MG

[Ryan Maue @RyanWeather]

The expected global warming from El Niño is already baked into the cake for the next 6-months into 2027.

Then, my prediction for 2027 global temperature anomaly over 1850-1900: +1.66°C

Simple method that uses ENSO + background warming trend.

https://t.co/RCJdJmUJFx

[Daniel Litt @littmath]

I think this kind of rush to put one’s name on duplicative work largely generated by AI is pretty corrosive to the field. Important that we find a way to incentivize work with higher marginal value.

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

Quick El Niño update.

The most recent Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature for August 17th was 2.73°C above the 1991-2020 average. This marked the 80th consecutive day setting a new record daily high, and was 0.92°C above the previous record for the day set back in 1997.

[Martin Bauer @martinmbauer]

To revolutionise physics we need experiments, not AI

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@RaminNasibov Trump would put tariffs on the black hole and it would turn back

[Prof. Ryan Katz-Rosene @ryankatzrosene]

If you think climate skepticism is going to whither away when global warming really starts hitting the fan, think again… it just morphs into some other iteration (“ok, it’s warming, but we can’t be sure it’s due to burning fossil fuels”; “ok, it’s warming, but it’s not a crisis”). Let’s be clear: This is an emergency in the making - due to the changes to come which are already built in thanks to thermal and societal inertia… Best way to avoid future regret is to act now!

[Chris Shaw @kalahar1]

No institution, and very few people, are truly internalising and grasping that climate change is only going to get worse from now, every year hotter than the last. Few really understand what is about to unfold. Not the politicians, not the remnants of the climate movement. None

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@ThomasVanRiet2 Btw, are you following how ridiculous this El Niño is growing? https://t.co/6vnUs0Yr7i

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@ThomasVanRiet2 The first thing to do would be to severely rethink our relation to energy as a society. All this is caused by it: by our perpetual need to make things faster, more fat and in larger and larger quantities. If this is not realized, inertia (even in science) will persist.

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@ThomasVanRiet2 Which is hardly believable when your president denies climate change in a first place…

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@ThomasVanRiet2 The saddest thing to realize (I guess as you point out) is that this cannot realistically be done by the individual alone. This requires gouvernants reorganizing the economy towards a degrowth and working towards a global realization that continuing with fossil fuels is suicidal.

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@pmddomingos What the fuck. Since when AI satisfies Navier-Stokes?

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@sopharicks It’s funny how intelligence is turning out to be our most poisonous gift…

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@stanislavfort @lionellevine @SebastienBubeck @Jacob_Tsimerman Something that gets fat by draining the life out of everything else is evil. For example, see the link I sent above.

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@stanislavfort @lionellevine @SebastienBubeck @Jacob_Tsimerman I would have imagined that the statement would be self-explanatory by now. Perhaps you could ask your chat bot to give you some rudiments of moral philosophy? An example amongst many which should make it clearer: https://t.co/pVXSWUe6k3

[Climate Dad @ClimateDad77]

We’re heading for 4C & BILLIONS of deaths this century.

And media shills - misinforming & outright lying to the public on behalf of the industries causing (& deliberately profiting!) from these deaths - should be heading to prison.

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

Your 'moment of doom' for Aug. 15, 2026 ~ And then there were none.

"Scientists say this El Niño is on course to be the strongest in 150 years by a 'mind-blowing margin.' Even in its incipient phase, it is wreaking havoc across the planet."

https://t.co/NDA0GlOryr

[MG @MathieuGiroux20]

@stanislavfort @lionellevine @SebastienBubeck @Jacob_Tsimerman “The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing”

[Daniel Litt @littmath]

Moreover this has seriously negative effects on the math community. We are near the point where the models can reconstruct a paper given a few key ideas. Some of the autonomous AI results we are starting to see have a "last mile" flavor, where they finish off a problem after deep recent work by others. In this world talking about one's work in progress--or even indicating that the models can solve a given problem--is increasingly dangerous (at least if we still reward such work with prestige, jobs, etc.).

I've recently been told by multiple colleagues that they are unwilling to discuss work in progress for this reason.

[Climate Dad @ClimateDad77]

We don’t need new data centres.

We already have all the data we need.

It’s telling us billions of people will die this century unless we end fossil fueled capitalism.