Thrilled to share that my article "From the Factory Floor to the Ballot Box: Firm-Based Origins of Brazil's Populist Right" is now out at the @BJPolS
https://t.co/f8KaREJffy
The core finding is simple and politically urgent:
Brazil’s radical-right wave wasn’t primarily driven by “the rich vs the poor”, but by workers in declining jobs inside unequal firm structures.
Using RAIS matched employer–employee data + a unique dataset of 69k Bolsonaro supporters + a survey experiments on full-time private sector workers, I show that:
🔹 Workers who supported Bolsonaro experienced real relative decline: falling pay and shrinking occupational premia compared to peers just like them.
🔹 Anti-system attitudes track job quality, not class stereotypes: low autonomy, unfair treatment, and blocked mobility inside firms predict democratic frustration.
🔹 Information about earning less than comparable workers measurably decreases satisfaction with democracy.
🔹 “Low-road” firm conditions (lower pay to comparable skills and occupations, no benefits, rigid schedules, lower autonomy) make otherwise similar workers more likely to endorse anti-system behaviors.
The takeaway: if we want to understand democratic backsliding, we need to look beyond “culture” or macro shocks.
Firms themselves, through wage policies, segmentation, and job-quality gaps, are generating the frustrations that fuel anti-system politics.
@CambridgeUP@CUPAcademic@CambridgeCore
En la literatura los héroes son los que las cosas les salen por accidente. Los de Qatar fueron campeones, no accidentales héroes, fueron el mejor equipo y les ganaron a todos.
Usted qué prefieren, digamos tener las instituciones que supuestamente deberíamos, digamos ser un Chile o un Perú (en pol m) o ser campeones del mundo? Para mí está claro
Where we can go on the world stage and say to those nations who have fucked us time and again there is something where we can shine and be better, and to celebrate for a few days even if our material reality has not changed.
The Europeans around me do not understand my non-stopping crying, so I had to spell it out for them... I’m from a country where nothing works in the people’s favor, where politicians are a bunch of corrupt assholes, where institutions are broken...
And football, idiotic as it might be, being just a sport, is the only thing that sometimes brings us some happiness amidst all the shit we have to eat over and over, it’s the only thing that sometimes binds us as a broken society...
Yo solo espero no vivir la esquizofrenia derrotista que viví toda mi vida, en todos los mundiales que recuerdo excepto 2014 y luego la era Scaloni. La época de la AFA de Grondona priorizando figuritas cancheras en lugar de proyectos. Ojalá sean Scaloni, Aimar, o herederos.
Corre ardiendo con brío y valor,
El clarín de la guerra cual trueno
En los campos del Sud resonó;
Buenos Aires se pone a la frente
De los pueblos de la ínclita Unión,
Y con brazos robustos desgarran
Al ibérico altivo León.
@Tintalimon Los hay de distinto tipo. Andaluces y Galegos son nuestros cordobeses. Catalanes son chetos que quieren pagar menos impuestos. Vascos, those might be onto something.
A mi Bellingham me parece un jugadorazo. Y no parece ser mal tipo. Pero pegar está muy mal. Dicho eso, si el Colo lo bardeó, necesita que lo eduquen, obvio nunca a los golpes, porque en la derrota y la victoria hay que ser señores. Lo digo como docente, la juventud nos necesita.