Post-#Budget2026 reflections: Several key chart structures have broken down amid today's volatility. On the daily chart, #Nifty's decline unfolded on notably low volume, suggesting potential exhaustion in selling pressure.
Switching to the weekly view, it's testing a critical rising trend line that has held firm in past corrections.
Historically, Budget-day dips (like today's -2%) often recover within a week—average +1.35% returns post-announcement.
Will history repeat with a bounce, or are we charting new territory? 📊 What's your take? #Nifty50 #StockMarketIndia #BSE #investing #BankNifty
Market Quadrant 05/2026
A hard-money environment with very selective setups and fewer structural breakouts. Conservative swing portfolios should remain in cash till the non-event of the union budget is over, & start deploying pilot positions only if next week follows through.
⦿ Bias: Bear
The long-term structure remains weak. Over 50% of stocks continue to trade below their 200-day SMA. Although participation improved marginally from last week, only about 25% of stocks are above this level. So the bias is bearish.
⦿ Trend: Downtrend
Market breadth remains unsupportive. Net new 52-week highs have stayed negative for three consecutive sessions. Major indices continue to trade below their 50-day moving averages, with only about 21% of stocks above the 50-DMA.
⦿ Swing: Sideways / early upswing
A brief mid-week bounce lacked follow-through. While a growing number of stocks are sustaining above their 10-day averages and short-term breadth has improved, these are early signals. Swing confidence remains at zero.
⦿ Momentum: Negative and worsening
Overall momentum remains in the red. Defense, PSE, and IT show relatively stronger and improving momentum, while metals, PSU banks, and commodities are weakening. The environment continues to favor capital preservation over risk-taking.
Link to complete blogpost:
https://t.co/qGMoDYeNDE
Market Quadrant 05/2026
A hard-money environment with very selective setups and fewer structural breakouts. Conservative swing portfolios should remain in cash till the non-event of the union budget is over, & start deploying pilot positions only if next week follows through.
⦿ Bias: Bear
The long-term structure remains weak. Over 50% of stocks continue to trade below their 200-day SMA. Although participation improved marginally from last week, only about 25% of stocks are above this level. So the bias is bearish.
⦿ Trend: Downtrend
Market breadth remains unsupportive. Net new 52-week highs have stayed negative for three consecutive sessions. Major indices continue to trade below their 50-day moving averages, with only about 21% of stocks above the 50-DMA.
⦿ Swing: Sideways / early upswing
A brief mid-week bounce lacked follow-through. While a growing number of stocks are sustaining above their 10-day averages and short-term breadth has improved, these are early signals. Swing confidence remains at zero.
⦿ Momentum: Negative and worsening
Overall momentum remains in the red. Defense, PSE, and IT show relatively stronger and improving momentum, while metals, PSU banks, and commodities are weakening. The environment continues to favor capital preservation over risk-taking.
Link to complete blogpost:
https://t.co/qGMoDYeNDE
Since 15th January is Declared as Holiday.
SENSEX Expiry is Moved to Tomorrow.
Wednesday 14th JAN. Plz Note.
When Such Sudden Holidays are declared without Prior Idea, One day Extra Premium Decay will be Adjusted in one ore two ways..!
How Exactly...?
1) Either Gapup or Gapdown Open either side and Then sideways.
2) Intraday Sharp Whispaws on both sides and Then Premium Decay.
We'll Not be Carrying #BTST For Now.
Will be Restarting Fresh from Friday.
Weekly #Nifty all geared up for a breakout! Will it dip first then surge upward, or go straight up? Everyone's expecting a gap down, but that's just retail thinking. 🤔 #Investment#BankNifty#StockMarketIndia