People are asking me to comment on travis B saying his NBA sources told him Moreno did have a promise for a first round pick.
I do believe he was told that. I still don't believe for a second that it is true. Everyone I spoke to in the agent world or NBA scout world told me all that info was coming from a coordinated source. Clearly everyone, including me, thought it was manipulation. I don't believe Travis lied....but I do think he was lied to.
Agents have more than one client. Many times agents and teams conspire in complex ways.... team scratch my back, I help you with this other player..... That's what everyone I spoke to says happened.
Let me expand a bit on why I think the talk of Moreno in the first round is most likely agent hype..... part of it is the timing of the chatter.... too early in the process for that part to make sense.....
But.....The case against him going in the first round is stronger than people want to admit.
He has zero proven floor spacing. None. In 2026, drafting a big man in the first round with no perimeter shooting is a massive gamble. You're betting a guaranteed contract on a skill he hasn't shown yet against NBA athletes.
The athleticism is good but not elite. He's not a dynamic above the rim finisher and he's not a face up threat. That's a role player ceiling being priced like a franchise piece.
He's too thin/weak for a drop coverage center right now. He'll get pushed around until he adds real strength and that development can take time for NBA bigs going against grown ass men
His defensive rebounding rate was below average on the season. One freshman year in college ball. That's the entire resume.
He also skipped the 5 on 5 scrimmages at the combine. Teams are being asked to spend first round capital on a guy who wouldn't compete in front of them in Chicago. Make that make sense.
The 2027 draft class is projected to be significantly weaker. If Moreno comes back, dominates as a sophomore, and enters next year he likely goes top 20. Why would any team rush this evaluation and overpay now?
And before someone says "but his archetype translates to the NBA" let me address that too.
Yes, rim running shot blocking bigs have one of the better development curves in the league. Capela, Adams, DeAndre Jordan all carved out long careers without ever shooting threes. That part is real.
But here's the problem. Those guys all had the one thing Moreno needs to add and almost never develops at the NBA level. The shooting. Big men who show zero perimeter touch in college almost never develop it as pros. The ones who do, like Brook Lopez, showed free throw touch and feel indicators early that pointed to it. Moreno's free throw shooting is encouraging but it's far from a guarantee.... and that one part is REQUIRED to make him worthy of a 1st round pick.
The strength issue is more solvable. NBA player development is excellent at adding functional mass to young bigs and his frame has room to grow. That part I believe in....but it may come too late for him.
But you're still looking at a best case scenario of a really good starting center. That's the ceiling if everything goes right. Teams drafting him in the first round are paying star pick money for a role player floor and banking on a skill developing that historically doesn't hit at a high level
Had a very interesting breakdown of the @LouisvilleMBB and @KentuckyMBB roster comparison with @romeybean tonight!
PG Shelstad vs Diallo (Push)
SG Wooley vs Wilkins (Lean Wooley)
SF Knox vs Williams (Lean Knox)
PF Folgueiras vs Momcilovic (MM)
C Bidunga vs Moreno (Bidunga)
Reserves (Big Lean UofL)
Analysis: It was very insightful doing the exercise and what we discovered is that the starting lineups are pretty close where the Cards got the nod in a lot of the matchups due to higher actual and potential on the defensive end. But the reserves is where the big disparity came into play where the Cats have hardly any pop off the bench. UofL has much more depth, talent, and potential.
do you think anyone is debating Uk lost the most recent game??? Just like there is no debate RofL lost the first game against Pope/PK.
The point is UK wasn't a top team last year. Had we been, it's highly likely PK would have lost that game since he's never beaten a really good team. Suck on that tit.
Louisville fans talking about Mark Pope's "job security" crack me up.
Pope beat more top 15 ranked team than any coach in college basketball his first season.
Pat Kelsey is 0-9 against kenpom top 20 final rankings. He has NEVER beaten a team ranked in the top 20 at seaoson's end.
2024-25 losses to KenPom top 20:2024-25 losses to KenPom top 20:
Tennessee (~#4) — Loss
Duke (~#2) — Loss
Kentucky (~#12) — Loss
2025-26 losses to KenPom top 20:
Duke (~#2) — Loss (home)
Duke (~#2) — Loss (road)
Virginia (~#7) — Loss
North Carolina (~#12) — Loss
Arkansas (~#18) — Loss
Michigan State (~#10) — Loss
@WHIP_SCENT Save this quote? Dude, this quote is hilarious. My wife's English is better than yours and she's colombian.
UK wasn't top 20 last year. Sorry. Pat Kelsey has lost to every top team he's played. 0-9. suck balls if that don't make you happy.
no, they jump because they have 2 years of working on their weaknesses. Year 1 they get to do what they want. Year 2 defenses prep for them as they are asked to do more in the offense.....year 3 they have much more in their bag. Take away their best 3 moves and the 4, 5 and 6th moves have gotten to be just as good. You cant take away everything
No sir. Not at all. Biggest myth fans say about mid majors. The talent gap is nowhere close to insane. In fact, it's much closer than most fans seem to realize. For every Wooley (your point, not saying I agree with it) there is an Antonio Reeves, Koby Brea, Amari Williams...etc. Not to mention Wilkins had some of his biggest games against the top teams in the nation. I agree with none of what you said.
@MeManBoy0@YouTube Nah , no knock to Alex but almost every player who has big freshman years at mm struggle in their second year a bit more . The talent gap is insane . Adrian Wooley got whatever he wanted in CUSA, was a role player year 2 at Louisville . But they tend to bounce back year after
Lots of players hit their stride their 3rd year....it's more about maturity and upskilling than anything else. Even players who stay at the same team see a huge jump year 3. Milan at ISU saw that. it has little to do with moving from mid to high major. Uk has 3rd year guys make that jump all the time as well
I think Travis is way off with his Alex Wilkins take. The guys is gonna be very very good this year imo. The way he scores translates.
Kentucky's Roster Rebirth: How Milan Momcilovic Shocked College Basketba... https://t.co/XITl5AwJi5 via @YouTube
@sa30961@YouTube I never said no effect. I said very little effect for a player capable. I did this exact thing at a high level for 23 years man..this is exactly what I was paid for
@sa30961 because you are attributing the "sophomore slump" to a move up in competition...which is not accurate. I'm making the point that it isn't a jump up in talent level that causes the sophomore slump...it's teams having tape on what a player does well and stopping that.
@sa30961@YouTube you are attributing it to increased competition.... and tis probably because you have no real experience in the space..... my last point is a fact btw