Maude Lachaine

Computational statistics, Bayesian methods, open science. Dabbles in machine learning. Sometimes called a grad student in statistics.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@felixianthacker @usurpthachef @neocounterconor Change: ultimatum to ban community members.
Stayed the same: Conor’s position that he needs to see evidence of wrongdoing first.

Money: having connections with a large streamer.
No money: getting blacklisted by a large streamer.
Negative money: unemployed online shitters.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@pvancleaf @Spiderdx109 Yes, they think it’s a clever response. They’re pretending to disagree with you and you fell for it. It only takes 5 sec to see that their other replies are pro-dgg. If you fall for blatantly obvious ops from your “side”, how often do you fall for more credible looking ones?

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@officernasty70 @PiscoLitty It’s a stream about law and politics. Why would Pisco start combing through other people’s chats and cry about the mean ones on stream? You want him to make demands like a little bitch just to appease you?

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@PiscoLitty @WarrenMcCommon Ah yes. A “limited-government libertarian” supporting the war in Iran. Classic small government manoeuvre. 👉🤯

I’m glad you’ve finally found someone willing to defend it publicly though.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@turoturothegood @PiscoLitty Yes, it says that Kamala has been privately sounding out confidants about her prospects for a 2028 presidential run.

It also says that she wants the DNC to release the report.

Notice how those are two completely separate clauses? “Privately” doesn’t relate to the autopsy.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@DigitalGroundG @PiscoLitty Obviously we do. This is the majority position in the party. The obvious liberal position.

Why would you assume people agreeing with Pisco and with the Dem base… don’t support Dems?

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@Bayzeddking @PiscoLitty @jakepaul Easy: five minimum, eight max. Maybe nine if I get a sign from the man upstairs. But you have to ask nicely.

(time span and territory tbd)

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@altlite She (her lawyer) *is* asking for 1 million, not 15. You should probably read the filed lawsuit instead of parroting false info uncritically.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@AnnonnWatcher @nicholasdeorio Yep. It’s easy to predict 100% of Wu’s takes, just figure out the most self-serving position she can possibly take. Somehow, a lot of people believe this is her “seeing the light”. They’re in for a rude awakening 😂.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@cfc_fleck @WillyMacShow The A&P vid got flagged, genius.

Don’t underestimate F&F. It’s a well known fact that they are top of the sector at gayops. #2 doesn’t even come close.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@iiShamWOW @_fucktwt @iilluminaughtii GPTzero uses an old probabilistic model that measures how strongly it would expect word2 to follow word1. So the more grammatical errors, the more unusual phrasings, the higher the “humanness”. If you write well but without flourish, you’re an AI. It’s just a marketing sham.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@kareem_carr Gelman goes as far as to call CI’s random variables, highlighting the fact that a single 95% CI in and of itself gives no info as to whether it’s one of the 19/20 containing the true parameter or not. It makes sense to me, though most of my stats professors don’t buy it… 😂

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@bluegold1026 @iilluminaughtii You mean Jesus?

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@iilluminaughtii There’s been *a lot* of allegations. Which ones are false? Did the Leftist Mafia lie about you yesterday? They’ve been hinting at a smoking gun in your favor for weeks, now they drop you. You owe it to your fans to at least say what accusations you are countering, *specifically*.

[Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict_addict]

From the research 🔬 lab that exposed the dubious claims about transformers for time series, a new paper “SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interaction“

https://t.co/IDZ28oJMjU

New generation TCN architecture outperforms all sorts of transformers, on univariate series outperforms ARIMA, Prophet (not hard - everything outperforms prophet), DeepAR and even NBeats.

#timeseries #machinelearning #forecasting #research

[Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rlmcelreath]

My colleagues bring me fun problems. Latest: Estimate individual vocal repertoire (number of unique vocalizations) for wild monkeys, given finite/limited recordings. We expect undercount of rare vocalizations. But no worries, Papa Bayes got game. Below: Sim of phenomenon. >>

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@TheOmniLiberal @melinagoranson ’s face when the Angela chick told him she’ll just ENDURE his bullshit 😂

[Rasmus Bååth (@[email protected]) @rabaath]

#ChatGTP knows everything about p-values and that's a problem. A short 🧵

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@Cailzmaster @l87128897 @randombeats2022 @blandlilpepper @carairwinn @elonmusk Paypal founders (under “history”): https://t.co/NX66ckCZO3
Musk’s skill is in buying other people’s inventions. He’s not an engineer nor an inventor. Look up the story of the creators of Tesla for a good example of founders being silenced by a billionaire who wants the cred.

[Maude Lachaine @Maude_LL]

@Cailzmaster @l87128897 @randombeats2022 @blandlilpepper @carairwinn @elonmusk Musk wasn’t a founder of Paypal (nor Tesla), didn’t come up with the idea and never coded for them. It was founded in 1998 by Max Levchin (code), Luke Nosek and Peter Thiel (finance). Musk bought it off in 2000. He’s successful, but he’s always sold other people’s inventions.