Mike Saad

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

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[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

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[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

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[Rawan Osman روان عثمان @RawaneOsmane]

If you think Hezbollah is losing this war, you’re misunderstanding the strategy.

Hezbollah is dragging Lebanon into a war it cannot win.

The military imbalance with Israel is obvious. The destruction is predictable. And Lebanon has nothing to gain from it.

So why do it?

Because what looks like a losing war is not meant to be won on the battlefield.

Since October 7, we’ve been watching a different kind of strategy unfold—one based on provocation.

Hamas did not only attack Israel. It provoked a reaction. The brutality, the humiliation, the horror—filmed and broadcast—were not random. They were designed to trigger an overwhelming Israeli response.

And it worked.

The war that followed produced exactly what was intended: images of destruction, civilian suffering, and global outrage.

This is the point most observers miss:

What the world sees as losses in Gaza and Lebanon can function as strategic gains.

Because the goal is not military victory—especially not against a U.S.-backed Israel. The goal is to isolate Israel, radicalize populations, and block normalization between Israel and the Arab world.

Hezbollah is now applying the same logic.

By keeping the conflict alive, it ensures that any talk of peace between Lebanon and Israel becomes impossible. It reopens old wounds, fuels hatred, and traps the region in a cycle where coexistence cannot even be imagined.

And behind all of this stands Iran.

Gaza and Lebanon are not the center of the strategy. Tehran is.

As long as the system is coordinated from there, it can absorb destruction on the periphery and continue the fight.

But this is where the story becomes more complicated.

This strategy, as effective as it may seem, is also deeply risky.

Iran pushed too far.

By escalating across the region, it didn’t just provoke Israel—it alarmed Sunni Arab states. It exposed its inability to protect its allies and revealed the true cost of belonging to its axis.

Iran’s strategy assumed that intellectual asymmetry could offset military asymmetry—that provocation, narrative control, and ideological endurance could outmaneuver Israeli and American power. But that assumption is now being tested. If Israel and the United States adapt faster than anticipated, the very framework designed to trap them may instead expose the limits of the strategy itself.

And something is shifting.

In Lebanon, more people are openly questioning Hezbollah. More voices are challenging Iran’s role. More are realizing that this endless war leads nowhere.

Yes, many Lebanese have dismissed normalization with Israel after the invasion of southern Lebanon. But at the same time, they are also beginning to dismiss Hezbollah as a legitimate Lebanese actor.

This is the paradox:

A setback in Israeli-Lebanese relations—but also a setback in Iranian-Lebanese relations.

And without Iran’s grip, normalization between Israel and Lebanon may not happen immediately—but when it does, it could be slower, more organic, and ultimately more durable.

So yes—Israel has paid a price in global opinion.

But Iran is now paying a price in the region.

And in the Middle East, power matters.

If Israel emerges strong, it will recover faster than many think.
If Iran appears weak, it risks losing the very influence it built its strategy on.

So what are we really witnessing?

A sophisticated strategy that turned destruction into leverage.

But also a dangerous gamble.

Because a strategy built on endless provocation may succeed in dragging your enemy into the fire—
but it does not guarantee you will walk out of it.

#lebanon #IsraelHezbollah

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

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[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

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[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

https://t.co/IwpzWRnEzP

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

I got cancer at 47 — I was fit and healthy except for this one symptom - New York Post https://t.co/5cpiGKVzyG

[Bishal Nandi @LearnWithBishal]

The Notes app is one of Apple's most powerful tools.

But 80% of users only use it at a basic level.

Here are 10 amazing things your Notes app can do:

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

@Najib_Mikati The “Israeli aggressions” are horrible, and the good people of Lebanon are suffering needlessly. That being said, how many countries would tolerate their neighbor shooting missiles at them?? You are the prime minister, don’t you have some authority to prevent this???

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

https://t.co/LhBtcoWjMF

[Simon Ateba @simonateba]

I cried watching this: Deaf people hear for the first time. WATCH.

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

@SenWarren Google’s definition of inflation:“a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money.”
The second part of this def explains that inflation is simply caused by a “fall in the purchasing value of money.” Why did this happen?? Because we printed trillions of $.

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

@lydiadepillis Nice article. You forgot to mention that this administration printing trillions of dollars was the largest reason for inflation. M1&2 skyrocketed. Our money is simply less valuable now so prices increased. Interesting you didn’t even touch this more important point, seems biased

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

In tumultuous Lebanon, a bright spot in . . . gin-making | Financial Times https://t.co/FW29csIHV7

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

A country being unified through hiking - BBC Travel https://t.co/BpnAaIdBS3

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

via @NYTimes https://t.co/cr1jJiEJYe

[Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla]

FUNDSTRAT: “Below are the 6 states with the highest vaccination rates. And as shown, while cases are up, one has to squint to see higher hospitalizations.

But look at hospitalizations of the 6 states with the lowest vaccination rates. Yikes.” @fundstrat

[Mike Saad @mike_saad]

Seeking a Pill to Cure Covid: Drugmakers Eye Alternative to Vaccines https://t.co/GgF9qweOkU