Market With Hemant

Macro Market Analyst 📊
Specialised in identifying major BTC & market Tops/Bottoms
BTC $126K • Silver $118 • NIFTY 26.2K • Oil $58
Calls publicly documented.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

People blame the PM.
They blame the FM.
They blame GDP.
They blame crude oil.
They blame wars.
They blame Trump.
They blame manipulation.
There is always something to blame.

But sometimes, the uncomfortable truth is much simpler:

The market isn't the problem. Your lack of trading skills is.

We were on the right side of the market.
I publicly shared the short around 26.2K back in December, and documented the analysis publicly.

Then I took another short around August, again shared publicly, and captured 2K+ points from that move.

No hindsight. No deleted calls. No paid signal group.

And this is exactly why I keep saying:

Follow the right people. Learn from the right mentors.

Not someone selling you a magical indicator, a chart pattern, or a “100% accurate strategy” with endless bla bla bla.

Trading is not about finding a secret indicator.

It's about understanding market structure, liquidity, risk management, execution and psychology.

I have been sharing my analysis, calls and knowledge free of cost.

No subscription. No paid signals. No charge for guidance.

I may not have the recognition or follower count that some others have today.

That's okay.

I know what I've documented. I know what I've shared. And I know I didn't start sharing only after the move happened.

Maybe one day the crowd will come.

And when they do, I want them to be able to look back and say:

“He was already sharing it publicly when nobody was watching—and he never charged us for it.”

Build skill.
Build discipline.
Stop looking for excuses.

The market will always be there. The question is whether you'll be ready for it.

#NIFTY

NFA, DYOR

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

BTC Market Update 📊

As shown in the highlighted area, BTC is still internally bullish on the 4H timeframe. Yesterday’s volatility move toward the bearish side also came directly into the 4H swing BOS/MSS zone, which had additional confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.

To be honest, with the recent volatility, I am not completely certain about the immediate direction. However, my preference remains on the bullish side for now.

I still expect an upside move toward and potentially above the Yearly Open at 87.5K, followed by a larger correction to the downside.

As I mentioned earlier, I am expecting a larger correction sometime in October, although my initial expectation was for it to develop more toward the middle of the month.

The market is not building exactly as I initially expected, but the broader idea has not been technically invalidated yet.

Current Key Zone

The 84.507K–84.967K area is important because this is where the relevant BOS/MSS candles are positioned.

If BTC gives a proper break and acceptance below this zone, then the probability of moving lower toward 83K and potentially below increases. 81.67K also remains an important pending-liquidity zone.

That is not my primary expectation right now, but the market does not move according to our expectations — it moves according to confirmations.

So I want to see the lower-timeframe structure shifts and liquidity behaviour before planning the actual trade. Liquidity is still present on both sides, meaning both scenarios remain possible.

Macro/Event Watch 📅

Tomorrow we also have the FOMC minutes from the September 15–16 meeting, scheduled for 2:00 PM ET, which is 11:30 PM IST. It is important to note that these are the FOMC minutes, not a new FOMC rate decision.

At the same time, TOKEN2049 Singapore is taking place on October 7–8, with the wider TOKEN2049 Week running from October 5–11.

From a broader timing perspective, this still makes the early-October bullish phase followed by a potential bearish move later in October an interesting scenario to monitor. But these are only pre-plans, not predictions or confirmations.

Key Levels 🎯

• 87.5K → Yearly Open / immediate major upside target
• 84.507K -84.967K → important 4H BOS/MSS zone
• 82.8K → Weekly Structure Shift
• 81.67K → Pending downside liquidity
• 72.97K–73K → Major pending liquidity / larger correction objective

For now, bullish preference remains intact, but I am not forcing the direction. We will wait for lower-timeframe confirmation and react accordingly.

Liquidity is on both sides. The market will decide which one gets taken first.

Not Financial Advice. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

DAY 20 — DAILY MORNING LEVELS
📅 06/10/2026

BTC
Upside key level: 85800-86100
Downside key level: 84500-84850

ETH
Upside key level: 2833-2859
Downside key level: 2647-2671

XRP
Upside key level:1.7316-1.7536
Downside key level: 1.4425-1.4625

SOL
Upside key level: 141.86-143.19
Downside key level: 112.39-115.60

BNB
Upside key level: 862.86-869.97
Downside key level: 739.67-742.01

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@Cryptowithkhan iykyk :)

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

BTC Market Update 📊

As shared earlier, the 85.21K–85.88K zone remains the key area. BTC has recently closed above this zone and is continuing to hold above it, so for now we remain bullish and are looking for higher prices toward the 87.5K Yearly Open.

As long as BTC continues to hold above 85.21K, the bullish structure remains valid. A proper close back below 85.21K would change the current setup, and below that level we would start looking for short opportunities instead.

The broader “Uptober” bullish narrative is also gaining attention, which can continue supporting the upside in the short term. Historically, October has often been a strong month for BTC, although that obviously does not guarantee the same outcome this year.

At the same time, this is exactly why I am keeping the larger correction scenario in mind. A strong bullish narrative can continue attracting buyers and create the conditions for a later correction.

As mentioned earlier, I still think a larger downside move toward the 73K pending-liquidity area could develop sometime during October, but we will only focus on that if the price action actually starts building the setup.

For now, we are bullish. I would expect the current week to remain bullish unless BTC gives us a proper close back below 85.21K.

Key Levels 🎯

• 87.5K → Yearly Open / immediate major upside target
• 85.21K- 85.88K → key zone
• 81.67K → Pending liquidity
• 72.97K–73K → Major pending liquidity / larger correction objective

For now: bullish above 85.21K → 87.5K remains in focus. Below 85.21K on a proper close → reassess for shorts.

Not Financial Advice. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

DAY 19 — DAILY MORNING LEVELS
📅 05/10/2026

BTC
Upside key level: 90450-91100
Downside key level: 80809-82090

ETH
Upside key level: 2833-2859
Downside key level: 2435-2458

XRP
Upside key level:1.7316-1.7536
Downside key level: 1.3731-1.3898

SOL
Upside key level: 141.86-143.19
Downside key level: 109.42-110.07

BNB
Upside key level: 862.86-869.97
Downside key level: 739.67-742.01

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@OptionTrading03 we want 21700

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@Sanu9631 might be possible but I think it will take time may be when we will look for bear cycle starting.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

1/11

HYPE has continuously been showing PO3/distributive price behavior on higher timeframes, and I think this is something that should not be ignored technically.

There is also a strong liquidity curvature toward the downside.

I am not saying this scenario will definitely happen, and honestly, I am not sure whether it will be possible at all.

But technically, there are still some chances that HYPE could eventually move below its all-time low.

The probability may be very low, but the possibility is there, and I think it is important to keep that scenario in mind rather than assuming that HYPE can only go up from here.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@Cryptowithkhan 🫶

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

11/11

So, putting everything together:

Supply unlocks + extreme valuation + continuous outperformance + FOMO + PO3/distribution behavior + bearish HYPE/TOTAL3 + bearish HYPE/TOTAL + bearish HYPE/TOTAL3ES + bearish HYPE/ETH + liquidity concerns + the market's belief that HYPE will keep exploding.

Does this mean HYPE must crash?
No.

Could HYPE still pump?
Absolutely.

Could it become much stronger if the broader crypto market enters a powerful bull phase?

Yes, that is also possible.

But based on the current technical structure, I believe the downside risk is being underestimated.

There are still other perspectives I want to investigate — including the BNB/Hyperliquid competitive angle, institutional involvement, supply dynamics, regulatory developments, liquidity, and other factors.

With time, we can see which scenario actually develops.

For now, I would not blindly assume that because HYPE has performed extremely well, it must continue doing the same.

Might be HYPE becomes the next major crypto gem.

Maybe it becomes one of the most brutal downside examples of this cycle.

NFA. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

10/11

Then there is another interesting psychological/fundamental factor.

HYPE has already received very strong positive attention, including the Trump-related regulatory/onshoring narrative, which helped push HYPE significantly higher.

But I personally don't want to look at positive news in isolation.

Financial Markets has repeatedly shown that positive news can arrive around euphoric tops, while negative news often appears around bottoms.

We also have the previous HYPE + POPCAT/Hyperliquid manipulation incident as something worth remembering.

The incident involved a trader using multiple wallets and leveraged positions around POPCAT, resulting in a major trading disruption and losses for Hyperliquid's liquidity pool.

So the broader lesson for me is:

Liquidity is the real belief of the market.

If liquidity is there, price can be pushed much further than people expect — in either direction.

And the idea that someone could potentially try something similar on a much larger scale is a risk I would not completely dismiss.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@WEEX_Official ethereum:0x44ff8620b8ca30902395a7bd3f2407e1a091bf73