@TheFlowHorse Only worth it if you want to arb vol from CME against dbit/OTC desks assuming ur doing crypto on there, margin reqs high. With the spot etf there should be some great opportunities to buy vol early morning & sell it to retail after mkt opens. Have to delta hedge effectively tho
If there’s one thing you read today it must be @andyverity’s sensational account of what really happened with Libor rigging. New evidence reveals coordinated manipulation by international central banks. https://t.co/tmYOMOSc1b
Hard disagree here. The largest creditors are the largest MMs in crypto - with spot liquidity languishing there would be huge incentives for makers to provide liquidity there, and incentives for takers who got rugged to trade there & pay themselves. New management team adds trust
It’s insane that reopening FTX would even be a consideration. The brand has been irreparably damaged, Sam’s shenanigans were the only thing giving it hypergrowth, and new customers will be weary of being exit liquidity for the debtors. There must be colossal outside pressure.
The market's base case is now that hikes are over and there will be four cuts by end of year. Fed funds futures have been quite volatile, but still incredibly dramatic change in outlook from even Monday
Dear God. Barney Frank openly admits that Signature was arbitrarily shuttered despite no insolvency because regulators wanted to kill off the last major pro-crypto bank. Colossal scandal
https://t.co/Sa25w6Au7b
sometimes i think cantillon insiders couldn't possibly be too stupid to understand the meta game with the state of US commercial banking, but then other times i hear stuff like this
I'M HEARING FEDERAL BANK REGULATORS are mad that "people warning each other about SVB" on Twitter exacerbated its bank run. But Twitter isn't the problem--risky banks are the problem. If Twitter rumors can bring a bank down in <48hrs, it was fragile. Regulators have work to do.
In fact, in the insti space you don't get paid for performance per se, you get paid for AUM. Performance is really just a marketing tool, but not strictly necessary for an individual to earn $$$ by running a fund if they're a good marketer. This is crucial to understand IMO
My take, having faced basically every large fund/trader in crypto in OTC trades in spot & options, is that there are no pure "sharps", no masters of the universe, no people who are always right. Certainly many have made great fortunes over time, but even they are wrong a lot.