Elon Musk avait dit un truc qui m'avait marqué sur l'allocation de ressources. En substance : passé un certain niveau de richesse, l'argent n'est plus de la consommation, c'est de l'allocation de capital.
Cette phrase change tout.
L'économie, dans le fond, c'est juste un problème d'allocation. Tu as des ressources finies et des usages infinis. Qui décide où va quoi ?
Imagine une cour de récré. 100 enfants, des paquets de cartes Pokémon distribués au hasard. Tu laisses faire. Très vite, un ordre émerge. Les bons joueurs accumulent les cartes rares, les collectionneurs trient, les négociateurs trouvent des deals. Personne n'a planifié. Et pourtant chaque carte finit dans les mains de celui qui en tire le plus de valeur. Le système maximise le bonheur total de la cour. C'est ça, la main invisible.
Maintenant fais entrer la maîtresse. Elle trouve ça injuste. Léo a 50 cartes, Tom en a 3. Elle confisque, redistribue, impose l'égalité. Trois effets immédiats. Les bons joueurs arrêtent de jouer, à quoi bon. Les mauvais n'ont plus de raison de progresser, ils auront leur part. Les échanges s'effondrent. La cour est égale, et morte. Elle a maximisé l'égalité, elle a détruit le bonheur.
Le problème de la maîtresse, c'est qu'elle ne peut pas avoir l'information que la cour avait collectivement. C'est le problème du calcul économique de Mises, formulé en 1920. L'URSS a essayé de le résoudre pendant 70 ans avec le Gosplan. Résultat : pénuries, queues, effondrement. Pas parce que les Soviétiques étaient bêtes, parce que le problème est mathématiquement insoluble en mode centralisé.
Quand Musk a 200 milliards, il ne les consomme pas, il les alloue. SpaceX, Starlink, Neuralink, xAI. Chaque dollar est un pari sur le futur. Et lui a un track record. PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX. Il a démontré qu'il sait identifier des problèmes immenses et y allouer des ressources avec un rendement spectaculaire.
L'État aussi a un track record. Hôpitaux qui s'effondrent, éducation qui décline, dette qui explose, services publics qui se dégradent malgré des budgets en hausse constante. Le marché identifie les bons allocateurs, la politique identifie les bons communicants.
Le profit n'est pas une finalité, c'est un signal. Il dit : tu as alloué des ressources rares vers un usage que les gens valorisent suffisamment pour payer. Plus le profit est gros, plus la création de valeur est grande. Quand Starlink est rentable, ça veut dire que des millions de gens dans des zones rurales ont enfin internet. Quand un ministère est en déficit, ça veut dire qu'il consomme plus qu'il ne produit. L'un crée, l'autre détruit, et on appelle ça redistribution.
Dans nos sociétés il y a deux catégories d'acteurs. Les entrepreneurs et les bureaucrates. L'entrepreneur prend un risque personnel pour identifier un problème, mobiliser des ressources, créer une solution. S'il se trompe il perd. S'il a raison, ses clients gagnent, ses employés gagnent, ses fournisseurs gagnent, l'État collecte des impôts. Il est la cellule de base du progrès humain.
Le bureaucrate ne prend aucun risque personnel. Son salaire est garanti. Au mieux il maintient une rente existante. Au pire il la détruit par excès de réglementation, mauvaise allocation forcée, incitations perverses qui découragent ceux qui produisent. Mais dans aucun cas il ne crée.
Regarde les 50 dernières années. iPhone, internet civil, SpaceX, Tesla, Google, Amazon, Stripe, mRNA, ChatGPT. Toutes des inventions privées, portées par des entrepreneurs, financées par du capital risque. Pas un seul ministère n'a inventé quoi que ce soit qui ait changé ta vie au quotidien.
La France est devenue le laboratoire mondial de la dérive bureaucratique. 57% du PIB en dépenses publiques, record absolu. Une administration tentaculaire, une fiscalité qui pénalise la création de richesse. Résultat : décrochage face aux États-Unis, à l'Allemagne, à la Suisse. Fuite des cerveaux. Désindustrialisation. Dette qui explose.
Et le pire c'est que la mauvaise allocation s'auto-renforce. Plus l'État prélève, moins les entrepreneurs créent. Moins ils créent, moins il y a de base fiscale. Plus l'État s'endette et taxe. Boucle de rétroaction négative parfaite. La maîtresse pense qu'elle aide, et chaque année la cour produit moins.
Dans nos sociétés, ce sont les entrepreneurs, toujours, qui font avancer la civilisation. Les bureaucrates au mieux maintiennent une rente, au pire la détruisent. Aucune société n'a jamais progressé en taxant ses créateurs pour subventionner ses gestionnaires.
La question n'est jamais qui a combien. C'est qui alloue le mieux la prochaine unité de ressource pour maximiser le futur de l'humanité. La réponse depuis 200 ans n'a jamais changé. Ce ne sont pas les fonctionnaires.
@BrianRoemmele Fantastic article. It would be great to restrict training data to, say, pre 2001 (if not earlier)
I wonder if transparency could mitigate. Openly flag agents who lie/collude to all of the othr agents (although it might be seen as a list of good collusion partners)
@elonmusk Each company Elon started was itself an impossibility. The chance of being here today is calculated at zero percent probability to the 5th power. Yet, here we are.
Yesterday, you got to live through one of the most historic sell-offs in the history of precious metals trading on planet earth.
But what the heck actually happened?
https://t.co/mlYz3n2Rnl via @Sorenthek#gold#silver
Here it is:
Gary Berntsen, a veteran of the U.S. Air Force and Senior Operations Officer/Chief of Station, the Central Intelligence Agency:
Smartmatic and Dominion overthrew the U.S. government in 2020. The FBI, DOJ, and CISA covered it up.
Gary Berntsen:
“Dominion Voting Systems manages elections in almost all the swing states in the U.S., which determines who wins the presidency. We have evidence and witnesses who can prove that the source code operating the election machines of both Smartmatic and Dominion, as well as other election companies, is owned by the Venezuelan narco regime. We also have evidence and witnesses proving that the machines are manufactured in the People’s Republic of China.”
“We briefed a senior FBI agent in Washington, D.C. That agent, after viewing our three-hour presentation of evidence, told us to flee Washington, D.C., warning that the FBI would actively work to destroy our efforts and look for ways to prosecute us in order to stop our investigation.”
Both @FoxNews and @NEWSMAX were offered access to the evidence, including witnesses who could prove the voting machines were rigged.
Both declined the offer.
Gary Berntsen:
“Fox News corporate knew that we had significant evidence—and, more importantly, witnesses.”
“Every citizen needs to be asking: Where is the @FBIDirectorKash, @AGPamBondi, @CISAgov, and @CIADirector?”
In other words:
A: Who really paid for their settlements (bribes)? The People’s Republic of Communist China.
B: It’s no coincidence that Dominion Rigging Systems was just sold last week and rebranded as ‘Liberty Vote’, as the DOJ indicted Smartmatic officials for money laundering and a $1 million bribe.
Today is the *four-year anniversary* of Senator Durbin sending a letter to the DC Office of Disciplinary Counsel seeking to have me disbarred though I never testified to Senator Durbin. He was proceeding based on New York Times leaks.
The letter touched off four years of litigation— and you don’t want to know at what expense, and lost income, to me, to my family, the loss of friends, the randomness of who fled from me, and of old and new friends coming to offer their support and prayers.
In the picture below, there are 13 binders. This is just capturing *one of my four cases* with the DC Bar and also does not include my District Court and DC Circuit removal cases, the J6 Committee attacks on me, the attacks of other congressional committees in the House and Senate, the Jack Smith proceedings, or the Fani Willis proceedings. Each binder in just this one matter is about 500 double-sided pages. So about 13,000 pages in all.
I am responsible for substantial parts of the 13,000 pages but to keep myself afloat I also am grateful to my stalwart team of lawyers who often worked for no pay or very slow pay.
And the Bar case all started with a Durbin letter prepared against me without any first-hand knowledge, and coming at a time where a lack of first-hand knowledge was legally fatal to seeing an ethics charge docketed in DC. DC would not change its rules to drop the requirement of first hand-knowledge until January 2023 — 2+ years after my 2020-election-related work at DOJ and consultations with President Trump had long ended.
But that kind of law, especially, cannot constitutionally have retroactive effect. Yet despite that point being a basic and obvious principle of our American law—so-called due process “fair notice”—Bar authorities proceeded against me anyway.
Under-seal litigation in DC against me by the Bar began in February 2022 (and note that the papers in that six months of litigation also aren’t in the 13 binders above). I couldn’t talk about the litigation until I was charged publicly in July 2022. I was effectively gagged in order to contain the damage the legal investigation was causing to me. My ability to bring allies to my cause was thus significantly hampered in the first half of 2022.
Four long years of litigation, crushing expense, and strife, and it started with an officious intermeddler letter to the Bar that should have almost immediately gone in the circular file for lack of first-hand knowledge.
Lastly, the Durbin letter was based on leaks to the New York Times that must have included lawyers breaching their duties when they leaked, yet the DC Bar showed no interest in finding the lawyers and those who breached executive privilege, among other privileges. None.
All of this bears out the Bible—be patient and wait on the Lord: “Rest in the Lord, and wait patiently for him: fret not thyself because of him who prospereth in his way, because of the man who bringeth wicked devices to pass.” Psalm 37:7.
For just yesterday, the day before the fourth anniversary, the U.S. Department of Justice arrived on the litigation battlefield to explain why the Bar action against me is illegal and to defend my cause.
Weaponization of bar processes must end.
I’m turning 41, but I don’t feel like celebrating.
Our generation is running out of time to save the free Internet built for us by our fathers.
What was once the promise of the free exchange of information is being turned into the ultimate tool of control.
Once-free countries are introducing dystopian measures such as digital IDs (UK), online age checks (Australia), and mass scanning of private messages (EU).
Germany is persecuting anyone who dares to criticize officials on the Internet. The UK is imprisoning thousands for their tweets. France is criminally investigating tech leaders who defend freedom and privacy.
A dark, dystopian world is approaching fast — while we’re asleep. Our generation risks going down in history as the last one that had freedoms — and allowed them to be taken away.
We’ve been fed a lie.
We’ve been made to believe that the greatest fight of our generation is to destroy everything our forefathers left us: tradition, privacy, sovereignty, the free market, and free speech.
By betraying the legacy of our ancestors, we’ve set ourselves on a path toward self-destruction — moral, intellectual, economic, and ultimately biological.
So no, I’m not going to celebrate today. I’m running out of time. WE are running out of time.
@daveedscot7@mihelich_mike@DailyLoud 1. Read carefully so thst you can stop shaking your head..."Often" passed on to American consumers, not always to completely passed on
2. But an American made product. No tariff (and good for the country)