Jeff

Using advanced analytics for NFL, MLB, NHL | Data-driven. Edge-focused.

[Jeff @model56picks]

📈Updating the numbers from #Model56, all tracked on @pikkitsports 📈
2025 MLB Totals: 321-276-44 | +57.3u | 4.82% ROI
2025 NFL Simulation: 27-20 | +6.3u | 22.92% ROI
2025 NFL Rushing Yards O/U: 56-41 | +7.0u | 3.95% ROI

[Jeff @model56picks]

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[Jeff @model56picks]

There can be a very fine line -- and a requirement of a lot of patience -- between winning and losing. Reds-Padres scored half their runs (4) in extra innings and we lose by the hook. And thus, what was heading toward a winning day ends up a losing day. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

I don't believe we'll be getting any pushes today. #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

This was funny. I couldn't hit three pushes on the same night if I tried, lol. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Small slate, but still a few plays. Let's start off the week right! #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

Not a terrible day, but certainly a painful one. The @tigers score two in the ninth to ruin that one; the @Twins score FOUR in the ninth to ruin that one; and the @Mets and @Padres each add one in the last two innings to spoil that one. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Not a terrible day, but certainly a painful one. The @tigers score two in the ninth to ruin that one; the @Twins score FOUR in the ninth to ruin that one; and the @Mets and @Padres each add one in the last two innings to spoil that one. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Let's cap off the weekend with three winning days in a row! #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

What we like to see! Two in a row since switching to all-unders. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Today’s plays. #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

Running around today so no graphic but 2-1 yesterday. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Here we go. Our first day of attacking the unders. Let's have a day! #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

Here we go. Our first day of attacking the unders. Let's have a day! #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

So, I did a bet audit and here's what I uncovered: Had we just been betting the unders that the model had spit out, we'd be up 4 units right now on the season instead of down 6. So, for at least the rest of the month, that's what we're going to do -- only unders. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

I am not happy with this model. I'm going to pause plays, go back to the lab and figure it out. Hopefully, have it figured out and back soon. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

I am not happy with this model. I'm going to pause plays, go back to the lab and figure it out. Hopefully, have it figured out and back soon. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

💩

[Jeff @model56picks]

Day and night baseball! LFG! #model56 #GamblingX

[Jeff @model56picks]

A meaningless run in two games prevented a sweep. The @tigers already up 6-2, added a run in the ninth to lose by the 🪝and the @Orioles already down 8-0, score a run in the seventh to force a push. Meh. #model56

[Jeff @model56picks]

Day and night action. Let's get hot! #model56 #GamblingX
Tip of the Day: If you round up, every MLB team is averaging at least 4 runs per game. Again, rounding, only three teams -- LA Dodgers, Milwaukee and Atlanta -- are allowing fewer than 4 runs per game.

[Jeff @model56picks]

Now THAT'S the kind of night we like to have! Fell one run shy in the only loss of the day. #model56