الجزيرة عاجل/ عاجل | رئيس الوزراء البريطاني: الوضع على حدود أوكرانيا مثير للقلق ونحث روسيا على تفادي شن غزو متهور وكارثي - عبر تطبيق نبض @NabdApp
https://t.co/ZcKi1w7tGc
الجزيرة عاجل/ عاجل | رئيس الوزراء البريطاني: الوضع على حدود أوكرانيا مثير للقلق ونحث روسيا على تفادي شن غزو متهور وكارثي - عبر تطبيق نبض @NabdApp
https://t.co/ZcKi1w81vK
1/ In 2010, Steve Jobs created a seemingly innocuous meeting agenda item that would set Apple on the path to becoming the most valuable company in the world.
It's #AppleEvent day so we're taking a look at how Jobs' vision became Apple's notorious "walled garden."
Let’s talk about High Agency: an attitude I’ve seen in every successful product manager & leader I’ve known.
Some ppl are born/raised with High Agency. It can also be developed later in life.
High agency is a prerequisite for making a profound impact in one's life & work
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5/ Hindsight bias
Hindsight bias is the tendency to believe an outcome was predictable or inevitable.
It manifests in two ways: "Should have knowns" and "Knew it all alongs"
To prevent it, note down all of the knowns and unknowns when making a decision.
4/ Process over outcome
Resulting is the tendency look at the OUTCOME of a decision to judge its quality.
The best decision-makers separate PROCESS from OUTCOME.
Bad outcome, good process -> works in the long run.
Good outcome, bad process -> fails in the long run.
3/ Decision-making frameworks
To make quality decisions, ditch your gut and create a framework.
Gut decisions:
• Not repeatable
• Hard to examine
• Unique to you
• Filled with biases
Decision-making frameworks:
• Repeatable
• Examinable
• Transferrable
• Accountable
2/ The importance of decision-making
Two things determine your life: luck and the quality of your decisions.
You control just one of them: how you make decisions.
Decisions are simply predictions about the future.
Better decisions <==> Better results.
1/ Annie's Background
If you've never heard of @AnnieDuke:
• WSOP bracelet holder.
• Author of Thinking in Bets and How to Decide.
• Founder of the Alliance for Decision Education.
• Master of the intersection between luck, skill, and decision-making under uncertainty.