Shore WX Guy

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Today is another example of how we convey the weather message with alerts needs to be better. The Eastern Shore of MD is not under a Heat Advisory, but the Western shore is. Both areas are experiencing the exact same temps and heat indices. Any insight from @NWS @NWS_MountHolly ?

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@tuckerweather So by the time the front did come through in the evening hours, and wind gusts of 50-70mph were causing damage and power outages, it kind of caught some of the general public by surprise… they thought it was done because their fav forecaster said it was a bust earlier in the day

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@tuckerweather Forecasters and Mets kind of shot themselves in the foot by mid afternoon saying they were wrong and it was a busted forecast when in reality, we were not done yet. The front still had to come through. I believe this led to the public letting their guard down thinking it was over

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Turns out, I was right about this… HOWEVER, we are not out of the woods just yet. I think the front tonight has more potential for damage along it with straight line winds. The squall/front tonight has always been my concern.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Why am I sensing a bust today in the Mid Atlantic? Storms? Yes, but I don’t think as significant as most are making it out to be. Not even sure the moderate risk is needed… at least in MD anyway.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Why am I sensing a bust today in the Mid Atlantic? Storms? Yes, but I don’t think as significant as most are making it out to be. Not even sure the moderate risk is needed… at least in MD anyway.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

About 7 inches of snow so far in Barclay, MD (Queen Anne’s county) and still coming down at a decent rate. @NWS_MountHolly @amarkowitzWX @JustinWeather @MikeLichniak

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@JustinWeather Same in Queen Anne’s county… Barclay. Changed to snow about 1 this afternoon. Already about an inch on the ground. Roads starting to stick too. HUGE flakes falling moderately to heavily.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@NWS_MountHolly Between Barclay and Sudlersville. Just changed over to snow about 15 minutes ago. Huge flakes falling and 33 degrees on my Tempest weather station.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Already sticking too 😧

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Here we go!! Temp down to 33 degrees and rain has changed over to snow in north Queen Anne’s county (Barclay). Huge flakes falling.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Snow is already making it to the surface in Talbot and Caroline counties… right where the heavy precip is showing up on radar as rain. It’s actually moderate snow. Confirmed by the MDOT Denton camera.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@WxmanFranz lol if that west trend continues you’ll be mixing 😬🤣

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Although I guess it’s hard to be wrong with a range like that 🤣🤷‍♂️

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

One of the many reasons why us weather people hear “they’re always wrong”… how much snow? Oh just 1-23” 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🙄

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

LOL “the king”… as it finally shows on the day before the storm what the GFS has been showing all week. 🤦‍♂️🙄

[Jake🇺🇸 @jake_wx]

THE KINGGGGGG

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@AlmanyDesigns WeatherBug is pretty good for forecasts. It’s what I use. Apple Weather, The Weather Channel and accuweather all suck.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@crazywx_politic Depends on what you look at… I wouldn’t say the GFS is an outlier when the NAM and even GRAF are showing similar outcomes. Cant focus so much on the 10:1 snow maps they print out. The track the GFS has is similar to other models now. GFS had this track for a long time.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

@SteveOweathaguy @Mondzyabizness Agree with this and it’s exactly what I’ve been saying. Regardless of the GFS performance, the Euro has not been that great either. So tired of hearing about “king Euro” when in reality, ALL models have sucked lately.

[Shore WX Guy @MDDEWX]

Under 80 hours from a storm and still decent uncertainty is wild in 2026 with today’s tech. Models lately have sucked… all of them. Even your beloved “king Euro”.