Mark Hannah

CEO of @InGlobalAffairs, a nonprofit housed at @eurasiagroup.

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Today, Iran threatened a new US attack would provoke Iranian strikes beyond the Middle East.

IRGC says it will attack "in places you cannot even imagine."

🚨 Even before this, our new survey, out yesterday, found 2x as many think the war is making US less safe as more safe.🧵

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Read the full trenchant essay in @TheEconomist here:

https://t.co/ZW7H7t9ETv

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Per @shashj, Ukraine & Iran are wars "instigated by the leaders of great powers in the apparent belief of easy victory.

Both have developed in ways those leaders did not anticipate into something like a stalemate... [in which] a lack of victory looks increasingly like defeat...

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Are technological changes making the role of the defender easier? Or systematically encouraging big powers to start wars they cannot win?

Or is this merely a case of business as usual – great powers blundering into ill-advised wars that reflect the prevailing tech of the day?"

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

"In the history of air power, there's not a single example of air power alone achieving regime change."-@ka_grieco talks to @mideastXmidwest on @PodcastNOTA. 🎧

https://t.co/xCGzbOXBX7

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

@Wilkmaster @mideastXmidwest Which is which, @Wilkmaster?

[Institute for Global Affairs @InGlobalAffairs]

City leaders are on the front lines of mitigating homeland threats as the Iran war drags on, argues IGA senior advisor Leigh O'Neill in @Newsweek.

https://t.co/FMF1FEIepD

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Read the full piece from @Newsweek here:

https://t.co/O8Ur6RlUMq

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

From Leigh O'Neill: "As the U.S. engages in the largest military conflict since the Iraq War, a new survey by @InGlobalAffairs finds twice as many Americans think the Iran war made the U.S. less safe as say it's made the country safer. 

Americans are right to be worried; security officials are warning of increased threats from Iran inside the U.S...

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

These celebrations strain public safety systems even under normal conditions...

Managing these risks depends on federal, state, and city officials executing their distinct roles across joint security partnerships that the United States has spent decades building...

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Read the full piece here:

https://t.co/rphSEe5uaS

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

Smart opinion piece from my @InGlobalAffairs colleague Eloise Cassier:

A "'rally round the flag' effect describes boosts in presidential popularity that bridge the partisan divide. Public opinion on the war with Iran has so far defied this assumption...

[Mark Hannah @markphannah]

The Iran war shows that the 'rally round the flag' effect is highly circumstantial and cannot be manufactured by political leaders hoping to boost domestic support through military confrontation."

[Jonathan Guyer @mideastXmidwest]

67% percent of Democrats say that our relationship with Israel hurts American interests.

More than half of Democrats, think the US should stop supplying weapons to Israel altogether.

[Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim]

"Asked who is most responsible for the war, a plurality of Americans (30%) blame the United States. About as many blame Iran (28%) and slightly fewer blame Israel (24%)."

So 54% of Americans blame the United States or Israel for the war. Just 28% blame Iran.