Coba bayangin 10.000 orang main tebak-tebakan arah BTC besok. Naik atau turun. 50-50.
Ronde pertama, ~5.000 orang bener. Sisanya salah.
Ronde kedua, dari yang bener tadi, ~2.500 masih bener.
Ronde ketiga, ~1.250.
Ronde keempat, ~625.
Ronde kelima, ~312 orang bener 5x berturut-turut.
Nah. 312 orang ini sekarang ubah bio jadi "full time trader" Post makin percaya diri.
Mulai ngajarin orang.
Ngerasa punya "edge" yang orang lain nggak punya.
Mereka yakin mereka genius.
Dan lo,yang lagi nyari panutan, tentu percaya.
Padahal dari awal, nggak ada skill. Yang ada cuma distribusi normal. Statistik. Probabilitas yang kebetulan jatuh ke mereka.
Nassim Taleb udah tulis ini 20 tahun lalu di "Fooled by Randomness": kita secara sistematis buta terhadap peran keberuntungan.
Otak manusia nggak di-design buat ngerti randomness jadi kita bikin cerita. "Dia emang jago." "Dia punya edge." "Dia beda."
Crypto? Salah satu domain paling luck-driven yang pernah ada. Volatile. Unpredictable.
Artinya? Tempat paling sempurna buat orang hoki ngerasa jadi genius.
I've been there. We all have.
Stay humble, before the market does it for you.
Buset, gua daftar PCPM BI sampe tahap MCU udah dicolok-colok pantat gua itupun masih gak lolos, ini keponakan presiden bisa langsung jadi deputi gubernur.
@dvlavd@idextratime Konteks yang sesungguhnya
"Pemain Real Madrid pada mau gebukin Yamal rame² tapi pemain Barca melarangnya karena biar mereka dulu yg gebukin Yamal di ruang ganti"
@SeputarMadrid Courtouis
Carvajal-Militao-Huijsen-Carreras
Tchou-Ceballos
Franco-Arda-Vini
Mbappe
Prefer begini startingnya. Kalau udah kalah bola mati dan crossing, paling ga ada opsi lain bisa lebih dominan dari mid
FWIW, I don’t think Xabi Alonso has any dislike for Vinicius. I think his reality is completely different from Vini’s camp. Xabi has a vision and is implementing what he believes needs to be implemented.
It’s very cliche, I know, but there’s a reason why this is the most difficult job in football. He’s trying to implement a lot of new tactical concepts with a new group of players while also juggling the pressure and noise — and he is rightfully doing what he wants. He *should* have free reign to be in full control.
Most people understand that the ultimate goal is for the *team* to win.
I will say that while he keeps winning, this will be subdued and controlled. Last night I said it’s a controlled, slow burning fire. But if the team does go through a losing streak, it could get ugly.
But *so* much can still change as the season goes on. Can’t discount anything, including Vinicius being back to his best as a starter.
I’ll end with my own subjective reality which may or may not resonate with you. All I care about is Real Madrid’s success. Have supported this club since ‘98. And my dad since ‘66. The amount of players we fell in love with are limitless. We’ve seen the rise and fall of so many of them. The only constant was Real Madrid itself. If the club is succeeding, that should mean the players are succeeding too. But you need the club to succeed first, and as a coach, you can’t bend your philosophy and what you believe in just to avoid seeing players or fans get upset.
we get this question a lot on the podcast: “how do you deal with player FC?”
I don’t. I create, I don’t consume. Leave people to do as they wish. Don’t care what people think so much. It really doesn’t matter. Just do you, and the ones that resonate with you will find you — the rest are irrelevant ✊
Man. Don’t know how to explain it other than shock. Words cannot express the pain of this letdown. The frustration is unfathomable. I’ve worked my whole life to get to this moment and this is how it ends? Makes no sense.
Now that I’ve gotten surgery, I wish I could count the number of times people will tell me I’m going to “come back stronger”. What a cliche lol, this shit sucks. My foot feels like dead weight fam. But what’s hurting most I think is my mind. Feel like I’m rambling, but I know this is something I’ll look back on when I’m through this, as something I’m proud I fought through. It feels good to let this shit out without y’all seeing the kid ugly cry.
At 25, I’ve already learned that God never gives us more than we can handle. I know I’ll come out on the other side of this a better man and a better player. And honestly, right now, torn Achilles and all, I don’t regret it. I’d do it again, and again after that, to fight for this city and my brothers. For the chance to do something special.
Indy, I’m sorry. If any fan base doesn’t deserve this, it’s y’all. But together we are going to fight like hell to get back to this very spot, and get over this hurdle. I don’t doubt for a second that y’all have my back, and I hope you guys know that I have yours. I think Kobe said it best when in this same situation. “There are far greater issues/challenges in the world then a torn achilles. Stop feeling sorry for yourself, find the silver lining and get to work with the same belief, same drive and same conviction as ever.” And that’s exactly right. I will do everything in my power to get back right.
My journey to get to where I am today wasn’t by happenstance, I’ve pushed myself every day to be great. And I will continue to do just that. The most important part of this all, is that I’m grateful. I’m grateful for every single experience that’s led me here. I’m grateful for all the love from the hoop world. I don’t “have to” go through this, I get to go through this. I’m grateful for the road that lies ahead. Watch how I come back from this. So, give me some time, I’ll dust myself off and get right back to being the best version of Tyrese Haliburton.
-0
Proverbs 3:5-6 “Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding; in all your ways acknowledge Him, and He will make your paths straight."
[This is a Satire Product - Not for Actual Sale]
Introducing HMNS RAJA AMPAT Eau 100ml
Size: 100ml
Notes: pure Raja Ampat seawater, Free of Heavy Metal Contaminations (Nickel, Cobalt, Chromium (Cr⁶⁺), Iron, Manganese, Arsenic, Lead, and Cadmium), contains healthy planktons and microbes.
🥹🤍 Video penghargaan dan perpisahan dari Real Madrid untuk Carlo Ancelotti ditutup dengan ungkapan sang pelatih: “Masa bulan madu saya dengan Madrid akan terus berjalan sampai hari terakhir dalam hidup saya.”