MOBY

trading markets with a single line

[MOBY @mobysol]

naked anchored vwaps remain the most broken tool to trade

even after 4 years there is seemingly no edge decay

ideally you trade these with other confluence but if you have a major swing low and a completely untouched avwap - the first tap is respected often enough to take the trade solely based on reaction

this works across every asset including major stock indicies

hyperliquid:native scalp long - avwap to avwap

if we end up getting a larger pullback my money is waiting at lower avwap

[MOBY @mobysol]

Mostly think everyone is sidelined on this leg up but if everyone starts to fomo in up here then I think we roll it over for a H&S fakeout

hyperliquid:native

[MOBY @mobysol]

ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2

[MOBY @mobysol]

solana:CARDSccUMFKoPRZxt5vt3ksUbxEFEcnZ3H2pd3dKxYjp should be bottomed

[MOBY @mobysol]

BTC showing a failed auction below 60k right now

peak bearish sentiment into these lows
tons of shorts opening into the lows
funding flipped negative

I'm cautiously bullish short term - looking for a daily close above 60k here and some relief

[MOBY @mobysol]

good area to buy near:native if you don't think its a complete scam

already starting to see a reaction from this S/R flip

anything 1.5-2 seems fine for spot

longs on the marked levels

[MOBY @mobysol]

ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2

[MOBY @mobysol]

Out of every alt - ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 looks the most longable

$1.34 - daily, fib, avwap, structure, narrative, 25%+ retracement

everything you look for

just need bitcoin to not nuke for a couple days for this to come into play

$1.69 is the area to watch for rejection (VAH, local fib)

[MOBY @mobysol]

ZEC supposed to be quantum resistant and it got one shot by Opus lmao

[MOBY @mobysol]

bouncing from 200W MA as shorts cover

longs yet to be seen

[MOBY @mobysol]

gg

[MOBY @mobysol]

naked anchored vwaps remain the most broken tool to trade

even after 4 years there is seemingly no edge decay

ideally you trade these with other confluence but if you have a major swing low and a completely untouched avwap - the first tap is respected often enough to take the trade solely based on reaction

this works across every asset including major stock indicies

hyperliquid:native scalp long - avwap to avwap

if we end up getting a larger pullback my money is waiting at lower avwap

[MOBY @mobysol]

@Alex_TGH the reaction off the swing avwap is the reason you are entering so you either just ape it right away when you see a move or if youre late you enter on first touch of the ltf avwap because youre buying fair value of the local move

[MOBY @mobysol]

low time frame avwaps

I use ltf avwaps to enter scalps after a reaction occurs at a level I am watching

so on this hype long I just posted about - you got a move off the bigger swing avwap - then you pull this ltf avwap to get your scalp entry

reaction off swing avwap? yes
pull new avwap from the origin of that reaction
long the first test ($68.3)
stop at the low ($67.8)

this is also an example of how you can chain your avwaps - works much better on HTF but when one gets respected and a swing low is formed - it improves the odds that the next one is respected - so you anchor a new one at that point assuming the low is held and long the first test again - will write a longer post about this later but this is how you ride the bulk of trends

[Bluntz @Bluntz_Capital]

bid the strongest coins when btc gets any semblance of a bid, if they are strong now lord knows what they will do when the broader market gets a bid.

some of the strongest liquid coins while btc has been freefalling as follows $hype, $zec, $near,

im sure theres more but these stick out to me

[MOBY @mobysol]

another example of anchored vwaps with added confluence of a naked daily level and the 2026 open on zcash:native

these work especially well in trending environments - better than MAs or EMAs imo but same general concept

after a range is developed on the way up and you see expansion from the range (ex. 300-400 range) - you just add a new avwap from that swing low and long the first tap retest

everything is timeframe dependent but in order to improve win rate - you should ignore touches that are too close to the anchor point and only take the trade when you have significant expansion above or below the avwap before coming back down for a retest

in this case it is arguable if there was enough time and price expansion above the avwap to have longed that 330 tap - this is why its better to have other confluence on top of the avwap

[MOBY @mobysol]

very quick move down to the next support 66k - somebody getting carried out on this leg down but if you just longed any of the bullish coins - you should be up nicely

caught the bulk of the LIT and ZEC moves

[MOBY @mobysol]

btc sitting at prime support level here - worth a bid imo

if this level is lost we should see 65-66k if not sub 60k

probably still better to long narrative coins (hype, near, wld, etc) vs btc but sentiment getting bottomed out as well today so maybe we get surprised

[MOBY @mobysol]

btc sitting at prime support level here - worth a bid imo

if this level is lost we should see 65-66k if not sub 60k

probably still better to long narrative coins (hype, near, wld, etc) vs btc but sentiment getting bottomed out as well today so maybe we get surprised

[MOBY @mobysol]

solana:CARDSccUMFKoPRZxt5vt3ksUbxEFEcnZ3H2pd3dKxYjp is way too cheap compared to the betas now

they can not sustain their rallies to 10M+ with CARDS at 60M

need to reprice to 100M+ this week

[Cirrus @CirrusNFT]

Shorting hype because polymarket and kalshi are adding perps to the menu is like shorting chik-filA because dairy queen and starbucks are adding a chicken sandwich

[MOBY @mobysol]

sell 85 - buy 55