@DrewSav They changed a ton of seats suddenly from Solid to Likely R a week before the election. Then some of them to Lean R 1 DAY before. I select Toss-Up, Lean R, and usually 1 Likely R seat to donate to for Dems, in early Sept. My Likely R won by 10 pts, he didn’t need my money!
@scott_colom@CookPolitical In June, I argued in a Daily Kos article that Dems had a chance in some of Cook’s “safe R” seats, including KY-06, SC-01, TX-09, + others. Dems won them all. Cook changed those ratings, eventually. Some changed 1 day before the election, too late for anyone to donate/notice!
@DanaPublik1@DougWahl1 Someone posted a gif showing what president was in office when our Senators (for the next Congress) were born and there are 4 from FDR’s time. But since FDR was in office for 13 years, Grassley is still 8+ years older than any of the others. Bernie is the 2nd oldest BTW.
@jmullen2 They ran Independent candidates instead of Dem for Senate (Montana actually ran an Independent and Dem, but the Independent got much more support). So it sort of muddied things, if there was just an R and a D on the ballot you would see a blue shift.
@pescami Cook also made a LOT of late shifts in Dems’ direction. Many of these seats were Safe or Likely R for a long time. IN-05 moved from Safe, to Likely, to Lean in the span of about a week. Several NC seats just moved from Safe on Monday!
@DrewSav When Cook had this and KY-06 as Solid R in June I argued the Dems could win them and I’m feeling pretty vindicated TBH (Cook moved them eventually, of course).
@teddygoff Like 2018 Maybe (Dems lost ND, IN, MO, FL but held on to WV, OH and MT—and flipped AZ and NV. 6 years is a long time (OH will actually be up in 2 years).