0xX

区块链金融，价值投资

[0xX @metaifi]

Polymarket US的交易量已经起来了，占了kalshi一半， $POLY 是不是该来了？

[Bryant @bryantheden]

Everyone is watching Kalshi

But Polymarket is quietly building the bigger global setup

Latest weekly notional volume:

Kalshi: $2.22B
Polymarket US: $1.21B
Polymarket global: $1.07B

Combined Polymarket volume is already around $2.28B in one week

Now add World Cup markets, sports whales, and global attention

This is where prediction markets stop feeling niche

[0xX @metaifi]

@chaoge_btc 收了30%的税，给完税证明吗？

[0xX @metaifi]

今年以来都是这个哥们在PUA，每次都是soon，从来没有具体时间 @mustafap0ly

[0xX @metaifi]

@wuyou818 世界杯不发币就结束，下一个opensea

[0xX @metaifi]

@willo2_Poly Polymarket 通过更改自己的规则是基操，受害者不计其数

[0xX @metaifi]

@maik2hello 搞一下

[0xX @metaifi]

@mrseven_1 完蛋了，延期就是无限期，下一个opensea

[0xX @metaifi]

9号星期四
最近的就是2026年7月9号
下次是2027年9月9号
也就是说今年世界杯没有空投，就等到明年9月，到时候
①平台牛逼，你的份额被稀释成渣渣，反撸
②预测变成容嬷嬷，反撸
对于普通人来说世界杯不空投就结束，没有任何性价比，反撸是大概率事件，最后坚持一个月 $POLY

[0xX @metaifi]

@vonzz6 今年世界杯不发币，今年就别想了

[0xX @metaifi]

@0xTaiyang @Polymarket 希望不要

[0xX @metaifi]

还想着 $POLY空投呢！！！能不能保住号都是个问题了，撸毛的最后会不会变成数据和燃料？？？ @Polymarket

[區塊先生 🐡 ⚠️ (rock #58) @mrblock]

Polymarket 封鎖 VPN 用戶這件事，現在已經不讓人意外了。

真正令人意外的是，這個平台過去多久以來都靠全球各地用戶（包含許多受限制地區的用戶）來快速成長：這些用戶貢獻了大量的交易量、流動性、社群文化和關注度。

現在，這些曾經幫助平台茁壯的用戶，卻突然被當成「合規風險」來處理。

平台面臨各國法律壓力（預測市場在很多國家被視為未經許可的賭博或衍生性商品），

• 透明度應該先於一切。不能先「收割」全球用戶的流量和成長，等到監管壓力來了，才悄悄收緊規則。

• 不能一開始把自己包裝成「開放式預測市場的未來」，等到監管單位出現，就慢慢變成一個「需要許可、受管制的金融科技 App」。

• 問題不只是 VPN 被封鎖，更重要的是：很多用戶已經冒著風險參與，卻是在事後才知道真正的規則是什麼。

Polymarket 正因數十個國家加強監管，而開始對 VPN 使用者進行 IP 封鎖與更嚴格的身分驗證。這是平台為了避免被認定為非法經營，而採取的合規措施。但這也讓許多早期支持者感到被「過河拆橋」。

[0xX @metaifi]

@mimijieweb3 通过币圈，财负自由

[0xX @metaifi]

@hebi555 除了销毁还有分红，这两个都是最性感的故事

[0xX @metaifi]

预测平台的本质不是预测事实，只是一个赌博平台，杀大放小的赌博平台

[Dev03 🪐 @Hec_77]

Polymarket traders are rushing to Kalshi after the '' MicroStrategy Sells Any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026 '' market drama. But they're missing something.

Kalshi isn't that totally different from @Polymarket

Kalshi (being centralized + CFTC-regulated) has an internal committee that can add clarifications or interpret rules.

and it sometimes feels like "changing rules after the fact" to losers which is very similar to the Polymarket complaints.

I stumbled upon a post on Reddit about Kalshi specifically a market titled '' Dartmouth vs Clarkson College Hockey Incident'' (January 2026).

Here,

– The market was set up with only two options: Dartmouth "Yes" or Clarkson Yes/No.

– A trader bet big on Dartmouth "Yes".

– Dartmouth won the game in a shootout.

– For a while after the game, Kalshi priced it as Dartmouth "Yes" winning (trader was up).

then After the market closed, Kalshi added a new rule:

“Games decided by shootout resolve as a tie according to the pre-shootout score.”

and hence turned the win into a tie which made the trader lost over $4,000.

Kalshi changed the rules after the market closed, and when the Trader checked the official PDF rules, it showed the wrong document (French Open tennis rules instead).

The Trader accused Kalshi of retroactively changing things to pay out less money.

This case is very similar to the current Polymarket drama. It shows even regulated platforms get these complaints when big bets are involved.

Kalshi more regulated than Polymarket, so they face more scrutiny, but it's not perfect.

Hope they're aware of this ?

[0xX @metaifi]

@0xTaiyang @opensea @MetaMask 有潜力

[0xX @metaifi]

你们都觉得 @opensea 和小狐狸 @MetaMask 是PUA之王，polymarket的PUA能力堪称顶级
24年11月首次暗示发币空投
25年10月CEO暗示 $POLY ，随后CMO表示会有代币和空投
现在快2年过去了，竟然没人觉得PUA
我从24年大选的时候注册账户，等世界杯结束还没发币就停止，就怕反撸和无尽PUA，该止损就止损

[0xX @metaifi]

@opensea @MetaMask 蓝色PUA三巨头
@opensea 上上轮
@base 上轮
@Polymarket 本轮
老中青三代

[0xX @metaifi]

@BTCdayu 目测polymarket也要不停PUA

[0xX @metaifi]

不懂就问
polymarket发空投了？？？ @Polymarket
还是骗术升级了？？？

[0xX @metaifi]

@AsunaMage @hebi555 做市商