Philippe Meyer

COO at GCSP 2011-juillet 2021- Geneva Center for Security Policy. Retraité

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

Rewatch our Launch of the CGIAR Climate Security Observatory, available on our Digital Hub!🎥
This event officially launched the platform & discussed how the evidence & tools it provides can be linked to the HDP nexus policies, programming & investments
📌 https://t.co/kzCcpbCjem

[Tyler Rogoway @Aviation_Intel]

🧵on the harsh reality of weaponization of AI, especially in terms of unmanned combat arena. A lot of what is being said sounds great from a corporate or government messaging perspective, but it is alarmingly divorced from reality:

When it comes to drone warfare and AI, and really AI in general in terms of weapons applications, there is big talk all about keeping a human in the loop as a firewall/fail safe. The human only gets to decide to 'pull the trigger' is often the message. This sounds nice but the reality is this is a huge roadblock to unlocking AI's potential and especially that of the swarm on the battlefield. This is nearly taboo to talk about, especially by major companies working at injecting AI into their weapon systems, but they all know this is the truth.

While we may think keeping a human in the loop is absolutely necessary and just, our enemies are unlikely to abide by those rules short of some major unprecedented arms control agreement that can still be easily cheated on. In fact, it would be pretty much impossible to enforce even if it did exist. This is a terrifying reality.

So, we are talking about putting in a moral and safety firewall that will greatly inhibit unlocking AI on the battlefield when our enemies will see this as a comparative advantage and exploit it, potentially with devastating results.

I am not arguing against putting measures in place to really try to keep a lid on what could be the most destructive weapon since the advent of the atomic bomb. But the enemy gets a vote and they see AI, and especially when paired with cooperative swarms, as a way to overwhelm and outmaneuver our capabilities and shatter our decision cycles/kill chains.

Working with friends and enemies alike to come up with some sort of solution here to try to control this with common practices laid out by an arms control regime is a very worthwhile cause even if it has a low chance of success. Once the genie is out of the bottle, there will be no putting it back in. So, this should be a top diplomatic, global effort at this time. At the very least, an agreement like this can slow AI's evolution in the weapons space and give us more time to better understand its implications and how to control it.

On the other hand, if such an ambitious diplomatic effort were to fail, it may become clearer what each parties' ambitions are. At that point, the idea of keeping barriers in place to contain AI will likely become far less of a choice.

As AI is increasingly democratized, rogue states, non-state actors, and even individuals that are not obliged to any sort of agreement will seek to use it for nefarious purposes, including in terms of unmanned aerial systems. While slowing AI's ability to work autonomously on a battlefield may be possible, stopping it likely is not unless massive changes are made to many aspects of technological development and access.

So, we are entering into a very dangerous time with a technology we don't even understand. At the same time, unilaterally limiting its potential could put us at a massive disadvantage. All the more reason to try to deal with this preemptively as world community than on the battlefield.

This is all very troubling, but this is the reality. There is so much softball BS on this topic and the messaging from some of those who stand to gain big $ from it in the weapons space is also not realistic.

Beware and buckle up.

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

Happening now! Join us

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

#Kamikaze #drones: A new weapon brings power and peril to the U.S. military. The spread of low-cost, light-weight "killer" drones will change ground #warfare as profoundly as the machine gun did. https://t.co/IkJlBlAhDy via @nbcnews

[EPC @EmiratesPolicy]

ADSD: Eight Years of consecutive Success

🔗 https://t.co/u0b52F3Yua
#ADSD2021 #أبوظبي_الاستراتيجي_2021

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

#China tested a #nuclear-capable #hypersonic #missile in August that circled the globe before speeding towards its target, demonstrating an advanced space capability that caught US intelligence by surprise #armsrace https://t.co/9FbzywzfkZ

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

#China's latest fighter jets, #drones display #war-making capability. The large amount of drones displayed WZ-7, WZ-8, CH-6, FH-97 underscores their key role in China's #military #strategy, helping make up for a shortage of manpower, capacity & experience https://t.co/YZPDej2zwf

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

#China has won #AI battle with US #Pentagon's ex-software chief says. China is likely to dominate many of the key emerging technologies, particularly AI, synthetic #biology & #genetics within a decade or so, according to #Western #intelligence assessments https://t.co/alhcC1G9FC

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

More of #China less of #America: how the #superpower fight is squeezing the #Gulf. “There’s a lot to learn frm China & its ability to develop the way it has is predicated on the fact it’s not a #democracy, it can make the decisions & it has to be state led”https://t.co/hq5ssSRTK9

[Gérald DARMANIN @GDarmanin]

De tels actes sont intolérables. La police judiciaire de Bayonne est chargée de la poursuite des investigations. Les auteurs devront être sévèrement punis.

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

All eyes are on Geneva as the #BidenPutinSummit kicks off later today. Tune in to our #GCSPNewroom to follow the analysis from our GCSP experts on these talks. https://t.co/0DMF4Z8887

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

A GCSP expert perspective on a previous US-Russian working relationship #GCSPNewsroom #BidenPutinSummit

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

GCSP's Director @ThGreminger view on the Biden-Putin Summit 2021 #GCSPNewsroom #BidenPutinSummit #GenevaSummit2021 #Geneva2021

[Anne-Caroline Pissis @ACPissis]

Ecoutez notre #ChercheurAssocié Paul Vallet sur l'impact de ce sommet sur la Genève internationale? https://t.co/lMDJn7zPA4 via @RadioTeleSuisse
#GenevaSummit #GCSPNewsroom #GlobalFellowshipInitiative #GFI

[Jean-Marc Rickli @Dr_JMRickli]

Ooops! 51% of #Europeans want to replace lawmakers with #AI, study says. Outside #Europe, some 75% of people surveyed in #China supported the idea of replacing parliamentarians with AI, while 60% of American respondents opposed it https://t.co/vGs1MobMdr

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

📻 NEW PODCAST EPISODE! Dr Paul Vallet #GlobalFellowshipInitiative interviews
@FinaudMarc Head of #ArmsProliferation @TheGCSP. Listen to episode 12 "Weapons negotiations in the midst of global conflict": https://t.co/MY2Ffpu6N7

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

Your ability to influence sets you apart. We want you to learn influencing tactics, tools for leading complex teams and organisation

This is your chance to better equip yourself and get better results: https://t.co/3QSq1PkAVA

[The GCSP @TheGCSP]

Broaden your horizon by working with people from across peace, development, governance, policy, science, media, military and more to learn about leadership in ways that are relevant to your complex work: https://t.co/o1WOKzMHk1

#LearnWithGCSP #MyLearningJourney #genevaleads

[Docteur Laurent Alexandre @dr_l_alexandre]

Et ⁦@BioNTech_Group⁩ a également de très nombreux produits révolutionnaires en cours de développement

Notamment de fantastiques innovations dans les cancers les plus méchants...

La technologie a ARN MESSAGER permet de galoper contre la maladie https://t.co/uIs9ZGh8CF

[GCSP_Alumni @gcsp_alumni]

Are you 🇺🇸or 🇺🇸 based #GCSPalumni? Join us today at 18:30 CET for the launch of the US GCSP Alumni Community Hub and meet our hub leaders!
Ambassador of 🇨🇭to the US and ITC alumnus, Jacques Pitteloud will pronounce the welcome address. Looking forward !!
https://t.co/8GMcr9UumN