Jeff Markovich

Proud Husband, Father, Grandfather. Fantasy Football Fan, Die hard Green Bay Packer Fan. #SFB12, #SFB13, #SFB14, #SFB15, #SFB16. My life is truly blessed.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@RyanMc23 Congrats Ryan. Truly an accomplishment.

[Zach Attack ❤️‍🔥 (Top 0.2% 🌯) @FFChalupaBatman]

The first 🌊 of #SFB16 invites went out this week!

Orlando Live is filling up!

If you want a chance to draft at Orlando then fill out the interst form ASAP!
➡️ https://t.co/BeZV5MCBnN

When: 7/18 at 1pm
Where: @RockPitBrewing

Supporting @feedhopenow 🫶🏻

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

Always blessed and an honor to get to play in #SFB16. This will be my fifth year in a row. Great cause, have met some great people in those 5 years. Look forward to helping out @FFChalupaBatman in the Orlando Live Draft. Thanks @ScottFish24 @RyanMc23

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@FFChalupaBatman We go every year. If you like roller coasters, they have the best. Think sometimes it gets a bad rap.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@iChubbFFB @ScottFish24 Back to Orlando my friend. Great to meet you and your wife last year. Let's do a repeat.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@FFChalupaBatman @ScottFish24 @FantasyCaresOrg @RyanMc23 @DynastyOuthouse @Stephen_Roto @SalLetoFF Would love to do the Orlando draft with you again this year Zach (maybe I'll remember my #SFB glass this year). Would love to get more involved and help out more in any way you need help. Picking up donations, helping with anything else you need to take some off your plate.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@MADDL007 @ScottFish24 What a great run representing the Florida Gators Division #SFB15. 22nd overall finish. Awesome showing Sir. It was an honor to play against you this year.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@ScottFish24 @TheExtraPointFF Congrats Ben. Awesome feet.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@blitzlink_ @blitzlink_ Ryan, I have to make a decision this am to go with Dowdle or Marks? I know you're busy but appreciate your thoughts. I see here you have e Dowdle as the start. Appreciate the grind. Keep it up, great work.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@ScottFish24 Half PPR.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@ScottFish24 Half Point PPR

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@RyanReynoldsNFL Yes it has been a long time. Fun rivalry. Good luck today.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@ScottFish24 Scott, sorry I missed you at the Water Oaks Country Club on the 11th. Didn't know you were in Fl. Would have dropped by.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@ScottFish24 Grateful you are here. Great advice in this thread for all of us to utilize everyday.

[Shaan @ShaanS7_]

NFL Week 10 Full Preview 🏈

❤️🏈

The Rams get their revenge on the San Francisco 49ers. ❤️💛

As a fan of the San Francisco 49ers, I had a ton of hope for this team going into the season. But injuries have derailed this team to a point where I think this is a bottom 5-8 defense in the NFL. The 49ers' defense ranks 28th in defensive success rate and 23rd in EPA/Pass. Without Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, this defense has struggled to get stops in the crucial moments of games. Now the 49ers' defense is going to be without their best run defender in Mykel Williams and are going to be without their 2nd-round pick Alfred Collins in this matchup. Now they are going to face a Rams team that ranks 8th in PPG and 5th in offensive success rate. In my opinion, the Rams are the best team in the NFC. The Rams have an elite defense and an offense that could be the best in the NFL on any given Sunday. Matthew Stafford has been playing at an MVP level this season.

Here are Matthew Stafford's stats this season:
2,147 Passing Yards
21 Touchdowns
2 Interceptions
113.2 Passer Rating

The way to beat this Rams team is to get pressure on Matthew Stafford and force them into longer passing downs. The 49ers rank 27th in the NFL in pressure rate; meanwhile, Matthew Stafford grades out as the 2nd-best quarterback in the NFL with a clean pocket. Additionally, Puka Nacua was also taken off the injury report yesterday, which is massive vs. a zone-heavy Niners team.

Flip to the other side of the football: the 49ers' offense is going to struggle in this matchup. The Rams' defense ranks 6th in defensive success rate, 3rd in EPA/Pass, and 6th in EPA/Rush. The 49ers' offense on paper has looked good, but they have had the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL through the first 9 games of the season. This 49ers offense is extremely reliant on CMC in the rushing and receiving game and on George Kittle’s blocking. Without Ricky Pearsall and Brandon Aiyuk, the 49ers have no juice on the perimeter. If the Rams stop the 49ers' run game, this is going to be a long day for the 49ers' offense. It's only a matter of time before Mac Jones is exposed vs. a good defense. Additionally, with Jake Brendel back at center, this 49ers O-line is going to struggle to block in pass protection. Look for Jared Verse and Kobie Turner to have a massive day.

With the Niners struggling to stay healthy and the Rams in a revenge spot, I expect the Rams to blow out the San Francisco 49ers in this spot. Historically, Shanahan has dominated Sean McVay, but not this week.

Rams By Double Digits.

Nico Collins Owns The Jaguars 🐅

Here are Nico Collins' stats vs. the Jaguars in the last 3 seasons:
8/104 1TD (24.4 Fantasy Points) (2025)
8/119 (19.9 Fantasy Points) (2024)
12/151 1TD (33.1 Fantasy Points) (2024)
7/104 1TD (23.4 Fantasy Points) (2023)

The Jaguars' defense primarily runs 2 coverages: Cover 3 and Cover 6. Vs. these coverages this season, Nico Collins is averaging 2.48 YPRR and a 0.27 TPRR. Even with CJ Stroud being out in this matchup, Collins averaged a 0.28 TPRR last week with Davis Mills in. Additionally, the Jaguars are without Travis Hunter and Jourdan Lewis in the secondary, which are probably their 2 best defensive backs. I like Nico Collins to have another big day in the receiving game.

Nico Collins Goes For 100+ and has another 20+ point fantasy week.

Trust The Detroit Offense To Bounce Back 🦁

The Commanders have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Commanders' defense ranks 29th in EPA/Pass, 31st in coverage grading, and 17th in EPA/Rush. Meanwhile, the Lions have an offense that ranks 6th in offensive success rate and 4th in EPA/Pass. There are a lot of advantages for the Lions' offense in this matchup. Let's dive into those advantages.

The Commanders allow the most receiving yards in the NFL to opposing slot WRs. (This season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the 2nd-most receiving yards in the NFL through the slot).

The Commanders' defense is allowing the 2nd-highest success rate in the NFL vs. outside rushes. 58.4% of Montgomery’s rushes go to the outside. With the coaching staff emphasizing they want to get Montgomery more touches, I expect a big day for Monty on the ground.

The Commanders' defense ranks 31st in yards per play allowed vs. play action. (Jared Goff ranks top 10 in the NFL in play-action passing yards). If the Lions establish their run game like I expect them to, I like Goff to have an efficient day passing the football.

The Lions are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games after losing straight up. Additionally, this is a revenge spot for the Lions after they lost to the Commanders in the playoffs in devastating fashion. If you know Dan Campbell, he is going to run this score up and cover this game.

Flip to the other side of the football: the Commanders are without Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin in this matchup. This Lions defense has been elite this season, ranking 4th in defensive success rate and top 8 in EPA/Pass and EPA/Run. Awful matchup for Marcus Mariota, as he's going to face an aggressive defense that runs man coverage at over a 40% rate. Additionally, the Lions' defense ranks 2nd in the NFL in pressure rate. Marcus Mariota this season under pressure owns a 54.5% adjusted completion % and an NFL passer rating of 72.3.

The Lions Win This Game By Double Digits and David Montgomery has a good day on the ground.

Fade The Colts Passing Attack 🏈

The Falcons have one of the better secondaries in the NFL. It's a passing defense that ranks 7th in EPA/Pass and 2nd in passing explosives allowed. Additionally, the Falcons' secondary allows the fewest passing yards per game in the NFL. The main weakness of this Falcons defense is their rushing defense. Here are some statistics to support how poor this Falcons rushing defense is: 28th in EPA/Rush, 25th in run defensive grading, and 23rd in rush yards allowed per game. Now the Falcons face the best rushing offense in the NFL. Jonathan Taylor leads the NFL in rushing yards and the Colts' offensive line grades out as the 4th best in run-blocking grading in the NFL. With the Colts' run game being strong and the Falcons' run defense being weak, I expect a more rush-heavy script from Shane Steichen. The Falcons also blitz at the highest rate in the NFL at a 43.3% rate. Daniel Jones' completion percentage drops 20% against the blitz. Additionally, the Colts' best weapon Michael Pittman Jr. really struggles against C3. Michael Pittman Jr.'s fantasy points per route drops 57% vs. C3 this season. With both teams being rush-heavy, I expect a constant running clock in this matchup. I'm benching both Michael Pittman Jr. and Daniel Jones in fantasy this week.

I also lean Daniel Jones under passing props.

Trust The Ravens To Take Care Of Business vs The Vikings 🐦‍⬛

Lamar Jackson is 24-3 in his career vs. the NFC.

Now from a matchup perspective, the Ravens' offense is going to dominate in this spot. Lamar Jackson is the 3rd-best graded quarterback in the NFL this season vs. the blitz. Meanwhile, the Vikings' defense blitzes at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL at a 40.5% rate. The Ravens are averaging 33.8 PPG with Lamar Jackson healthy at quarterback this season. Now the Vikings' defense has been better as of late since getting healthier, but they have really struggled this season in stopping dual-threat quarterbacks. Even with Lamar Jackson’s struggles vs. 2-high coverages this season, I expect the Ravens to move the football up and down the field in this matchup.

Flip to the other side of the football: the Ravens' defense since Week 6 ranks 7th in EPA/Play and 9th in defensive success rate. Why is the Ravens' defense improving? It's because they are getting healthier on the defensive line and are using Kyle Hamilton closer to the line of scrimmage. Last week, Kyle Hamilton played 30 snaps on the defensive line and in the box combined. This move allows the Ravens' tackling unit to be better and for their run defense to be much improved. Now the Vikings are going to score points in this matchup because the Ravens struggle to defend outside WRs. Justin Jefferson is in for a fantastic matchup vs. a defense that runs single-high coverage at over a 60% rate. I’m excited to watch the matchup between JJettas and Nate Wiggins on the outside. But JJ McCarthy still struggles to read defenses and he takes bad sacks in certain given situations.

I think the Ravens win this game and are one step closer to winning the AFC North.

I like for a high-scoring affair in this matchup. Specifically a Ravens TT over. Additionally, I think Justin Jefferson is in for a massive receiving day.

Fade The Browns Passing Attack and Back Their Run Game ✈️

Dillon Gabriel is not an NFL-caliber quarterback. Gabriel this season owns a PFF passing grade of 47.6 with 2 big-time throws and 9 turnover-worthy plays. Now Gabriel faces a Jets defense that has a bad run defense but an improving secondary. Even with the Jets trading away Sauce Gardner, Jarvis Brownlee Jr. and Azareye'h Thomas have really emerged in the Jets secondary. The Jets allow the 7th-fewest passing completions per game in the NFL. If Dillon Gabriel has a poor day throwing the football, there's a chance Kevin Stefanski benches Gabriel and goes to Shedeur Sanders in this game. Additionally, Quinshon Judkins and this Browns rushing attack get a fantastic matchup vs. a Jets run defense that ranks 24th in EPA/Rush and 22nd in YPC allowed. With the Jets trading away their best run defender in Quinnen Williams, I expect these numbers to get even worse. Also, the Jets' defense is bottom 5 in yards after contact per attempt allowed—not a recipe for success when facing a bigger back like Quinshon Judkins.

If you are a betting person, I like Dillon Gabriel under 20.5 completions. I expect a massive volume day for Quinshon Judkins on the ground. Also, there is some weather in the forecast, which could affect downfield passing.

Fade The Cardinals Backfield 🏈

Emari Demercado last week had more rushing attempts than Bam Knight. This is a split backfield and the coaching staff trusts Demercado more than Bam Knight.

Last week the Cardinals' backfield had an amazing matchup vs. a struggling Cowboys run defense. It's quite the opposite now in this matchup. Now the Cardinals are a 7-point road dog and face a Seattle run defense that ranks top 5 in every rushing metric. The Seahawks' defense ranks 1st in YPC allowed (3.5), 1st in explosive runs allowed (11), and 1st in explosive run percentage allowed (5.6%). With the Cardinals' offensive line being ranked 28th in run-blocking grading, I expect the Seattle trenches to dominate in this matchup.

My favorite lean in this game is Bam Knight under 30.5 rushing yards and if you play fantasy football, I'd advise benching the entire Cardinals backfield.

All Routes Lead To Rome 🐻

There is some weather concern in this game; however, Rome Odunze is in for a fantastic matchup. Odunze dominates man coverage, averaging 2.51 YPRR, and the Giants run man coverage at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL. Additionally, Rome has a 30.2% man win rate this season and a target share of 26.2% vs. man.

The Giants' defense ranks 20th in EPA/Pass and 26th in defensive success rate.

Wide Receivers vs. The Giants in 2025
Jauan Jennings 4/41 1TD
Devonta Smith 6/84
Courtland Sutton 6/87
Marvin Mims 6/85
AJ Brown 6/80
Rashid Shaheed 4/114 1TD
Chris Olave 7/59
Quentin Johnston 8/98 1TD
Tyquan Thornton 5/71 1TD
Ceedee 9/112
Pickens 5/68 1TD
Deebo Samuel 7/77
Taking WR1s vs. the Giants is an auto system; even with the bad conditions, I expect Rome to have a decently big day.

Small Lean - Rome Goes For 60+

Other Additional Notes 🏈🗒️

The Buccaneers allow the most receiving yards in the NFL to opposing RBs. Rhamondre Stevenson was ruled out earlier this week with a toe injury; I'm expecting Treyveon Henderson to shoulder a bulk of the load in the receiving game. The Bucs allow the 6th-fewest YPC in the NFL and have a run defense that ranks 5th in EPA/Rush. Additionally, from a concept perspective, the Buccaneers allow the lowest success rate in the NFL to gap rush concepts. Most of the Patriots' rushes come from gap rush concepts. With Bowles blitzing at the 5th-highest rate in the NFL, I expect some dumpoffs to Henderson in this matchup.

Here were Kellen Moore’s comments with Devaughn Vele earlier this week: “I'm really excited about Devaughn Vele’s role, being able to play that combination of the Z receiver, where he can play off the ball and be aligned for all the run-blocking stuff, but then he gets all the playaction game stuff off of it.” With Shaheed getting traded, this is going to open up opportunities for other wide receivers on the roster. The Panthers are a pass-funnel defense and with Jayce Horn being on Chris Olave, this is going to open up opportunities for Vele in this matchup. The Saints traded for Vele for a reason; I think he has a sneaky underrated game in this matchup.

James Cook should dominate vs. a Dolphins run defense that ranks 1st worst in YPC allowed, 1st worst in explosive run percentage allowed (15.6%), 1st worst in yards after contact per rush allowed, and 27th in EPA/Rush. The Dolphins on average are allowing 145.6 rushing yards per game; Cook should absolutely feast in this spot. When the Bills win, Cook averages over 20 fantasy points per game since 2024.

With no Joe Alt in the lineup, the Chargers' PPG drops from 26.8 to 20.3. Additionally, Herbert's passer rating drops from 108.8 to 87.3. The Steelers have the 4th-highest blitz rate in the NFL at 34.3%. I'm expecting this Sunday Night Football game to be a lower-scoring defensive game. Even with the Steelers' secondary being bad, I expect Justin Herbert to be under constant duress.

Fading RBs vs. the Browns. The Browns' defense ranks 2nd in YPC allowed, 8th in explosive rush percentage allowed (9%), and 1st in EPA/Rush. Meanwhile, the Jets' offense ranks 21st in EPA/rush and 18th in offensive success rate. Hall has played only 55% or less of the RB snaps the past 2 weeks for the Jets. With Isaiah Davis emerging, this could become a more split backfield.

Tre'Davious White has played only 41 and 30 defensive snaps the last 2 weeks of the season. With Maxwell Hairston emerging in the secondary, continue to see White’s defensive snaps go down. I like White under 3.5 TA in the defensive prop market.

Jaylin Lane is averaging 2.42 YPRR vs. man coverage this season. The Lions run man coverage at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL at 42%. Lane could be a sneaky flex starter in deeper fantasy leagues with Terry McLaurin out in this matchup.

The Bears allow the 8th-most rushing yards to opposing QBs. With the Bears struggling to defend zone read, I like Dart to have a decent day carrying the football. Also, with the downfield passing conditions being worse, it could lead to Dart running more often in this matchup.

For More NFL Previews Like This Drop a❤️🏈

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@KoalaTalksBall This was a great write up. Great job. I know that took some time and effort to write up. Wishing you a ton of success in your FF content.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@blitzlink_ Not sure Dalton plays over Young this week. I know Canales hasn't named a QB yet. Dalton has a broken thumb on his dominant hand and only been limited where Young has been a full
Go.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@BrettFavre I was at that game. Amazing ending. Thank you for all the memories Brett.

[Jeff Markovich @markopackers]

@lindsay_rhodes @BurnieMcBurner Lindsay, you owe him nothing. Appreciate the work you do in the Fantasy Space.