MamaBear

God ✝️ | Mama 🐻 | Sports obsessed
📊 Data nerd w/ a spreadsheet problem
🏈 TDs • ⚾ HRs • 🏒 Goals • 🏆 Fantasy
I don’t gamble—I run questionable experiments 😂

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🏒 NHL NERD LAB — GAME 1 🤓🧪

First game is here, so time to see what the spreadsheet cooked. 📊

💎 PRIMARY SINGLE
Matthew Tkachuk
👀 SECONDARY
Sam Reinhart

🚀 VALUE WATCH
Andrei Svechnikov — model likes him, but the estimated edge wasn't quite enough to graduate him to Core.
🧪 LAB
Aleksander Barkov
Sandis Vilmanis

⛔ PASS / CONTROL
Brady Tkachuk +165
Sebastian Aho +225
Nikolaj Ehlers +220
Logan Stankoven +225
Jackson Blake +240
Early-season disclaimer: goalie adjustments aren't fully calibrated yet, so we're freezing the model reads + prices and grading EVERYTHING. 🔬

No forcing plays just because hockey is back.
Later slate still cooking... 👩‍🔬🏒📈
#NHL #NHLBetting #NerdLab

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Chills....here we go!

#hockeyisback

[ESPN @espn]

The @NHL leaps into another season today. What awaits on the other side?

We can't wait to find out 🍿

[Elliotte Friedman @FriedgeHNIC]

Kirill Marchenko will indeed make his Maple Leafs debut tonight vs Montreal

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🏒📊 NHL NERD LAB: FIRST LOOK

Hockey model is officially coming out of hibernation. 🤓🧪

Still working through some early-season estimates without fully calibrated goalie adjustments, so we are firmly in “let the data cook” territory.

Buttttt the board is already talking... 👀

🚀 FIRST CALLOUT: Jake DeBrusk

Currently sitting as my leading value watch on the goal-scorer board.

Not calling this a lock. Not even calling it a final play yet.

Just saying the spreadsheets have started whispering. 😂📈

Goalie adjustments + confirmed deployment still to come before anything graduates from the lab. 🧪🏒

#NHL #NHLBetting #NerdLab

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Hockey 🏒 is BACK!!

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Sooooo excited!!!

[Daily Faceoff - Fantasy @DFOFantasy]

⏰ Just under 7 hours until NHL Opening Rosters are due (5pm ET).

We'll have all the roster news and lineup shuffling on https://t.co/G4CYd5ahC0

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

✝️Rise, shine + give God the glory!

Headed to church on this beautiful morning.

I’ll have a few picks for NFL TDs + maybe a few last ⚾️ dingers before the playoffs begin.

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🏈🧪 CFB TD NERD LAB — SATURDAY READS 📊

The spreadsheets have spoken. TD edition. 🤓

💎 LAB-APPROVED
Jordan Faison -122 • Evan Stewart +125 • Lawayne McCoy +140 • Coy Eakin +140 • Dakorien Moore +150
🔥 MODEL HEAT
Tre Richardson +110 • Jaleel Skinner +195 • Cooper Flanagan +220

🚀 LAB RISER
Isaiah Fuhrmann +400
🧪 NERD LAB
Ismael Cisse +500

Lineup status ✓ Matchup strength ✓ Scoring environment ✓ Price ✓
No blind TD streak chasing around here. Just numbers, opportunity & a little lab work. 🧪📈

#CFB #CFBBetting #AnytimeTD

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

✝️Rise, shine + give God the glory!

🔖 Daily Devotional > Read Acts 9:1-31

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🧪⚾ TODAY’S NERD LAB {CHC @ BOS - game 1}

The spreadsheets have spoken. Here’s who survived the experiment:

💎 LAB-APPROVED: Wilyer Abreu • Alex Bregman
🔥 MODEL HEAT: Seiya Suzuki • PCA
🚀 LAB RISERS: Roman Anthony • Tyrone Taylor
🧪 WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT IT: Dansby Swanson
👀 UNDER THE MICROSCOPE: Michael Busch • Mickey Gasper

🥱 CONTROL GROUP: Everybody else.
Numbers crunched. Variables tested. Dingers pending. 🤓📊

⚠️ Fenway has a NEGATIVE environmental overlay so if you want to play it safe run total bases or HRR.

@Slipscoreapp @SlipSurge @PropFinderApp

#MLB #HomeRuns #MLBPicks

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

@MontGA23 I've got PCA popping for game 2 versus game 1 but also when I bet him he does nothing lol 🙃

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Final weekend of running 💥⚾️ HR bets then flipping to NHL goals 🏒 {running my initial data now in preparation and getting sooo excited}!!

#mlbhomeruns

[MLB @MLB]

We’ve reached the final weekend of the regular season 👀

A 17-game slate with lots to be decided across the league 👇

(MLB x @AbbVie)

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

✝️Rise, shine + give God the glory!

My son's memory work for school was John 14:6 so I'm sharing because it's always a great reminder:

Jesus said to him, “I am the way, and the truth, and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me."

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Let's Ride 🤠

Been busy with ⚾️ stats + bets today, peeked briefly at my fantasy team but otherwise haven't looked at 🏈

Used my No Sweat Token on @FanDuelSports too!

[Lambo @Lambo3195]

No sweat TNF 🏈 SGP w/ @Wingnut252

Let us know if you are riding with us 🫡

@Playbook

https://t.co/m0WBtaY16F

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Middle game slate callouts 📊⚾

💎 Top Targets: Acuña • Olson • Schwarby • Elly
🔥 Model Heat: Bellinger • Rice • Ramos • Contreras
💪 Strong Model/Environment: Harper • ARam • Sal • Stephenson • Junior • Riley • Baldwin
🚀 Boost: Geno • Wells
⬆️ Trending: ❌
🧪 Nerd Lab Research Rescues: Yaz • Lombard • Turang • DeLauter • Gasper

Went a little deeper into the numbers on this slate — these are the names that kept popping through the model I've been tweaking along with some convergence markers. 🤓📈

@Slipscoreapp @SlipSurge @PropFinderApp
#MLB #MLBPicks #HomeRuns

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

💥🤩👏 Let's GOOO!!

[MLB @MLB]

SOUTH SIDE STAND UP!

The @WhiteSox have #CLINCHED a spot in the Postseason!

(MLB x @BudweiserUSA)

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🧐Very interesting clusters developing on my spreadsheet today from the homers hit in the early slate of games📊

Waiting on TB, CIN and ATL to confirm lineups to run the mid-day slate and hopefully I can post a few picks! ⚾️

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

Go Go White Sox ⚾️ https://t.co/GLY7I5KRGC

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

🌞✝️🐻📊 Rise, Shine and give God the glory!

Got the kiddo off to school and crunching the stats from yesterday.

I'll try to get my picks for the entire slate posted today (my son had a baseball game of his own yesterday ⚾️).

Also.....hockey 🏒 in a few days I'm stoked!!!

[MamaBear @mamatuck29]

RIP Coop ⚾️😢

[Chicago White Sox @whitesox]

The White Sox send our condolences to the family, friends and fans of Don Cooper, who has passed away at 70.

Don Cooper spent 33 seasons as a coach in the White Sox organization from 1988-2020, including 18 full seasons as the major-league pitching coach. Cooper served as the pitching coach for the 2005 World Series champion club, which became the first team since the 1928 Yankees to toss four consecutive complete games in a single postseason.

Forever in our thoughts.