Everyone talks about the OECD Leading Indicator predicting GDP, but how early can it actually call the turn?
Turns out it's only about one quarter ahead (correlation of 0.74) — way less than the year most folks think.
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【Today Only】USD/JPY plunged to 161! Grabbing my NFP & intervention guide note!
Sorry for the wait!
USD/JPY just reversed its big rise on intervention fears and is now in the 161 range!
The biggest indicator, NFP, is coming up next!
▼Get the guide note from my profil
Tonight's U.S. markets…
It's not about the jobs report itself, but whether semiconductors can bounce back.
June payrolls missed badly (+57K), but unemployment fell to 4.2%. Rate hike fears ease a bit, but it's not a clear recession signal.
Real focus is on chips. Micron,
Looking at token usage, if I use Fable on Pro, I'd hit the limit in no time.
Thought I'd have to go for the max plan, but
between Claude, ChatGPT, and Gemini, I'm spending what I used to earn from a part-time job each month… not good…
Money’s in the mix, so the market will push every emotional trigger you’ve got.
That’s just how it works.
If you don’t build a trading mindset that can handle the pressure, you’re toast—sooner or later.