Giacomo Manferdini

Econ PhD student at @UniBocconi. Thinking about political and behavioral economics.

[Rodrigo Wagner @RodrigoWagnerB]

Voters may not recall correlation between policies and outcomes

Political narratives can exploit that through plausible narratives that reattribute outcomes to steal credit & shift blame

But with new govt is in office, narrative fades to reality and voters penalize incumbent

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

Big picture: politics is not only a competition over which policies work. When causality is hard, it is also a competition over plausible narratives. That can weaken the role of true policy quality.

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

Very happy that my paper with @frbilo found a wonderful home.

This was our second-year paper, and in many ways where research started for us: many conversations, whiteboards, arguments about politics and narratives, some frustration, and lots of fun.

What is it about? 👇

[AEA Journals @AEAjournals]

AEJ: Microeconomics: "Coarse Memory and Plausible Narratives" by Francesco Bilotta and Giacomo Manferdini. https://t.co/gSX5ZUOetZ

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

We also study analogy-based narratives, truth-telling preferences, and heterogeneous voter feedback.

These extensions can constrain persuasion, restore an edge for the better policy, or backfire by deterring the better politician from playing dirty.

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

@mtt_brs Yes, there is an old finding that incumbents lose consensus on average (Paldam, 1986), and this is getting larger over time (checked data myself as motivation for some work). We have a take on a possible why in a paper (https://t.co/Ba1tHqNFXb) and in another work in progress.

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

@jburnmurdoch Our take on (one of the) why. When politicians compete on claiming who is the best, incumbents face a natural disadvantage: they have to take some blame for what goes bad, while challengers are unconstrained in claiming they could do much better.

Paper: https://t.co/Ba1tHqNFXb

[Journal of Public Economics @JPubEcon]

Recently published paper in the @JPubEcon :

"The Limits of Social Recognition: Experimental Evidence from Blood Donors"
Vol 231 (Mar 2024)

by Lorenz Goette (@LorenzGoette , @NUSResearch ) & Egon Tripodi (@EgonTripodi , @thehertieschool )

https://t.co/p7d6k6CCXo

[Egon Tripodi @EgonTripodi]

📣 (Please RT)
@LorenzGoette
and I are hiring a predoc, for 1-2 years. Dive into research, learn the tools of modern experimental work and get ready for grad school applications. To apply: https://t.co/ls37NBMOWD
@econ_ra
1/4

[Giacomo Manferdini @ManferdiniG]

Amazing opportunity to work with exceptional scholars, get really exposed to research, and gain valuable skills. Definitely highly recommended!

[Egon Tripodi @EgonTripodi]

📣 (Please RT) @LorenzGoette and I are hiring a predoc, for 1-2 years, to support our experimental agenda. Dive into research, learn the tools of modern experimental work and get ready for grad school applications. Link to application: https://t.co/qt8El0Tyk8 @econ_ra 1/4

[Felix Chopra @FelixChopra]

We are incredibly excited to kick off a three-day Ph.D. course on Subjective Beliefs, Attention, and Economic Behavior @CEBI_UCPH in Copenhagen. We have an amazing group of Ph.D. students from all over the world attending the course! @cp_roth @Ingar30 @SettSonja @JoWohlfart

[Ethan Mollick @emollick]

Three truths about social media platforms, no matter who owns them.

Truth 1: Moderation is required or trolls destroy the platform. Further, without temporary bans or content removal to educate first time offenders on the guidelines they violated, more people become trolls.

[Egon Tripodi @EgonTripodi]

V excited to release a new paper with @LorenzGoette, after so many years working on it!

Does social recognition promote good citizenship?

We study this question in 🇮🇹 with repeat blood donors.

📃 https://t.co/DNfyMxDSDu

🧵Hear me out: 1/12

[Econometrica @ecmaEditors]

Teams like @OESatGSA @BIT_Americas run 100s of nudge RCTs to improve govt. New paper by @sdellavi @ElizabethLinos show significant +ve effects of these low-cost nudges across all trials. But why is effect size smaller than in academic papers? Learn more...https://t.co/jl9651Njs9