Misc

#ExtremeModerate (it's complicated).
Below the median at mind-reading.
On the spectrum ... of self awareness.
Capable of learning.
I'm not a sycophant.
#BeKind

[Misc @miscmod]

> 2026 is gonna be [] likely the busiest (and most consequential) year for the future of our species.

Sounds like a good time to recalibrate gradients...
https://t.co/ncGoEe6Tcg

[Jimmy Ba @jimmybajimmyba]

Last day at xAI.

xAI's mission is push humanity up the Kardashev tech tree. Grateful to have helped cofound at the start. And enormous thanks to @elonmusk for bringing us together on this incredible journey. So proud of what the xAI team has done and will continue to stay close as a friend of the team. Thank you all for the grind together. The people and camaraderie are the real treasures at this place.

We are heading to an age of 100x productivity with the right tools. Recursive self improvement loops likely go live in the next 12mo. It’s time to recalibrate my gradient on the big picture. 2026 is gonna be insane and likely the busiest (and most consequential) year for the future of our species.

[Misc @miscmod]

Some problems require algorithmic thinking, which means loops.

Intuition is just a place to start.
https://t.co/lz1Cfb30kG

[Kaley Brauer 💫 @kaleybrauer]

If you ask a frontier LLM a multi-hop reasoning question, e.g., "Who won the Nobel Prize for Chemistry in (1900 + Mozart's age when he died)?", it usually can't answer correctly immediately (no thinking)

BUT if you ask the same question & append 300 dots, suddenly it can answer?

[Misc @miscmod]

Recursive self-improvement seems easy at this point.

But where is the ceiling? Is this exponential until we "run out of stuff" or will there be diminishing returns at some point?

Perhaps there is an inherent limit to intelligence. In that case, super-intelligence is just speed.

[Misc @miscmod]

Even "big brains" benefit from iteration

With enough detail, you may be able to one-shot a prompt -- but ain't nobody gonna one-shot a non-trivial implementation without iterating on thinking and feedback loops.

Giant-brute models are unlikely to be the most efficient approach.

[Misc @miscmod]

Nutritional supplements are often "just a little bit" toxic because adding color to pills, gummies, and powders can have other subtle benefits for the industry.

Enjoy.

[Misc @miscmod]

@mattpocockuk "Always be sandboxing"
https://t.co/nSoDDN5B6l

[Misc @miscmod]

@HeinrichKuttler Just wait until you discover development containers.

[Misc @miscmod]

@JonHavice @tatereeves - The Jevons Paradox
- Parkenson's Law and/or Parkenson's Corollary
One way or another, capacity will be consumed.
https://t.co/xuTEvCk661

[Hank Green @hankgreen]

https://t.co/YUDy77LG0t

[Misc @miscmod]

@JonHavice @tatereeves Put more clearly:
Data centers are roughly twice as efficient.

This requires a lot of assumptions about the kinds of models we'll want to run in the coming years ... and this is a huge unknown.

But there's good reason to build away:
There's no bound on demand for inference.

[Misc @miscmod]

> You don't understand how many people there are.
> There are a lot of people.

Therefore, keep recycling aluminum cans.
Cumulatively, it saves a lot of _energy_.

> The difference between a billion and a million is ... a billion.

https://t.co/uqBnLE58cm

[Misc @miscmod]

Recreational space flight better be carbon neutral.

Seriously.

[Insider Tech @TechInsider]

Jeff Bezos says he's flying into space with his brother on July 20 https://t.co/4jksNZAV2Q

[Misc @miscmod]

@WestHarlm ...And "realized" bananas are a terrible proxy for nominal wealth since (in your parable) they actually exist -- unlike dollar-based measures of unrealized wealth.

Yeah, money is complicated.

[Misc @miscmod]

@WestHarlm It's good as a basic analogy, but your numbers don't even begin to represent the magnitudes in question (a trillionaire nominally holds the same wealth as a million millionaires).

You'd need to further explain the small-float speculative-market time-value of owning banana trees.

[Misc @miscmod]

@TomKennedy76er @nypost "Screw the limit."

[Misc @miscmod]

@snafustu @Arkypatriot @x3Nicke5 If you aren't closely connected to standard business hours, which includes schools and a lot of evening social activities, then clock time is likely less important to you anyway.

In that case, what stake do you have in the DST debate?
https://t.co/5meznGVjN0

[Misc @miscmod]

@1791_mike @x3Nicke5 @Arkypatriot Yep.

The benefits of DST are tied to standard business hours. It gives us *extra* time for outdoor activities after the workday ends for most people.

Saying "there is no extra hour" misses the point entirely.
https://t.co/Z0iTDTSpSQ

[Misc @miscmod]

@trotterpatrick1 @KeiferStreet @jamesawhiite That's the whole point of DST.

It coordinates most of us in doing exactly what you've suggested.

Southern Arizona is a special case because it's too hot to be outdoors in the early evenings during summer.

That's why they have year-round Standard Time.
https://t.co/5meznGVjN0

[Misc @miscmod]

@1791_mike @x3Nicke5 @Arkypatriot Yep.

The benefits of DST are tied to standard business hours. It gives us *extra* time for outdoor activities after the workday ends for most people.

Saying "there is no extra hour" misses the point entirely.
https://t.co/Z0iTDTSpSQ

[Misc @miscmod]

@1791_mike @x3Nicke5 @Arkypatriot Yep.

The benefits of DST are tied to standard business hours. It gives us *extra* time for outdoor activities after the workday ends for most people.

Saying "there is no extra hour" misses the point entirely.
https://t.co/Z0iTDTSpSQ

[Sophrosyne @x3Nicke5]

@Arkypatriot I’ve never understood why people don’t get this, there is no ���extra” hour.

[Misc @miscmod]

I don't know which is the more fantastical interpretation
- many worlds
- the simulation
- superdeterminism
- wave function collapse
https://t.co/u4vKygnNdC

[Misc @miscmod]

“The experiment I am about to relate…may be repeated with great ease, wherever the sun shines and without any other apparatus than is at hand to every one.”
https://t.co/wDk3dWuGpL

[Misc @miscmod]

...Everything you perceive happened at some time in the past -- which means that there's a lot to keep track of.

It compounds if there's more than one observer.

[Misc @miscmod]

@CheriJacobus Maybe it depends on how you distribute that revenue.

[Misc @miscmod]

@elonmusk 'Following -> Recent' is nearly perfect.

It would be interesting have options related to reposts -- such as keeping them in chronological order of the original.

Most of the time, we're all better off not having an algorithm trying to maximize engagement.
https://t.co/2lfLBR6gCG

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Very important to fix your Twitter feed:

1. Tap home button.
2. Tap stars on upper right of screen.
3. Select “Latest tweets”.

You are being manipulated by the algorithm in ways you don’t realize.

Easy to switch back & forth to see the difference.

[Misc @miscmod]

@factpostnews Since the short meeting was recorded, you can judge for yourself whether or not @NPR posted an unbiased report.

https://t.co/MMxj5P7pg2

https://t.co/jbgw80CPW9

[Misc @miscmod]

@factpostnews If you're wondering why the meeting was so short...

[Misc @miscmod]

@DrNeilStone "shame those who voted against it"
https://t.co/AR05vTFWrd

[The Redheaded libertarian @TRHLofficial]

@RepThomasMassie Step 1: write a bill calling for puppy euthanasia in crowded shelters and say it’s for their own good.

Step 2: name the bill the I LOVE PUPPIES bill

Step 3: vote on the bill.

Step 4: shame those who voted against it as Puppy bigots.

[Misc @miscmod]

@DrNeilStone Hypothesis: 420 representatives didn't read the text of the resolution -- and voted based only on the title.

"Condemning rising antisemitism"

https://t.co/j2FPwXO0bg

[Misc @miscmod]

@RussianMeddler @Variety Are you implying that The Odyssey is a biopic?

Side note: I was shocked to discover that I can easily understand Mycenaean Greek language.
https://t.co/wQK9LB4XyR