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Joshua Gogo
@masiframework
Joined May 2025
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Why do some societies absorb pressure, and others collapse into conflict?
My new book attempts to answer that question.
The Political Economy of Violence: Allocation, Power, and the Logic of Conflict
Coming May 14, 26.
https://t.co/iLE5IfZ6b6 #PoliticalEconomy #Conflict
📘 The Political Economy of Violence: Allocation, Power, and the Logic of Conflict is now available.
A framework for understanding why some systems absorb pressure and others descend into conflict.
https://t.co/C8Tn8Hp6ha
📘 The Political Economy of Violence: Allocation, Power, and the Logic of Conflict is now available.
A framework for understanding why some systems absorb pressure and others descend into conflict.
https://t.co/C8Tn8Hp6ha
Conventional view: instability is an exception.
The MASI: instability is an outcome.
Unresponsive allocation,
Contested power,
And weak legitimacy - means pressure accumulates.
The system hasn’t failed; it was structured to produce this. #PoliticalEconomy #StructuralAnalysis
Conventional view: instability is an exception.
The MASI: instability is an outcome.
Unresponsive allocation,
Contested power,
And weak legitimacy - means pressure accumulates.
The system hasn’t failed; it was structured to produce this. #PoliticalEconomy #StructuralAnalysis
Why do nations rich in oil, gas, or gold often end up poor, unstable, or in conflict?
That question led me to write Resource, Region, and Ruin — a book born from 20 years of policy work and field research across extractive regions.
#RRR #MASIFramework #ResourceJustice
Stability is not equilibrium. It is alignment.
Of:
• Allocation (who gets what)
• Power (who decides)
• Legitimacy (what is accepted & by whom)
When these align, systems hold.
When they don't — instability isn't emerging. It's already there. #PoliticalEconomy #Governance
How do systems manage pressure? Four pathways - the MASI framework:
Mobility
Access to Voice
Spatial Burden
Inequality/Welfare Gap
When these function, pressure is managed.
When they close, under stress - instability is no longer a risk. It's a trajectory. #MASI #PoliticalEconomy
Why do some societies absorb pressure, and others collapse into conflict?
My new book attempts to answer that question.
The Political Economy of Violence: Allocation, Power, and the Logic of Conflict
Coming May 14, 26.
https://t.co/iLE5IfZ6b6 #PoliticalEconomy #Conflict
Stability is not equilibrium. It is alignment.
Of:
• Allocation (who gets what)
• Power (who decides)
• Legitimacy (what is accepted & by whom)
When these align, systems hold.
When they don't — instability isn't emerging. It's already there. #PoliticalEconomy #Governance
Externalization is not a solution.
When systems can't manage pressure internally, they export it through migration, trade, capital flows, security arrangements.
Restructuring interdependence for stability of all actors is not diplomacy. It's architecture. #GlobalGovernance
Stability is rebuilt from within, - three things are reformed:
1 Allocation (who gets what)
2 Institutional pathways (grievance processing)
3 Adjustment capacity, b4 crisis, not after
Without these, pressure accumulates. And when it does, something will give. #Governance #Dev
How do systems manage pressure? Four pathways - the MASI framework:
Mobility
Access to Voice
Spatial Burden
Inequality/Welfare Gap
When these function, pressure is managed.
When they close, under stress - instability is no longer a risk. It's a trajectory. #MASI #PoliticalEconomy
Violence is not random. It is a threshold condition.
It occurs when pressure is high, adjustment is exhausted, and institutional pathways fail.
It is not irrational.
This is what actors do when the architecture of allocation offers them nothing else.
#PoliticalEconomy #Conflict
Systems don't collapse suddenly, they degrade through stages:
PRESSURE → STRESS → CRISIS → BREAKDOWN
Most fail at stress, not breakdown
Warning signs are legible long before crisis, if you look.
Early intervention starts at stress, not crisis. #PoliticalRisk #EarlyWarning
Interdependence is not neutral, it's a distribution mechanism.
It determines who absorbs pressure, who deflects it, who benefits from its movement.
Global connected systems are structured by asymmetry.
The Structural risk lives in that asymmetry. #GlobalPolitics #PoliticalEconomy
Systems Export Pressure.
Through trade, capital flows, and political arrangements, instability is often displaced, not resolved.
The external loop: when conflict is relocated rather than addressed.
This changes who bears the cost - and who should. #PoliticalEconomy
When systems can't release pressure, it accumulates.
The internal loop:
Allocation failure → grievance → conflict → disruption → deeper failure
Each stage makes the next more likely.
This isn't a theory of collapse. It's a theory of accumulation. #PoliticalEconomy #Governance
Inequality doesn't break systems. Pressure does.
Pressure builds when outcomes diverge from expectations, and the people bearing those burdens have no way to change it.
Pressure always exists. That’s not the question.
The question: can the system absorb it? #PoliticalEconomy
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