Mark Uretsky

PNL Collector 🏦
I post ideas that can make you money
Options, cheap stocks, income ideas
Follow before the good ones get crowded 👇

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Y R U G A Y?

[The Rabbit Hole @TheRabbitHole]

Don’t worry about Elon becoming rich with his own money.

Worry about politicians becoming rich with your money.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

My checklist for Monday's open, in order:

1. Did the Iran deal actually sign on Sunday, or did it slip?

2. Where does crude open after giving back more than 4% on the draft?

3. Does $SPCX hold its first day range once the IPO fever cools?

4. What do my weights say at 3:45 PM ET? That one answers itself.

The first three are noise until the fourth turns them into positions.

What is on your list?

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

This morning I promised a breakdown of how my systems handled this week.

The week: the worst day since October, a 923 point Dow rally, the hottest CPI since April 2023, and the largest IPO in history.

The systems: rebalanced the ETF book daily on the same 4% drift threshold. Ran the same 0DTE cycles inside the same hard coded risk limits. Zero overrides.

The breakdown is boring. That is the point. A system that only behaves in calm weeks is not a system, it is a mood.

The weeks that test you are the weeks that compound you.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

$SPCX touched $168.75 this afternoon. Up 25% from the $135 offer in its first session.

At that print the market cap reached roughly $2.21 trillion. Amazon, built over three decades, sits near $2.54 trillion.

One trading day, within striking distance of thirty years of compounding.

That is not a valuation. That is a vote on a story.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

@TONYxTWO smart

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

For people in the US and Europe who still don’t get it: what is happening in Europe right now was already happening in Israel.

Many ignored it, dismissed it, or refused to listen when Israel warned what kind of evil exists in this world. And that is exactly why so many of you never understood Israel’s stance, or the actions Israel felt forced to take. You never saw that evil up close.

Now you see it yourselves.

So the real question is: how do you fix the problem before it gets worse?

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Today: the largest IPO in history opened 11% above its offer price. Consumer sentiment beat at 48.9. An Iran deal could be signed before Monday's open.

My ETF rotation system did not watch any of it. 8 ETFs, rebalanced daily on quantitative signals with a 4% drift threshold. 30% CAGR, 7% max drawdown, Sharpe above 4. 11 years backtested, live on real capital.

At 3:45 PM ET it publishes today's weights, for subscribers.

The track record is public: https://t.co/R6AD4v3nWY

[Based Hungary 🇭🇺 @HungaryBased]

🚨🇸🇰BREAKING: Slovakia EXPOSES Ursula's EU Migration Pact.

"What kind of solidarity is this? This is blackmail. I will never agree to any quotas on migrants."

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

@Heccles94 money doesnt fix stuff, action does.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

The most expensive trades of the year get made on the most exciting days of the year.

Today qualifies.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

@ThetaSeller long was safer and easier esp on day 1

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

@SenWarren only if you first

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Consumer sentiment printed 48.9 for June this morning. Forecast was 46. May was 44.8.

Still a depressed number by any historical standard. But the direction just flipped hard.

Sentiment lows do not mark economic bottoms. They mark positioning bottoms. The crowd that feels worst is usually already out.

Hottest CPI since 2023 and sentiment rising anyway. What is the consumer actually watching?

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

$SPCX opened at $150. First trade, 11% above the $135 offer.

Minutes later it touched $162.98 and crossed a $2 trillion market cap.

Earlier today I wrote that the gap between the offer and the first print is sentiment measured in dollars.

That gap was $15 on the biggest IPO ever. Priced rich, and the crowd still paid up.

Euphoria is not a signal. But it is a regime marker. Note it.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

The Iran deal could be signed before markets reopen Monday.

Weekend risk is the one risk you cannot exit. No stop loss works while the market is closed.

Whatever you carry into today's close, you own it until Monday's open, at whatever price the gap decides.

Size positions like the news will not wait for you. This weekend, it might not.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Your edge is not your entry.

It is what you do on the days your entry is wrong.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

More than $100 billion in retail orders chased the $SPCX IPO, per Bloomberg.

The deal itself raised $75 billion. Retail demand alone could have absorbed the largest IPO in history and asked for seconds.

Retail does not get this excited about cash flows. It gets this excited about stories.

Nothing wrong with owning a story. Plenty wrong with not knowing that is what you own.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Wednesday's CPI told two stories.

Headline inflation: 4.2%, the hottest since April 2023.

Core inflation: 2.9%, with the monthly core print below forecast.

Energy drove over 60% of the monthly increase.

That is not an inflation problem. That is an oil problem wearing an inflation costume.

I said before the print to watch the gap between headline and core. The gap was the whole story.

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

Five sessions: a crash, a 923 point Dow rally, and the largest IPO ever.

My screen time did not change. Neither did my process.

A quantitative system rotates 8 ETFs daily and rebalances on a 4% drift threshold. 30% CAGR. 7% max drawdown. Sharpe above 4. 11 years backtested, running live on real capital.

The track record is public. Live daily weights publish 15 minutes before the close, for subscribers.

Waitlist: https://t.co/i4yxajviPe

[Mark Uretsky @markuretsky]

The Iran deal could be signed as early as Sunday, per reports.

Markets reopen Monday with the answer either priced in or priced out.

What gets repriced hardest next week: crude, the dollar, or the indexes?

Wrong answers welcome.