Kenneth McElwain

ケネス・盛・マッケルウェイン. Professor of Comparative Politics, Institute of Social Science, University of Tokyo. 東京大学 社会科学研究所・教授. Politics, constitutionalism, and Ireland.

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

https://t.co/O9SvAUW9ZL

拙著『日本国憲法の普遍と特異』が第44回石橋湛山賞を受賞しました！

千倉書房の@kamiya_Chikura さん、社研の同僚、比較政治学・憲法学の仲間、校正を手伝ってくれた若手研究者、そして家族のサポートがなければ書けなかった本です。皆様、本当にありがとうございました。

[Program on US-Japan Relations, Harvard University @HarvardUSJapan]

Thurs, 11/21, 8-9 pm ET: Join us to discuss Japan’s House of Representatives election on 10/27, with co-editors & authors of forthcoming Japan Decides 2024, with @MaedaPoliSci, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, @mcelwain444, & @amycatalinac! Registration: https://t.co/rzlApaL2x5

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Thanks, @yuki871 , for sharing the Japanese General Election data so quickly!

[Yuki Yanai (矢内 勇生) @yuki871]

第50回衆議院議員総選挙の結果

https://t.co/il1MHZlpbI

[Masahiro Zenkyo @MZenkyo]

私はサンテレビで23時からコメント・解説する予定です。今回の選挙前に行っていた調査結果を用いて、マイクロレベルの比例投票先の変化（21衆院選→24衆院選）などをご紹介させて頂くよていです。興味ある方はぜひ。
https://t.co/Wfji9iPLvd

[Yosuke SUNAHARA @sunaharay]

あまりにも酷い…そんな人が所属先の理事だったっていうことは恥ずかしさと怒りを覚える / 「子どもを抱きしめながら、泣きながら寝ました」大阪地検元トップの性加害　被害の女性検事の告発詳報 | 関西のニュース | ニュース | 関西テレビ放送 カンテレ https://t.co/ry4cYwjZPm

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Thanks for the shoutout!

[Japan Social Science Research @japansocsci]

Narrative premiums in policy persuasion

Keisuke Kawata, Kenneth Mori McElwain (@mcelwain444) and Masaki Nakabayashi

https://t.co/liwnb0nTWa

[Social Science Japan Journal @ssjj_jrnl]

NEW BOOK REVIEW: Till Knaudt reviews Chelsea Szendi Schieder's Coed Revolution: The Female Student in the Japanese New Left published @DukePress. For access, visit @ssjj_jrnl @OUPAcademic: https://t.co/RSBjzfhAaj

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

@ssjj_jrnl @UTokyo_News_en @OUPAcademic A great new article by @AKondoUTISS , distilling much of her recent research about cohort level effects of the 就職氷河期.

[Social Science Japan Journal @ssjj_jrnl]

NEW PAPER: In her new article, Ayako Kondo
@UTokyo_News_en reassess the scarring effects of Japan's post-bubble economic recession on the labor market. For advanced access visit @ssjj_jrnl @OUPAcademic: https://t.co/ILJdOan2HG

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

@anju_yamada Congrats on your new publication! @ssjj_jrnl

[American Political Science Review @apsrjournal]

Just published on APSR First View: "Improving Probabilistic Models In Text Classification Via Active Learning" by Mitchell Bosley, Sazi Kuzushima, Ted Enamorado, and Yuki Shiraito. https://t.co/8HLtJxyDUx

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

I spelled Junko Kato wrong! Many apologies.

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Lots of research on the concrete effects of booms/recessions on long-term outcomes, including those by my colleague @AKondoUTISS. But future expectations follow a more countercyclical pattern, as suggested by social psych research.

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

This paper had a long journey, with our first presentation in 2017. Many thanks in particular to @HarvardUSJapan for hosting an early talk. Many, many more acknowledgements in the paper! Let us know what you think!

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Our thesis: A worse economy during formative years lowers baseline expectations about the future, making even so-so growth later on appear better. We also show some differences by party identification, with pro-government partisans being more optimistic.

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Using individual monthly survey data from Jiji Press over 35 years, we estimate an APC model on Japanese voter sentiment towards the economy. Takeaway: citizens who spent their adolescence when GDP growth was better (worse) are more pessimistic (optimistic) about the future.

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Simple question, but tricky estimation: are there cohort differences in citizens’ perceptions of the economy? With Tomoko Matsumoto, Kensuke Okada, and Juko Kato, we show that there are, and that these are countercyclical. OA here: https://t.co/bTy51Onx19

[Kenneth McElwain @mcelwain444]

Congrats to my longtime collaborators @yshiraito and Saki Kuzushima for this long-awaited publication. おめでとうございます！

[Yuki Shiraito @yshiraito]

"Improving Probabilistic Models In Text Classification Via Active Learning" with @mitchellbosley, Saki Kuzushima (https://t.co/F27qIoRVtS), and @TedEnamorado (https://t.co/TGcXjWIFoN) is open access! Our reproduction code and R package can be found at: https://t.co/aEfL1xvHbI

[Yuki Shiraito @yshiraito]

"Improving Probabilistic Models In Text Classification Via Active Learning" with @mitchellbosley, Saki Kuzushima (https://t.co/F27qIoRVtS), and @TedEnamorado (https://t.co/TGcXjWIFoN) is open access! Our reproduction code and R package can be found at: https://t.co/aEfL1xvHbI

[Yuki Shiraito @yshiraito]

New working paper, "When International Organizations Help Domestic Leaders Avoid Blame for Unpopular Policies" with Saki Kuzushima (https://t.co/F27qIoRVtS, who just defended dissertation!), Itsuki Umeyama, and @mcelwain444 is available at: https://t.co/zMQX8w16MX