Matt Thompson

Web Developer, Stock Trader

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@KillaXBT This past cycle didn’t top earlier than expected. The top was 1,064 days after the cycle low, just like prior cycles.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@userofintellect This surprises me because during the previous 3 days I've been some of the largest bullish DP prints for SPY, or variants of it like VOO, on the EZPZ Trade Alerts page that I've seen in months. Many singular prints near or above $1B, including a $4.1B DP bullish print at 737.38.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@datruthbomb I don’t think that is true. You shared this chart on X and in your substack, expecting only a daily sell signal with plans to re-add once it was over towards new highs later this month. You expected the weekly sell signal to trigger later once new highs were reached.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@KillaXBT The circled spots came before the cycle bottom in every previous cycle. Not a bad time to DCA, but I wouldn't want to be more than 50% invested. Most cycle bottom indicators suggest that the bottom isn't in yet.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@KillaXBT I’m calling for lower (50-55k) and I can afford a full Bitcoin.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@KillaXBT I’ll wait for 50k-55k.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@StockmoneyL Still not convinced we see BTC at 100k before the end of the year.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@felixclicking @InTheAssembly He didn’t even take the trade

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@NoLimitGains You posted this, but you didn’t trade them in your Discord. It show a lack of conviction.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@StockmoneyL BTC is very unlikely to reach 100k this year.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@SmartReversals I don't think that counts as bearish RSI divergence. SPX didn't make a higher high, but it came close. The doji is a warning sign.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@tradenalytics Nobody is arguing your current stock picks. I'm pointing out that your public narrative in Oct/Nov was bullish while you now claim you were secretly cash/semicons. Great day for GFS, but it doesn't change a fabricated timeline.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@datruthbomb Your hourly signals normally last more than one day.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@SmartReversals Semiconductors are helping SPY defy gravity for now.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@userofintellect I started using it yesterday in a paper trading account with 1-2 Micro ES contracts at a time. I never traded futures before.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@SmartReversals Interesting pivot from the $695 consolidation/bearish RSI divergence thesis yesterday. Is the Stochastic bounce above 50 on the weekly now overriding that short-term volume shelf concern?"

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@userofintellect Is this really a good idea when VRP is -22.13%?

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@SmartReversals MMTW (Percent stocks above 20-day average) hit 80 today. Often a short term top signal. The last time it reached 80 was on August 26, 2024.

[Matt Thompson @mthompson2]

@MerlijnTrader This is false. The President’s schedule shows that he will be in a policy meeting at 4:30pm that is closed to the press.