Michal Strnadel

Chairman of the Board at Asociace UX | Design Leader | Startup Co-Founder | Strategic Designer

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@claudeai Nice graphics for the presentation! 🫶

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@TechWhirlUlt Dia, from the creators of Arc, is just as good. It has a nice, clean user interface, but for me, there are too many AI features.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

Researchers injected a concept like "denim" into a model's activations and asked if it noticed anything odd. The best model caught it in about 20% of trials. Follow-up work says it can tell something is off but often can't say what. That sounds a lot like people to me.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@GithubProjects https://t.co/gV9CRVyx5o

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@itsdanalex Ha nice challenge. 👀

https://t.co/AlRkJd9STh

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@mercury__agent Love seeing approvals move out of the terminal. The same itch made me build AgentBar: one approval queue for Claude Code, Codex, Copilot & co., right in the macOS menu bar.
Would be fun to plug Mercury in too 🙌
https://t.co/VSO0xW63ER

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

2026: AI agents everywhere, and Sony is selling 1979 headphones. With a cable.
No charging, no pairing, no updates. Just plug in.
Best product of the year?

https://t.co/urFORKcZBW

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@diabrowser Big fan here. Love how clean the UI is, and your release notes are some of the best out there. I haven't really gotten into the AI side yet, and I rarely use skills or the chat. Rooting for you though 🙌

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

https://t.co/EZoQebmmEl

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

Uvidíme se na WebTop100! Těším se na novinky z českého digitálu a na oceněné projekty a produkty. 🙌

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

https://t.co/soSSeaaFK6

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

About 1,400 forecasters are guessing when general AI arrives. Median: late 2031. But a quarter of them say by mid-2027. I'd sit closer to that early quarter, and what unsettles me is how little that feels like a bold call now.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@justin_schueler Cool! Good job. 🙌 Looks like so nice.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

Two days before the midterms, three forecasts for Senate control:

Silver Bulletin: 77.7% Democrats
Polymarket: ~68%
Metaculus (145 forecasters): ~38%

I've rarely seen the models, the money and the crowd this far apart.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@tangero Jindra je skvělej! A jeho skill taky. 👏

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@SashaGusevPosts Fair, that's a real selection effect, I was arguing a different point. Though it cuts both ways: the supers at the low end on doom were the same group that badly lowballed AI progress. Neither side has much of a track record on this exact question.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@TheStalwart Worth translating: 10-40% survival means 60-90% doom. In the 2022 tournament the median superforecaster put AI-caused extinction by 2100 at 0.38%, AI experts at 3%. The 10-40% view comes from a much smaller crowd.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

@ARozenshtein Depends which theory of consciousness you'd bet on. On global workspace views it's an architecture choice, so you could build it or leave it out. On IIT, ordinary digital hardware scores near zero no matter how capable the model gets. Neither says complexity alone does it.

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

👉 https://t.co/zFMWsRxMEj

[Michal Strnadel @michal_strnadel]

Your AI coding agent has been waiting for approval for 20 minutes. You had no idea.

New AgentBar release is out. Open source macOS app that watches Claude Code, Codex, Cursor and Gemini from your menu bar or notch.