Mohamed Hadi

[Mohamed Hadi @maxhadi7]

Chokepoint Above and Below the Surface: The Red Sea’s Emerging Infrastructure Challenge https://t.co/8PgLDTzGpY

[Mehari Taddele Maru @DrMehari]

Preventing a relapse into war in Tigray and between Ethiopia and Eritrea is the most urgent moral, political, and legal priority. So is ending the wars in Oromia, Amhara of Ethiopia and Sudan.

What is the current state of readiness to conduct preventive diplomacy on looming wars such as those between Ethiopia and Eritrea?

None.

The stakes, however, could not be higher.

War drums between Ethiopia and Eritrea threaten to unravel the Pretoria Agreement and have the potential to create another Yemen-like situation on the African side of the Red Sea, in addition to Sudan, Ethiopia and Somalia, where state integrity is gravely damaged.

Without stability on land it is hard to ensure maritime security—in other words, security at sea is determined by inland stability.

The stability of countries bordering the Red Sea—on both African and Arabian sides—is crucial for maintaining maritime security in one of the world's most vital waterways.

For people of the Horn, wars in Sudan, Ethiopia, and broader Africa have recorded unprecedented fatalities since the end of the Cold War, and recently since the war on Tigray began, active state-based conflicts have sharply surged and inflicted economic losses exceeding half a trillion dollars for the Horn of Africa alone, and well over a quarter trillion in Sudan.
With 123 million displaced people globally—45 million from Africa (37% of the total)—and a 6% annual increase, refugee flows and displacement cannot be addressed without tackling root causes: conflict, atrocities, and failed transitions.

Looking ahead, African elections in 2026 and 2027—affecting nearly half a billion people—carry enormous risks. Countries including Nigeria, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Uganda may experience democratic transitions or increased violence.

Access to minerals and large markets and countering terrorism requires stable states.

The need for preventive diplomacy has never been more urgent ‼️

[Mohamed Hadi @maxhadi7]

@HhassanHaji @HaringeyLibDems @JustinHinchcli3 @Dawn_Barnes Congratulations. I know Mr Hassan very well both as a friend and colleague in UN. Am sure you will make a great Counsillor, #Boundsgreen and #libdems have a right candidate. Wish you the best.