@DailyMail Pakistanis in Pakistan rape western women they get executed. Pakistanis in western countries rape western women, they get off and the judge apologizes for the racism they had to endure.
CBS News said there was no evidence of fraud.
The NYT said the Somali community was being targeted
CNN said there was "little evidence."
Tim Walz said it was “white supremacy” to expose fraud
Today: $90M busted and 15 charged.
IT WAS ALL FRAUD AND THEY KNEW.
Universities had 17 years of warning. They responded by doing the opposite of what the math demanded.
In 2008, American birth rates fell off a cliff. The Great Recession made people stop having kids. Those never-born children would be turning 18 right now. The number of U.S. high school graduates peaked at roughly 3.9 million in 2025. By 2029, that number drops 15%. By 2041, it drops by nearly half a million students per year.
Every school in this tweet had access to the same Census data. They all saw the same curve.
Administrative positions at U.S. colleges grew 60% between 1993 and 2009, ten times the rate of tenured faculty growth. Non-instructional spending (student services, administration) grew 29% from 2010 to 2018. Instructional spending grew 17%. Average tuition at public four-year schools went from $3,500 in 2000 to $10,560 in 2023. Yale now has more administrators than undergraduate students. 5,460 administrators for fewer than 5,000 undergrads.
They built the cost structure of a growth company on top of a customer base that was mathematically guaranteed to shrink.
The split in this data tells you everything. Clemson, Syracuse, Duke, UNC, and Indiana are all cutting because the model broke. Alabama, Ole Miss, and the University of Florida are turning away more applicants than ever. Harvard gets five applications for every spot. The middle is where the cliff hits. Elite schools absorb demand. Everyone between elite and community college fights over a shrinking pool. The Fed published a study in December 2024 predicting 80 colleges will close in the next five years. Since 2016, over 100 already have. In 2024 alone, 28 shut down. One per week.
These program cuts and layoffs are a decade late. The birth rate data was sitting in Census spreadsheets the entire time. Everyone in higher education administration saw the enrollment cliff coming. They hired more administrators anyway.
you’re 22. you scroll 3 hours a day. it feels harmless
at 28 you can’t read an article without checking your phone twice per paragraph
at 32 you don’t understand why nothing you start ever finishes, you’re still dreaming of this project you wanted to start. still no time
at 40 you’ve never finished a book in a decade.
it all passed
@joewilliams@tunguz This will probably drive most of the college enrollment decline as a bachelors still has a positive ROI on increase in projected income