@nntaleb Lots of commenters are focusing on the fact that technicians must be in short supply if they take long to arrive BUT missing the point that you are solving your problems without them.
How will your country's demographics change this century?
At Our World in Data we built a tool to let you see for yourself.
The UN's assumptions are the starting point.
But then you can adjust the three drivers of change — births, deaths, and migration — to what you expect.
Apparently some researchers thought it was significant that early high performance and later high performance were negatively correlated
They didn't realize they were conditioning on a collider
Nor did the editors at Science, who published their claims anyway
Just incredible
@2waytvapp@ChristopherHahn This is a nonsense statement. Voters who opposed Obama did not obstruct and attack Federal agents with motor vehicles and semi-automatic hand guns with spare magazines.
Europe has made a series of big bets that have gone spectacularly wrong. On the benevolence of the US. On the tameability of China and Russia. On immigration. On the permanence of free trade. https://t.co/Ie6p9RZV7W
@GvanOnselen The DA was a merger of other parties so should be tracked to 1994 as the sum of the constituent parts. Similarly you could add a 3rd plot of ANC and break away parts merged up until today and projected forward. SA politics remains a tribal census
@businessXplain@KhuluPhasiwe How does this help your argument? Musk has South African citizenship so according to European standards you love, he can hold a majority share in a South African company but we are not patriotic first, we are tribalist first. SA has the worst case of shoot-self-in-foot-disease.
@GodPenuel @Solphendukaa You guys are funny. It’s not hard to find out what percentage of 20-24, 25-30, 30-35yr old SA men can feed themselves never mind their children. All support in SA is at the feet of women. Men are denied access to their children and then called abandoners. The uncomfortable truth
Makes complete sense. South Africa is on its way out of the top 50 economies on earth and Poland has achieved what SA failed to achieve in the same time period of 30 years. South Africa is a country of excuse makers and excuse defenders, not a G20 country.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has confirmed that the US intends to banish South Africa from the G20 and welcome Poland into the forum grouping the world’s largest economies.
https://t.co/vjszgUNwDI
South Africa is the 37th biggest economy on Earth. With the foolish advice and encouragement of foreign and local idiots, South Africa is going all in on making a fool of itself by over-estimating how much it will be missed when 1 of the 17 countries ahead of it replace it in G20
@MaxduPreez The Anti-Apartheid movement hero worshipped anybody who would help defeat Apartheid, so I don’t see your point. Are you really honestly surprised by a group deciding to align with powerful forces that can help them? Is a power game not always about who you can get on your side?
@RapidResponse47@PressSec@POTUS More evidence that Ramaphosa is not only a weak ineffective negligent incompetent insensitive leader at home but also poor at diplomacy.
.@PressSec: "The United States is not participating in official talks at the G20 in South Africa. I saw the South African President running his mouth a little bit against the United States and @POTUS... and that language is not appreciated by @POTUS and his team."
Afrikaners are never boring. Half of them are foolishly asking foreigners who don’t care, to help solve our REAL problem of mass corruption and murder while the other woke half are foolishly lying to themselves that things have never been better in SA.
@MaxduPreez There is extermination of people. More than 40 murders per 100 000 a year and extreme Xenophobia. Which other country with a murder rate of 40 per 100 000 and foreigners attacked daily, tells other countries how to behave, the way arrogant self-righteous hypocritical SA does?
The release of Epstein files is a standard case of negative sum game for both parts of the US elite. But because these two parts of the elite are at loggerheads they each think of how maximally to hurt the other side. In turn, this is an occasion for those who are currently outside the two elites to rise.
@BrankoMilan Top homoploutia prefer maximum income from capital and I think AI and robotics has delivered it. I think 90% of the beneficiaries of 50 years of homoploutia who rely on wages are about to have their wage income decimated. Is their capital nous sufficient to survive without wages?
@BrankoMilan The past 50 years of demographic dividend by doubling skilled job entrants through labour force participation of female elite initially contained skilled wages but eventually created an inflation of high paying wages as the generation produced by this low fertility elite shrank.