Mark

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@ShoaybKhan Pity no English version

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero It is but so is any probability analysis.
Reality can develop into anything.
In this case the weight of balance leans to Q4 being more probable.
Therefore we should be discounting Q3 more than Q4 I would think.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero So if Gold bottomed in Q4 60% of the time and this asset is to be used as a correlated source of data or puzzle piece then surely that lends more weight to BTC bottoming in Q4. Q3 is equally arbitrary and less probable being in the 40% side.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero I’m not understanding something here.
You’re using Gold cycles data as a form of evidence as to why Bitcoin is unlikely to bottom in Q4 of its current cycle.
First, that Gold chart shows that 60% of the time, the cycle bottom was in Q4 and Gold/BTC correlation is a narrative

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero Ah! Understood. Thanks.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@i_am_jackis So true but actually pressing buttons is another thing. Damn!

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@fitz_keith Sir you are a genius of common sense investment strategy.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@fitz_keith Great analogy!

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@i_am_jackis Tommy BS Artist Lee will have to flee to Siberia if ETH doesn't rise from the dead or just buying several billy on Binance should do the trick.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@i_am_jackis 😆 Yep.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@xerokl @astronomer_zero Yeah strong spot demand, prob only minor pullback to 62.8k at most.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@BobLoukas 50% off the top of the pump high might still be higher than the IPO open. 🤔

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero I've found the best way to avoid the noise of X is to maintain a tightly curated list of people to follow.
Stay away from the 'For You' tab on X unless you like wasting time doom scrolling.
I have setup lists on X and only read the posts in those lists.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

There must be a glitch in the matrix when the majority who are bearish and have rotten sentiment actually win on the downside.
The maxim to buy when there’s blood in the streets, only applies in crypto when there is a flood of blood. The extreme fear needs to ultra fear.
Not making sense to see BTC drop further under these conditions where time tested market logic is being turned upside down.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@astronomer_zero BTC just entered 65k airspace.
This is a strong macro level - 2021 highs and 0.786 retrace from Aug 2024 - Oct 2025 top.
*Should* hold and bounce from here, gulp.

[Mark @Markus1Maximus]

@sussoutthetiger @astronomer_zero I'm waiting for 78500 even tho it could push to 78800 for final liq sweep.