It Will Work

We are creating the best sports betting model ever. Live updates as we try new things.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

@fatwalletlover Damn nice flex. Someone’s having a 2.5x better orgasm than the average person.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

Soccer is ending
Basketball is whack
Baseball is too hard to model
Tennis stats are weird to grab
NFL is whack

What do I do with my life

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

@fatwalletlover Tweets like this make me glad I follow you

[Fat Wallet Lover 💰 @fatwalletlover]

Mike Vick probably woulda rather had Pokémon but had to settle for the closest alternative

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

No artificial intelligence models for this one, just extremely quick math.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

Late night thoughts:

Currently running the scrape forever to get as many games as possible. I believe we are up to about 30 games.

There may be potential here, but the window is tight. Also, it’s always best to bet on the (+) side first. Less overall risk if it never hedges.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

If you somehow tied your bankroll into the equation, you may have some compound interest coming about 😉

Maybe we play percentages, and hike up the betting size? As long as we have enough capital to cover the hedge we are fine. That plays into bankroll.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

I’ll do more analysis on when odds jump to +400 and up, most often. Data seems to show that once it gets up this high, it will come down. Areas around 300 and below seem to be danger zones.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

Update: 10 games worth of stats. Will scrape again tonight and do some analysis.

[It Will Work @modelsandprofit]

First potential strategy:

Wait for the favorite to go up 1-0, or have either side take a 2-0 lead.

Grab a position immediately before the next game starts.

Eye down any possible runs in the first few points by the underdog. Cash out.