Marius Stefan

Gods child

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@gbuhnici Dă Buhnici sfaturi la ingineri de o viață smh. Înainte să zici ceva încearcă măcar să înțelegi un sistem hybrid de la Toyota. Oamenii ăștia făceau hibride înainte să fie cool “electricitatea”. No hate vs EVs, dar lipsa de obiectivitate nu indică decât amatorism superficial…

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@blmihnea Daca il intrebi, nu stiu, pe Simonis, merita. Tu ai vazut ce palat și-a facut? Cum să nu merite.

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

Price Action is KING

Astazi am decis sa va explic in detaliu de ce Pretul este Rege iar restul informatiilor, parerilor, fundamentelor sunt secundare, indiferent ce mental gymastics incearca X si Y sa va convinga pe social media.

Salvati threadul pentru mai tarziu: 🧵👇

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

13/ Am scris acest in romana pentru ca e nevoie de educatie financiara in tara noastra si sper sa ajunga la cat mai multi oameni.

Daca ti-a fost de folos, da-i un share si un like sa ajunga si la altii. Pentru mai multe, te astept la ParadigmShift:

https://t.co/V11DCsxWpE

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@EBidirean @realdanielnita What? Tu ai ascultat piesa lui? Chiar a fost dificilă cu multe schimbări de registre, poate nu a avut dansuri si măgării dar vocal chiar a fost top imo. Îți dai seama ca mi-ar fi plăcut enorm să câștige RO. Dar era understandable dacă câștiga Israel. Da bangaranga e chiar stupid

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@realdanielnita For real… noroc cu reality check ul de la spectatori

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@flaviusmg89 60% stable
12% aave
11% zro
11% eth
6% pengu 🙈
Give or take la alts +\-1

[Flavius Daniel @flaviusmg89]

A mentor of mine, a previous hedge fund manager, a wise man that now is 72 years old, once said:

"They can fake price moves on lower timeframes, but they cannot fake them on higher timeframes. At higher timeframes, they have no advantage over you — your chances of being right or wrong are equal."

That's why most of you should never study a chart below the daily timeframe, you should pair weekly and daily into your analysis and action process, and you will achieve greater results.

And always remember : Real money is made on higher timeframes and pocket money is made on lower timeframes.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@CryptoAici Yup, get ready for a long squeeze. Nasty business.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@flaviusmg89 Didn’t it come back tho? FEDs total assets grew like 2% since December, breaking the downward trend.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@MisterSpread I hear you. Any ways, didn’t have enough space in the initial reply, but it have to mention that it was a really nice parallel with the Roman edict. Much love and keep up the good work <3

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

Edictum de Pretiis Rerum Venalium - Japan's Takaichi the modern Diocletian?

Now this one is interesting, because Japan is floating the idea of stepping into crude $Oil futures is the kind of headline that sounds proactive on the surface, but history has a funny way of reminding us how these stories tend to end. And for that, let me take you on a quick trip back to ancient Rome.

Let’s talk about Diocletian, the Roman Emperor, who around 301 AD, walked into an economy that was basically on fire. Inflation was ripping, currency was being debased and prices were running wild (sounds familiar?!)

His solution felt logical at the time, as he said enough is enough and dropped what became known as the Edict on Maximum Prices. In simple terms, he tried to cap how expensive goods could be across the entire empire. Food, labor, services, you name it, a full system override.

On paper, it looked like control. In reality, it turned into chaos.

Merchants stopped selling because prices were too low to make a profit, then supply dried up. Black markets popped up everywhere because people will always find a way to trade at the real price.

Enforcement got ugly, as penalties were harsh and none of it fixed the root problem. Prices did not fall because of the edict, they disappeared because goods disappeared. Rome did not beat inflation. It just pushed it into the shadows.

Now fast forward to today.

When you hear that a government is considering intervention in crude oil futures, the instinct might be to think they are trying to stabilize things.

Smooth volatility & protect consumers and it might sound reasonable. But markets, especially energy markets, are not something you can just pin down and expect to behave (especially when the conflict in the MiddleEast is still ongoing).

Oil is NOT just a price on a screen, it is a global balancing act between supply, demand, geopolitics, and expectations. Futures markets exist to reflect that constantly shifting reality. The moment you try to artificially steer & fk around with price, you are no longer discovering value, you are DICTATING it.

And that is where things can start breaking.

If intervention pushes prices lower than where they should be, producers can feel it first. Margins can get squeezed, investment slows. Why drill more if the price is being held down?

Over time, supply tightens. Then when reality catches up, prices do not gently move higher. They snap higher & the move can become more violent, not less.

If intervention goes the other way and props prices up, you hit demand. Consumers pull back, substitution kicks in and efficiency becomes the priority. Again, you distort the natural flow and the adjustment later tends to be sharper.

Same movie, different century.

Diocletian tried to control prices without fixing the underlying imbalance. Today, if governments step into oil futures without addressing supply constraints or demand dynamics, they risk doing the same thing. You do not remove pressure, you just relocate it. Usually to a place where it builds quietly before releasing all at once.

And HERE is the key part: Markets are forward looking. The second participants sense that prices are being managed rather than discovered, trust takes a hit.

Liquidity can thin, volatility can actually increase because fewer participants are willing to engage in a market that feels artificial. That is how you go from trying to calm things down to accidentally making them more unstable.

So when you see headlines like this, do not just think intervention equals stability. Sometimes it is the opposite and sometimes it is the first step in creating a bigger imbalance down the road.

Rome tried to freeze prices and ended up freezing supply. Energy markets are more complex, but the principle is the same. You can lean on price for a while, but you CANNOT override reality forever.

Let’s see how far they are willing to go with this, whether it turns into a miracle save or straight up economic seppuku.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@AdelinManolache @andreibratucu Am si eu la fel din 2023. Cea mai buna decizie ever. Odată ce înțelegi tot mecanismul si ce bine gândit e, atunci realizezi ca “luxul mașinii” e sub capotă nu la plasticul moale sau tare sau la nuanța de led de pe bord.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@realdanielnita Wdym by “totul”. Si pls nu spune ceva vag ca “sistemul” 😅

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@Daractenus Honest opinion. I always leaned centre right kinda libcon, with the republicans. When I was less knowledgeable during his first term, I was supporting him, due to populist claims(bad ik) However his second term made me utterly hate him. Struggling to find anything good he does.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@flaviusmg89 Aia da, but such an early ATH? Seems like a nice dream. Hope you’re right.

[Marius Stefan @marivs1998]

@CryptoAici Deci Khamenei Jr. e de fapt șoferul. It all makes sense now. O fi Georgica prieten cu americanii, dar când se leagă de “amant”, se rupe firul iubirii.