Mojave Capital

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Stop chasing useless charts.

Start tracking the data Wall Street hides. 📉

We don't just "analyze" stocks—we find the hidden margin leaks in the 2026 trade shifts.

See the data that the Greenland Tariff news missed.

Follow @mojave_capital for daily risk signals.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good morning!

The market heat map this morning:

#Energy: Brent Crude $70+ on Iran strike threats.
#Tech: AI spending fatigue hits stocks as reality sets in.
#Macro: Treasuries on edge ahead of critical Jobs data.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

The theme tonight? Hard assets and high tech.

Metals: #Gold/Copper rally as the Dollar dips.

The #Fed: Rate pause continues, but time is running out for a Powell cut.

Tech: A global spending spree from Meta to Samsung to secure the AI future.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

It's not about the talent; it's about the friction.

Between the recent capital gains changes and the complexity of outbound investment, YC basically decided Canada is no longer "investor-friendly" compared to Singapore or the Caymans.

This should be a massive wake-up call for Ottawa.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Porsche $DRPRY went all-in on an EV-only Macan and the Taycan, but they didn’t realize the Chinese market moves at light speed. ⚡️

Local brands are iterating monthly while Stuttgart stays on a 7-year cycle.

Closing 30% of dealers is a defensive retreat to try and protect their "value over volume" strategy before they lose the brand’s soul entirely.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

@Barchart That CMS news last night was a total haymaker.

A 0.09% rate increase for 2027 when everyone expected 4-5%? No wonder $UNH is cratering.

First revenue drop in 30 years and now this. Total reset for the sector.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good Morning.

Market Update: US stocks are within striking distance of record highs as the Dollar hits its lowest level since 2022.

$UNH (United Health Care): Warning of first annual revenue drop in 30+ years amid Medicare pressure.

$BA (Boeing): Highest jet deliveries since 2018 driving a surge in cash & sales.

Mixed signals in the Dow, but the bull run continues.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good morning!

Today’s global briefing is one for the history books:

🌕 #Gold at $5,000: The yellow metal has finally breached the $5,000 mark as the US Dollar slides to a four-month low. A massive "flight to safety" is underway.

🇨🇳 #China Purge: Xi Jinping has ousted his #2, General Zhang Youxia, in the biggest military purge since 1949. Analysts are scrambling to decipher what this means for Taiwan and Xi’s absolute control.

🇯🇵 #Japan Meltdown: A $7 trillion "liquidity volcano" is erupting as Japan’s bond market crashes. Global yields are spiking in response to the chaos in Tokyo.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

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[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

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[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

If you factor in gold, that 40% figure starts looking a lot closer to reality.

Central banks are currently buying gold at the highest rates since the 1960s.

We’ve moved from an era of "Trust the Fed" to an era of "Trust the Vault."

The dollar isn’t being replaced by the Yuan; it’s being replaced by hard assets and non-traditional currencies.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

The numbers don’t lie. We just saw tokenized RWAs (Treasuries, private credit, etc.) cross the $36 billion mark, while BlackRock’s BUIDL fund is already pushing $2.8 billion in AUM.

We’ve moved past the "DeFi summer" hype and into the "Institutional Winter" where the biggest banks are quietly moving settlement to Ethereum and the Canton Network.

The efficiency gains are just too high to ignore.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Wednesday is going to be the busiest 4 hours in market history. 🤯

You have the FOMC decision at 2:00 PM.
Powell’s presser at 2:30 PM.
Then $TSLA, $MSFT, and $META all dropping reports after the bell.

It’s not a lineup; it’s a controlled explosion.
Good luck to everyone's margins.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good morning!

Sunday’s brief on a nation and a world in flux:

DC Standoff: Democrats are threatening a government shutdown by Jan 30th after the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti in Minneapolis. Leaders are demanding major reforms to DHS/ICE funding.

Winter Storm: Massive winter weather is triggering grid emergencies and grounding 14,000+ flights. If you're in the Northeast, the worst of the snow arrives today.

Global Markets: Saudi property developers are surging as the Kingdom officially opens its real estate market to foreign buyers, a historic pivot for Vision 2030.

Stay warm and stay informed.

#governmentshutdown #WinterStorm

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

@themotleyfool The math is undefeated, but the discipline is the hard part. 📈

Even with the S&P 500 hitting 6,900+ and valuations looking stretched, "time in the market" still beats "timing the market" every single decade.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good morning! A high-stakes Saturday morning update:

❄️ Winter Storm Fern is in full swing. With 2,300+ flights canceled and grid emergencies across the South and Midwest, it’s a "stay inside" kind of day.

🇨🇦 Trade War: President Trump has threatened 100% tariffs on Canada, accusing Prime Minister Carney of turning the country into a "drop-off port" for Chinese goods.

Policy: HHS has paused $5 billion in state public health/social service grants, specifically targeting several "blue" states over fraud concerns.

Stay warm and stay sharp.
#WinterStorm #TradeWar

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Ending the week with some major shifts:

Fed Watch: BlackRock’s Rick Rieder has surged to the front of the pack for the Fed Chair nomination. Markets are already eyeing his "creative" approach to lowering mortgage rates.

Domestic: A "legendary" winter storm is set to test the US power grid this weekend. If you’re in the path of the ice, stay safe and stay warm. ❄️

Defense: The new US strategy is taking a notable pivot—downplaying direct confrontation with China to focus on economic and tech competition.

A lot to digest before Monday.

Have a great weekend, and follow for more market news!

#BlackRock #winterstorm

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

The divergence is the real story here.

Margin debt outpacing the S&P by 20 percentage points is a textbook sign of late-cycle euphoria. We’re essentially building a tower of cards where the bottom floor is high-interest debt.

When the music stops, the "forced selling" feedback loop is going to be incredibly fast.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

That is a massive cliff. 📉

It feels like the “entry-level” role is being squeezed from two sides: automation handling the basics and higher education timelines stretching even further.

If we lose the bottom rungs of the career ladder, the long-term talent pipeline is in serious trouble.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

Good morning! Today’s global landscape in 30 seconds:

🇨🇳 #China tells Alibaba and tech firms to prep for Nvidia H200 orders.
📉 US Stocks eye a weekly loss as $INTC slump weighs heavy.
🇬🇱 Geopolitics: The US seeks "carte blanche" for military presence in #Greenland.

Stay sharp out there, and follow for the latest daily headlines.

[Mojave Capital @mojave_capital]

The 2026 'Great Realignment' just took three massive turns tonight.

1️⃣ TikTok Finalized: A new American unit, TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, is officially live. Majority-owned by U.S. investors (Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX), the app avoids the ban and enters a new era of data sovereignty.

2️⃣ Intel $INTC Squeeze: Despite beating Q4 estimates, shares are tumbling ~12% in after-hours on a 'bleak' Q1 outlook and ongoing manufacturing snags. The 18A node is ramping, but supply woes are bedeviling the recovery.

3️⃣ Policy Pivot: Trump just shelved the plan to let homebuyers tap 401(k)s for down payments, telling reporters he’s 'happy with the way 401(k)s are doing' and isn't a fan of the deposit idea.