𝐞 𝐎𝐞𝐢𝐥 @_3emeOeil]

🟠 Ce discours pourrait convaincre les plus sceptique d'entre nous sur le #Bitcoin

Hasheur nous délivre un moment de légende qui restera dans l'Histoire du BTC✨

[Hasheur @PowerHasheur]

Quand Coinbase contre attaque, ils ne font pas les choses à moitié.

« Les chiffres ne mentent pas ». Coinbase semble bien être prêt à se battre contre le régulateur jusqu’au bout. Ils sont clairement dans une situation d’injustice et veulent le faire entendre.

[Koroush AK @KoroushAK]

If you want to be a full time crypto trader in 2023.

I used my 6 years of experience to make you a whole library of free trading courses.

(It's free, drop a like so more people can see)

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[𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐞𝐭 🧠𝕏 @Mindset_FR]

12 Avantages de garder votre vie privée.

[MoneyRadar @MoneyRadar_FR]

🧵Optimisation fiscale pour les nuls...

Mon entreprise a payé pour l'achat de ma maison et j'ai pas payé d'impôts.

Ma technique secrète de ninja comptable 👇

[𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐞𝐭 🧠𝕏 @Mindset_FR]

[THREAD] Top 8 des leçons de L'Alchimiste de Paulo Coelho.

[President Biden Archived @POTUS46Archive]

Just now, Senators from both parties voted to protect our hard-earned economic progress and prevent a first-ever default.

No one gets everything they want in a negotiation, but make no mistake: this bipartisan agreement is a big win for our economy and the American people.

Our work is far from finished, but I look forward to signing this bill into law as soon as possible and addressing the American people directly tomorrow.

[Alon Levi @opsec_crypto]

Who's excited for Chapter 2?

[Alon Levi @opsec_crypto]

The Ultimate Guide To Liquidity
- Chapter 1 -

What is liquidity?
Why does it matter so much?

🥂

1K likes and I'll consider Chapter 2.

[𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐞𝐭 🧠𝕏 @Mindset_FR]

7 leçons de vie que je connais à 31 ans, que j'aurais aimé savoir à 21 ans :

- Thread -

[Cryptoast @CryptoastMedia]

💡 Insolite : le whitepaper du #Bitcoin rédigé par Satoshi Nakamoto se cache dans chaque version de macOS depuis Mojave (10.14.0) 👀

L'information a été révélée par le blogueur Andy Baio sur le site https://t.co/WTKLkEm4Fh 🧵

[Loup Motivation @Loupmotivation]

10 films qui vont changer votre façon de voir le monde et votre état d'esprit. 👉Thread -

1. À la recherche du bonheur

[AM @_amtrades]

🗒 high-quality reversal structure

[selective preference]

[MoneyRadar @MoneyRadar_FR]

🧵THREAD - L'ascension fulgurante des BRICS

Les BRICS sont en route et plus rien ne peut les arrêter. C'est la fin de l'hégémonie occidentale et le début d'une nouvelle ère...

Ils s'émancipent du dollar 👇

[YRILE @YrileC]

Les 3 projets que j'attends le plus en 2023 :

@CelestiaOrg
@Scroll_ZKP
@anoma

Et vous ?