Moonwave

Physics-based signals for $BTC & risk assets • 78.1% hit rate since Dec 2024 • Transparency archive + JSON in pinned post • | Not financial advice

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Moonwave Thread of Threads (chronological, oldest first): Every monthly forecast, every @grok performance verification, every major signal since launch.
Performance transparency ledger: https://t.co/y718eR32rv 80+% hit rate at time of writing. Not financial advice. Start scrolling! ↓

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@Jack_OfBladesRR You're welcome! We're keeping posting volume low to ensure the algo doesn't get mad at us again, but if you've ever got a question or comment, we'll always answer 🤝

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Monthly Moonwave - June-July 2026

Key dates:

Buy: Jun 29-Jul 1
Sell + Volatility: Jul 6-8 (High-risk Jul 8-13)
Buy: Jul 14-15, OPEX July 17
Volatility: Jul 20
Sell: Jul 23-25

June was a harsh month for crypto, with BTC dropping from 73k to 59k. What's ahead? 🧵(1/5)

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@deddev69 🙏 Appreciate it!

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok As requested, the monthly update! Pretty clear physics signals this month, unlike June.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok https://t.co/lPIqgXF7Pe

[Grok @grok]

Got it—SLs followed. Updated (Yahoo closes, Jun1 start $185,026 long):

SL hit Jun2-3 → cash $181,772

Short Jun5 (~$60,923) → cover Jun13 (~$64,421): equity ~$171,333 (~2.66 BTC long)

Reduce 50% Jun22 (~$63,952): equity ~$170,086

Exit long & short Jun25 (~$59,722): **final ~$164,460** (-11.1%)

B&H Jun1-25: **~$154,937** (-16.3%)

Beat B&H via early SL exit + timing. Currently short. Not financial advice.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Moonwave Thread of Threads (chronological, oldest first): Every monthly forecast, every @grok performance verification, every major signal since launch.
Performance transparency ledger: https://t.co/y718eR32rv 80+% hit rate at time of writing. Not financial advice. Start scrolling! ↓

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

May 31 2026:
https://t.co/gmwUAaQIip

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Monthly Moonwave - May 31 2026 1/4

Another strong month for Moonwave, predicting every major BTC pivot. More detail below 🧵

Key dates:

Jun 5-7: Sell
Jun 9: Volatility (trend reversal/acceleration)
Jun 16: Buy into FOMC + OPEX
Jun 22: Volatility
Jun 26: Sell
Jun 30: Buy

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

5/5
Work on the trade bot is complete and we're taking some time off from development.

We like many small financial accounts got hit with automatic deboosting last week, but were cleared after manual review. Thank you to everyone who supported us! It made a real difference!

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

4/5
Sunwave:

Our experimental seasonality model predicted a mid-June crypto bottom which has yet to appear. Let's see how July goes.

As of writing, Sunwave implies a BTC price level of $67,900. It remains an experimental indicator and is very much not financial advice, but it's an encouraging data point.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

3/5
June Recap:

Our demo BTC strategy was stopped out during the sharp decline that opened the month. There was a small bounce after the Jun 13 Buy. The Jun 22 Volatility provided a timely derisk opportunity, and the Jun 25 Sell (driven by strongly negative FX) remains in profit at time of writing.

Upside: The system regained accuracy mid-June, and preserved position value through a significant price drop.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

2/5
The system implies strength in early July. The riskiest stretch is Jul 8-13. FXwave will be especially important for position sizing.

Buy signals on Jul 14-15 coincide with CPI data, while OPEX on Jul 17 could offer the usual dip-buy setup. Volatility on Jul 20 looks like a good derisk point ahead of the stronger sell range Jul 23-25.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok SLs are to be followed, though - for example, SL was hit Jun 2-3 with a position value of 181772.24, a 5% loss from the May 30 long entry. When a SL is hit our trader waits in cash to the next signal.
Then, short Jun 5-12
Buy Jun 13-22
Reduce 50% Jun 22
Short Jun 25-current

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Monthly Moonwave - May 31 2026 1/4

Another strong month for Moonwave, predicting every major BTC pivot. More detail below 🧵

Key dates:

Jun 5-7: Sell
Jun 9: Volatility (trend reversal/acceleration)
Jun 16: Buy into FOMC + OPEX
Jun 22: Volatility
Jun 26: Sell
Jun 30: Buy

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Monthly Moonwave - May 2026 is live! The demo BTC strategy posted a ~15% gain in April on zero leverage. Looking forward:

From Apr 30 Buy zone → May 8-9 Sell → drop into May 15-17 Buy → then physics goes quiet until late July.

Full breakdown + exact dates below!
1/5

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok Yes please! Also, $185,026 is the position value on Jun 1 from a May 30 long position, which was itself down -3.30% on Jun 1 with 1.7% remaining til SL.
Therefore:
Short Jun 5-12
Buy Jun 13
Reduce 50% Jun 22
Short Jun 25 (currently open)

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok Sorry, a couple clarifications: By "Sell" we mean "Short," and 5% SL means any position goes to 100% cash if there's a 5% loss. Currently our trader is short BTC from Jun 25.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@grok It's time for our monthly tradition - our hypothetical Moonwave BTC trader started with $185,026, long on Jun 1. 5% SL.
Sell Jun 5
Buy Jun 13
Reduce 50% Jun 22
Sell Jun 25
How was their performance? vs Buy & Hold?

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

2/4

If you followed the signals, you did very well in a month when BTC went from 82k to 72k!
The demo BTC strategy hit 5/6, with two bad trades: It bought early on May 14 and, (no FX data on Memorial Day), held through the May 25 Sell, but still ended up positive in a down May.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@tokennotneeded 🫶 If you can see this, we are officially out of Twitter jail! Apparently the stats block in the daily update made us look spammy, so we're pausing those going forward. Thanks for the support - it is really, really appreciated!

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

Weekly Update �� June 21, 2026 (1/4)

Key dates:
Jun 22: Volatility
Jun 29: Sell

Positive FX Monday means buy dips, size down if negative FX. The model expects positive momentum to continue after Monday, until Jun 29 at least. Are you buying? Let us know in the comments!

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

The Strategy gauge on the dashboard is meant to solve this problem. We're still tuning it and trying to get it more responsive (right now it works on a 4hr timeframe and we'd like to get it down to 2 or 1). We've also deployed a trade bot on testnet that uses Strategy, so far it's performing really well, and those signals will be made available once we're happy with performance (not financial advice, of course). Thanks for the comment!

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

@jumparo1 Thanks - very much appreciated! Quick question: Some followers are saying they can't see the other 3/4 posts in the thread. Are they showing up for you?

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

4/4
Product Updates:

Lots of bugfixes and some new features on the dashboard, including the addition of ETH, SOL, and DOGE price overlays to the Moonwave chart.

Our daily updates sent us to Twitter jail - thanks for sticking with us as we get back in the algo’s good graces.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

3/4
Sunwave:

Our experimental seasonal momentum model predicted a mid-June crypto bottom. Let's see!

Its current implied price for $BTC is $68,816, suggesting Bitcoin may be trading at a discount - not financial advice, but an encouraging data point for bulls.

[Moonwave @moonwavepro]

2/4
Last Week Recap:

No bullish surprise from the Fed, but the week, and especially OPEX volatility on the 18th, delivered good long entries as predicted in the monthly forecast.

The demo BTC strategy is still long from the Jun 13 buy and has performed reasonably well.