maxmilstein

Likes: Complaining about the weather
Dislikes: The weather

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

I logged back into this app to hear what people were saying election-wise. Heading over to Bluesky, look for me there if you want to find me.

[Eric Michael Garcia @EricMGarcia]

In a weird way, we have a Kamala Harris-Donald Trump election because Nancy Pelosi and Mitch McConnell made the opposite choice. Pelosi chose to shiv Biden, her friend, to save the party. McConnell voted to acquit Trump, whom he loathes, to hold onto power.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@vituperativeerb @snowball1926 Premarital sex was famously not a thing in the 1960s.

[Alan Cole @AlanMCole]

If you’re just logging back on now and seeing this—

A late breaking poll totally changed the state of the race and you weren’t there to Monitor The Situation.

Because of your inattention, your candidate is now going to lose.

I am sorry you had to find out this way.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@RadiantVimes @piper4missouri (And sorry as regards your own family; I've heard bits and pieces from you guys but I know it's been really hard, even if you've managed to stay in touch).

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@RadiantVimes @piper4missouri What's interesting is I didn't even interpret the first tweet as being no contact *due to politics*, just theorizing that the type of parents, generally, whose kids cut them out will also be the kind who are attracted to Trump.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@JJ_McCullough @SwannMarcus89 Repeat after me for the ten thousandth time: "not beating the 'weird' charges".

[Kristen Soltis Anderson @KSoltisAnderson]

If - IF -the Selzer poll is right this time, this is polling equivalent the Battlestar Galactica being the only ship in the fleet to not use the super new fancy technology (and that being exactly why it’s the only ship to survive the initial attack of the Cylons).

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@Nowooski By this logic I'd argue for MN as well, especially if you're able to exclude the metro and just his Greater Minnesota.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@Nowooski I don't think Harris has a shot in IA but FTW could help some downballot candidates.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@Nowooski Can we get a wellness check on me? I'm worried I've overdosed on hopium.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

8 years ago Trump won by winning over pro-choice but otherwise conservative Obama voters while holding onto the pro-life movement.

I think his key to victory this time, if he can't pull that off again, is similarly having it both ways on Israel-Palestine. 72 hours left.

[Shaiel Ben-Ephraim @academic_la]

This is exactly the kind of event Kamala zealously avoided due to her support for Israel. But Trump will do anything to win Michigan and I guarantee that not one of his “pro-Israel” supporters will care. But imagine their reaction if Harris did this.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@Nowooski I admire the ambition in the use of 'first'.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@Nowooski I tend to assume that a campaign talking about doors or dials has a low response rate (if you're connecting you brag about Conversations).

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@CBarrett_CPA @FeelDaRusch I think almost everyone I know (my age) had a story about their grandparents keeping a lot of cash or lecturing them not to trust banks.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@FeelDaRusch @CBarrett_CPA I've read that people who start their careers during a recession, on average, keep a lower tolerance for risk for the rest of their financial lives.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@mattyglesias I'll be straight up that I know very, very little about Cox.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

@mattyglesias Harding/Cox was 1920, 24 was Coolidge/Davis, not sure which one you think was worse.

[Bianca @BiancaTylek]

There is something huge happening in the prison industry and no one appears to be paying attention: the correctional healthcare sector is collapsing. THREAD

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

I couldn't remember the name of the betting market on the billboard other than that it began with a K. This appears to have been it, and the odds advertised were just straight up false.

https://t.co/kb1KZbTH4M

[Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_]

I won’t comment on other markets.

As a US based, regulated, deeply liquid market, the volume and open interest on Kalshi are real.

The forecast on Kalshi is transparent and real: Trump is at 62%.

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

Saw a billboard on 8 Mile last night advertising a betting site offering 50/50 election odds. Election betting is reaching weird new levels.

@Nowooski

[maxmilstein @maxmilstein2]

Based on ads on this site the MI Senate odds are also swinging pretty wildly intra-day this past weekend.