Olivia
Online
MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter
@mlb_simulator
Modeling expected outcomes to simulate MLB games, inspired by @MoneyPuckdotcom.
Code: @DerekGrifka
Joined June 2024
5 Following
11.3K Followers
9.2K Posts
Pinned Tweet
I've working on a website that can help you seamlessly dig beyond the box score, more quickly understand what type of player someone is, and even learn how a team is structured.
I'll try my best to explain below, but I encourage you to take a peak here: https://t.co/Xj9W7W334N
https://t.co/V9wl9as3kZ
⚾ Brewers @ Rays
10/28/2026
Final: Brewers 4, Rays 1
Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 42% / Rays 42% (Tie 16%)
#MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp
https://t.co/Xj9W7W334N
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/28/2026)
TB 8% @ MIL 92% (MIL leads 3-1)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 92%
#MLB #Postseason
The Brewers had 5 more barrels and 3 more walks/hbp than the Rays
https://t.co/p9ABxIXkcO
🚨 Rays are luck merchants! 🚨
⚾ Brewers @ Rays
10/27/2026
Final: Brewers 3, Rays 4
Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 87% / Rays 6% (Tie 7%)
#MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp
https://t.co/Xj9W7W334N
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/27/2026)
TB 4% @ MIL 96% (MIL leads 3-0)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 96%
#MLB #Postseason
https://t.co/niRWzLWH88
⚾ Brewers @ Rays
10/26/2026
Final: Brewers 10, Rays 1
Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 86% / Rays 7% (Tie 7%)
#MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/25/2026)
TB 13% @ MIL 87% (MIL leads 2-0)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 87%
#MLB #Postseason
⚾ Rays @ Brewers
10/24/2026
Final: Rays 4, Brewers 5
Deserve-to-Win: Rays 5% / Brewers 89% (Tie 6%)
#MLB #RaysUp #ThisIsMyCrew
⚾ Rays @ Brewers
10/23/2026
Final: Rays 2, Brewers 3
Deserve-to-Win: Rays 14% / Brewers 75% (Tie 11%)
#MLB #RaysUp #ThisIsMyCrew
https://t.co/Xj9W7W3AUl
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/20/2026)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 64%
#MLB #Postseason
https://t.co/FPoCWWwD3W
⚾ Guardians @ Rays
10/19/2026
Final: Guardians 3, Rays 7
Deserve-to-Win: Guardians 8% / Rays 85% (Tie 7%)
#MLB #GuardsBall #RaysUp
https://t.co/LGxcPoaIVe
⚾ Rays @ Guardians
10/18/2026
Final: Rays 3, Guardians 1
Deserve-to-Win: Rays 44% / Guardians 34% (Tie 22%)
#MLB #RaysUp #GuardsBall
https://t.co/Xj9W7W334N
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/19/2026)
CLE 18% @ TB 82% (TB leads 3-2)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 65%
#MLB #Postseason
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